
自10月4日总统选举首轮投票以来的首个民调显示,巴西参议员弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗以六个百分点的优势领先总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦。
Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro leads President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva by six percentage points in the first poll done since the Oct. 4 first round of the presidential election.
PoderData/Aya民调于周四发布,在10月25日决选之前,博尔索纳罗的支持率为53%,卢拉为47%。
Ahead of the Oct. 25 runoff, the PoderData/Aya poll released Thursday said Bolsonaro has 53% support, compared with 47% for Lula.
该调查于10月5日至7日通过拨打手机和固定电话进行,在巴西27个州的705个市镇进行了3,000次访谈。其误差率为1.8个百分点。
The survey was done on Oct. 5-7 through calls to both cellphones and landlines, with 3,000 interviews in 705 municipalities across Brazil’s 27 states. It has a margin of error of 1.8 percentage points.
这项民调标志着与PoderData/Aya在首轮投票前的民调有所不同,当时两名候选人的支持率同为50%持平。在新民调中,博尔索纳罗上升了三个百分点,而卢拉下降了三个。
The poll marks a change from PoderData/Aya’s poll before the first round, which showed the two candidates tied at 50%. In the new poll, Bolsonaro gained three percentage points while Lula lost three.
首轮投票竞争激烈,博尔索纳罗赢得47.03%的有效票,卢拉获得45.16%。10月25日的决选将决定总统归属。
The first round was closely contested, with Bolsonaro winning 47.03% of valid votes to Lula’s 45.16%. The Oct. 25 runoff will decide the presidency.
寻求再次连任的卢拉将在决选中对阵前总统雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗的儿子弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗。双方竞选团队都在争取首轮被淘汰候选人的选民支持。
Lula, seeking another term, will face Bolsonaro, the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, in the runoff. Both campaigns are seeking support from voters whose candidates were eliminated in the first round.
其他主要民调机构也预计将发布决选民调,为10月25日之前选情的发展提供更多迹象。
Other major pollsters are also expected to release runoff surveys, giving more indications of how the race is developing ahead of Oct. 25.
巴西选举制度要求候选人在首轮投票中获得超过50%的有效票才能直接赢得总统职位。
Brazil’s electoral system requires a candidate to receive more than 50% of valid votes to win the presidency in the first round.
由于两位候选人都未达到该门槛,卢拉和博尔索纳罗双双进入决选。
With neither candidate reaching that threshold, Lula and Bolsonaro advanced to the runoff.