
巴西政治分析机构阿特拉斯英特尔发布的最新民调显示,在即将举行的巴西总统决选中,弗拉维奥·博索纳罗以52.8%的得票率领先于现任总统卢拉,后者得票率为47.2%。此次调查共访问了5,026名选民,结果显示博索纳罗的支持率较第一轮投票前该机构的民调有了明显提升。弗拉维奥·博索纳罗此前也已在9月份举行的第一轮投票中获胜。
A new poll from AtlasIntel shows Flávio Bolsonaro leading President Lula 52.8% to 47.2% ahead of Brazil's presidential runoff. The survey of 5,026 voters marks a swing from the pollster's last round before the first vote. Bolsonaro also won the first round held in September. A new poll published by Brazilian political analysis firm AtlasIntel shows Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of President Lula in the presidential runoff. Among 5,026 voters surveyed, Bolsonaro drew 52.8% support against Lula's 47.2%, a gap of 5.6 percentage points.
这一结果标志着与第一轮投票前阿特拉斯英特尔民调结果的显著变化。博索纳罗在9月份赢得第一轮投票后,巴西的博维斯帕指数随即上涨了8%,显示出市场对其胜选的积极反应。
The result marks a notable shift from AtlasIntel's own polling before the first round. Bolsonaro's first-round victory in September had already drawn a sharp market reaction, with Brazil's Bovespa index jumping 8% in its wake.
卢拉阵营对此次民调结果提出异议,而近期各类民调所采用的方法论也再度成为公众热议的焦点。此次决选结果将决定未来四年巴西的领导人人选,投资者们也正密切关注投票结果,以判断该国未来的政策走向。
Lula's campaign has disputed the poll's findings, and the methodology behind recent surveys has again become a point of public debate. The runoff vote will determine who leads Brazil for the next four years, and investors are closely tracking the outcome for signals on the country's policy direction.