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马斯克的印度恋情以不和告终,星链和特斯拉陷入停滞Musk’s India Romance Ends in Acrimony as Starlink, Tesla Stall

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作者:阿丽莎·萨奇德夫本周,埃隆·马斯克对印度亿万富翁们发起的一系列猛烈抨击,标志着他与印度之间的关系出现了重大转折。此前,双方曾有望携手将这个全球人口最多的国家打造成其商业版图的又一重要阵地。

By Alisha Sachdev Elon Musk’s extraordinary swipes at Indian billionaires this week mark a sharp turn in a relationship that once promised to make the world’s most populous nation a major new frontier for his business empire.

这位世界首富指责印度的强势企业势力对本土市场实施“垄断性控制”,从而阻碍了他的星链卫星互联网服务进入当地市场。本周,他在社交平台X上发文称,这种行为“是对印度人民的犯罪”。

The world’s richest person lobbed accusations that powerful corporate interests in India maintain a “monopolistic chokehold” over the local market, blocking his Starlink space-based internet service. He called this “a crime against the people of India” in a post on his social media platform X this week.

周四,马斯克进一步发问:印度亿万富翁穆克什·安巴尼——其旗下的Reliance Jio Infocomm Ltd.与另一家电信巨头共同占据了印度市场80%以上的份额——是否“才是印度的真正掌权者”?这些言论的发表正值SpaceX多年来一直试图将旗下卫星业务引入印度之际,同时也反映了马斯克在该地区遭遇的一系列挫折。

On Thursday, Musk followed up by asking if Indian billionaire Mukesh Ambani, whose Reliance Jio Infocomm Ltd. is one of two telecom giants that together account more than 80% of the country’s market, is “the real boss of India?”The outbursts come after SpaceX has spent years trying to bring its satellite unit to the country — and amid a broader string of disappointments for Musk in the subcontinent.

自15个月前在印度开设首家体验店以来,马斯克旗下的电动汽车公司特斯拉仅售出了约1000辆汽车。而如今隶属于SpaceX的社交平台X则深陷一场法律纠纷:印度政府试图行使权力,强制要求该平台删除某些网络内容。

Tesla Inc., Musk’s electric car company, has sold around 1,000 vehicles since opening its first Indian showroom 15 months ago. And X, now part of SpaceX, is embroiled in a court fight over the government’s powers to order online content removed.

对于马斯克而言,其商业项目在印度的遭遇远不及预期——人们原本期望它们能迅速打开这个庞大且复杂的市场。

The cool reception for Musk’s business operations has confounded expectations they would make rapid headway into India’s vast but complex markets.

然而不到两年前情况还大不相同。2025年2月,印度总理纳伦德拉·莫迪在华盛顿与马斯克会面;当时这位商业巨头还是新上任的美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的座上宾。那次会面后短短数月内,印度电信部门便向星链颁发了开展卫星通信服务的关键许可证,扫清了其进军印度市场的最大障碍。

It looked very different less than two years ago when Prime Minister Narendra Modi met Musk in Washington in February 2025 — a time when the tycoon was a frequent White House guest of newly inaugurated President Donald Trump. Within months of that meeting, India’s telecom department granted Starlink a crucial license to provide satellite-communications services, clearing one of the biggest obstacles to its entry.

据熟悉政府决策思路的人士透露,此后这一关系变得复杂起来,主要源于两个因素:一是马斯克本人在华盛顿的政治立场极不稳定;二是多年以来他承诺的投资与访问始终未能兑现,导致新德里方面对他的热情逐渐消退。

The relationship has since been complicated, according to people familiar with the government’s thinking, by two main factors: Musk’s own volatile political standing in Washington, and a loss of enthusiasm for him in New Delhi after years in which promised investments and visits failed to materialize.

马斯克旗下企业在印度遭遇的困境,反映出在地缘政治局势日益紧张的当下,涉足敏感行业的跨国企业所面临的运营难题。从卫星到半导体,各类新一代技术对国家安全的影响日益显著,这也逐渐成为全球贸易的阻碍。

Musk’s business woes in India illustrate the difficulty for companies involved in sensitive industries operating across borders in an era of heightened geopolitical tensions. The national security implications of next-generation technology in areas ranging from satellites to semiconductors have increasingly become a barrier to global trade.

在某些市场,SpaceX、特斯拉以及X平台面临的处境更为艰难,原因在于人们担忧马斯克与华盛顿权力层关系密切,且他惯于就国内外敏感话题公开发表言论。印度政府公开驳斥了“星链遭到区别对待”的说法。

What makes the case for SpaceX, Tesla and X more difficult in some markets is concern about Musk’s relative proximity to power in Washington, as well as his penchant for speaking out about sensitive topics — both at home and abroad. The Indian government publicly disputed the suggestion Starlink is being singled out for unequal treatment.

针对马斯克所谓“寡头”的指责,印度通信部周四回应称,该国的卫星通信监管框架公平且不带歧视性;星链、信实工业旗下的Jio卫星通信公司以及由巴蒂电信支持的欧洲通信卫星组织OneWeb均受到了大体相同的审查。

Responding to his “oligarchs” attack, the Ministry of Communications said Thursday its satellite-communications framework was fair and non-discriminatory, and that Starlink, Reliance Industries’ Jio Satellite Communications and Bharti Airtel Ltd.-backed Eutelsat OneWeb have all received broadly the same level of scrutiny.

孟买的特斯拉门店。Tesla store in Mumbai.

信实工业、巴蒂电信及印度通信部均未回复记者就马斯克近期在X平台上的发帖内容所发去的询问。SpaceX与特斯拉也均未回应置评请求。

Ambani, Reliance Industries, Bharti Airtel and India’s Ministry of Communications didn’t respond to emailed queries on Musk’s recent X posts. SpaceX and Tesla didn’t respond to requests for comments.

据不愿透露姓名、可参与讨论内部决策的人士透露,出于对技术主权的考量,加之担心关键通信业务依赖由美国掌控的网络——尤其是在伊朗战争爆发之后——印度政府官员目前暂未批准星链的安全准入许可。而这一安全问题又与另一层更为微妙的考量相互交织:与马斯克打交道会如何影响新德里与华盛顿的关系。

Government officials are holding back on final security clearances for Starlink due to concerns over technological sovereignty and relying on a US-controlled network for critical communications, especially in the wake of the war in Iran, people familiar said, asking for anonymity to discuss private deliberations. And the security issue intersects with a more delicate calculation: how dealing with Musk could affect New Delhi’s relationship with Washington.

据知情人士透露,马斯克与特朗普的关系时好时坏,这令印度方面更加谨慎行事。此前马斯克曾是特朗普连任竞选活动的重要支持者,但去年两人发生争执;不过最近他们又显现出关系缓和的迹象。在这种复杂的局势下,印度方面认为没有理由采取可能惹怒白宫的举措来对待马斯克。

Musk’s shifting relationship with Trump has led to greater caution, the people said. The one-time major backer of Trump’s re-election campaign feuded with the president last year, but more recently the two men have shown signs of mending fences. Amid that confusion, New Delhi sees little reason to tackle Musk in a way that could be poorly received by the White House, they said.

此外,印度与美国之间还存在一些超越某个美国大亨个人影响力的问题。两国高级官员本周均表示,双边贸易协定谈判已陷入僵局。这一状况进一步加剧了双方在其他问题上的紧张关系,比如印度购买俄罗斯石油一事,以及特朗普试图介入印度与巴基斯坦的地区冲突。

India also has bigger problems with the US that transcend the gripes of any one American tycoon. Top officials in both countries said this week that negotiations over a bilateral trade deal have reached an impasse. That has exacerbated tensions over other issues, such as India’s purchases of Russian oil and Trump’s effort to insert himself into a regional conflict with Pakistan.

另外,华盛顿周四宣布暂停一项移民政策,该政策原本为包括众多印度人在内的外国劳工提供了获得永久居留权的途径。在这项政策被提及的公司中,塔塔咨询服务有限公司在发布业绩喜人的财报后,其股价在孟买交易所有所上涨。印度信息技术行业游说团体Nasscom此前曾表示,印度各大信息技术企业已大幅降低对H-1B签证的依赖程度。

Separately, Washington on Thursday announced suspending an immigration initiative that’s allowed foreign workers, including many from India, a path to permanent residency. Shares ofTata Consultancy Services Ltd. — among companies cited in the announcement — gained in Mumbai after upbeat results. Lobby group Nasscom earlier said that Indian IT giants have substantially cut their dependence on H-1B visas.

这种思路正逐渐影响到印度企业界。此前当马斯克似乎正与印度及即将上任的美国政府拉近关系时,印度一些极具影响力的亿万富翁纷纷宣布与星链达成合作。不过据上述知情人士称,鉴于星链目前仍处于监管不确定状态,这些企业眼下并无迫切压力去落实相关协议。

That thinking is filtering down to corporate India. Some of the country’s most powerful billionaires rushed to announce partnerships with Starlink when Musk appeared to be drawing closer to both India and the incoming US administration. There is now little pressure on them to execute those agreements while Starlink remains in regulatory limbo, according to the people.

当前正是马斯克处境尴尬之时,而他对印度市场的需求或许正日益增加。印度是为数不多的几个其旗下企业——星链、特斯拉以及X平台——仍具备巨大拓展空间的主要市场。

India’s hesitation comes at an awkward moment for Musk, whose need for the country is arguably growing. India is one of the few big markets where his businesses — Starlink, Tesla and X — still have substantial room to expand.

多年来,印度一直竭力吸引特斯拉入驻,希望马斯克能在当地建厂,从而带来投资、就业机会以及先进的制造技术。然而,特斯拉最终只是以进口汽车的方式进入印度市场:2025年7月,其在孟买开设了首家展示厅,却并未兑现新德里方面期待的本地建厂承诺。

India spent years courting Tesla, hoping Musk would build cars locally and bring investment, jobs and advanced manufacturing technology with him. Tesla instead entered with imported vehicles, opening its first showroom in Mumbai in July 2025 without committing to the local factory New Delhi had sought.

15个月过去了,特斯拉在印度的销量始终徘徊在1000辆左右——对于一家去年在中国售出62.5万辆汽车、在美国也售出58.9万辆汽车的企业而言,这一数字实在微不足道。与此同时,比亚迪、VinFast等竞争对手则在印度电动汽车市场稳步扩张,使得特斯拉成了难以打开局面的异类。

Fifteen months later, it has struggled with sales hovering around 1,000 cars — a paltry number for a company that delivered more than 625,000 vehicles in China last year and another 589,000 in the US. Meanwhile, competitors including BYD Co. and VinFast Auto Ltd. have steadily expanded their presence in India’s EV market, leaving Tesla as the outlier who’s struggling to gain traction.

马斯克旗下的社交平台X也引发了新的矛盾。该平台多次拒绝执行印度政府要求删除特定内容的命令,其强硬态度与其他在印运营的美国科技企业形成了鲜明对比。此外,马斯克多次爽约也令印度方面失望不已。

X has provided another source of friction. Musk’s social-media company has fought government orders to remove content, adopting a more confrontational stance than some other American technology companies operating in India. Then there are the no-shows.

2024年4月,马斯克原定访问印度,与莫迪总理会面并宣布特斯拉的投资计划。但他在最后一刻以“特斯拉事务繁重”为由取消行程,仅承诺当年晚些时候会再来。没过几天,他却现身北京,这无疑让印度方面的期待落空。

Musk was due to visit India in April 2024 for a meeting with Modi and an expected announcement around Tesla’s investment plans. But he canceled at the last minute, citing “very heavy Tesla obligations” and promising to come later that year. Days later, he surfaced in Beijing instead, rubbing salt in the wound.

2025年4月,马斯克与莫迪通话后再次作出承诺,称“期待今年晚些时候访问印度”。可这次访问最终也未能成行。

After speaking with Modi in April 2025, Musk revived the pledge, saying he was looking forward to visiting India “later this year.”That visit didn’t happen either.

这些屡次失约的行为,恰恰折射出印度与特斯拉之间这段“期待多、实质承诺少”的漫长拉锯过程。

The repeated snubs have come to symbolize a courtship heavy on anticipation but relatively light on tangible commitments.

“这种合作势头往往始于莫迪与马斯克的会面,”全球贸易研究倡议组织创始人阿贾伊·斯里瓦斯塔瓦说道,“但一旦讨论深入到具体运营细节与实际投资层面,势头便会逐渐减弱。”对马斯克而言,风险在于双方的谈判筹码正在发生转变。过去,印度极力讨好马斯克,指望借此吸引电动汽车工厂、尖端卫星技术以及数十亿美元的投资。如今,特斯拉与星链都亟需开拓新的增长渠道,而印度也开始出现能够替代这些产品和服务的本土企业。

“The momentum often begins with a meeting between Modi and Musk” said Ajay Srivastava, founder of the Global Trade Research Initiative, “only to lose momentum when discussions turn to the operational details and actual investment.”The risk for Musk is that the balance of leverage is changing. India once pursued his good graces as a prize that could bring an electric-car factory, cutting-edge satellite technology and billions of dollars of investment. Today, Tesla and Starlink both need new avenues for growth, but India is beginning to see home-grown alternatives to those cars and satellites.

目前,信实工业与艾尔泰尔主导着印度的电信市场。安巴尼正计划打造一家可媲美星链的本土企业,并计划在未来几年内向太空发射数百颗卫星。与此同时,特斯拉也进入了这个进口关税高昂、国内外车企云集且竞争异常激烈的汽车市场。

Reliance and Airtel dominate its telecom market, and Ambani is looking to build a homegrown Starlink-rival with ambitions to put hundreds of satellites in space over the next few years. Similarly, Tesla has entered an auto market saddled with high import levies, crowded with domestic and global manufacturers competing for a piece of the pie.