乌克兰的弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基表示他愿意签署能源基础设施停火协议，而俄罗斯方面则鲜有表态。作者：史蒂夫·罗森伯格周日，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普宣布，俄罗斯和乌克兰已就能源基础设施的袭击达成停火协议，且“立即生效”。乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基表示这是“对我来说是个消息”，而俄罗斯方面尚未公开发表评论。那么，各方到底在说什么？唐纳德·特朗普表示能源停火协议已经达成。
While Ukraine's Volodymyr Zelensky suggests he would sign up to a ceasefire on energy infrastructure, Russia has said little. By Steve Rosenberg On Sunday, US President Donald Trump announced that Russia and Ukraine had agreed a ceasefire on strikes on energy infrastructure "effective immediately". Ukraine's Volodymyr Zelensky suggested it was "news for me", while Russia has not commented publicly. So who is saying what? Donald Trump says an energy ceasefire has been agreed.
基辅方面质疑：真的吗？他们表示愿意签署——前提是俄罗斯也这样做。俄罗斯方面则几乎没有表态。
Kyiv asks: Has it? It is willing to sign up – if Russia does. Russia is saying: Very little.
俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京的发言人德米特里·佩斯科夫在每日对记者的电话会议中被问及此类停火是否已经达成。“接触仍在继续，”佩斯科夫回应道。
Russian President Vladimir Putin's spokesman Dmitry Peskov was asked whether such a ceasefire had been agreed during his daily conference call with journalists. "Contacts are continuing," Peskov replied.
“只要我们对此有任何可说的，我们肯定会告知你们。”佩斯科夫在这件事上可能并没有太多可说的，但亲克里姆林宫的媒体却有所表态。
"As soon as we have anything to say about this, we will definitely inform you." Peskov may not have had much to say on the matter, but the pro-Kremlin media has.
他们将特朗普总统关于能源停火的宣布称为“对莫斯科的一份礼物”。
It has dubbed President Trump's announcement of an energy ceasefire "a gift" for Moscow.
“当然我们会受益，”亲政府新闻媒体《莫斯科共产党人报》得出结论。“这意味着俄罗斯只需不摧毁乌克兰最后剩下的那座炼油厂。“这座炼油厂已经多次遭到袭击。“无论如何它如今几乎已经无法正常运作。“但基辅不被允许袭击我们拥有的众多炼油厂。
"Of course we benefit," pro-government news outlet Moskovsky Komsomolets concluded. "It means that all Russia has to do is not destroy Ukraine's last remaining oil refinery. "That has already been attacked several times. It's barely functioning anyway.
“实际上这是一项单方面的协议，对我们有利。这就是为什么这里没有人正式反对它。”换句话说，莫斯科认为特朗普的宣布束缚了乌克兰的手脚，而不是俄罗斯的。
"But Kyiv won't be allowed to hit the multitude of refineries we have. "In effect it's a one-way deal that benefits us. That's why no one here has officially rejected it." In other words, Moscow believes Trump's announcement ties Ukraine's hands, not Russia's.
在最近几个月里，乌克兰对俄罗斯石油设施的远程无人机袭击造成了广泛破坏，并导致全国范围内的燃料短缺。
In recent months, long-range Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil facilities have caused extensive damage, as well as fuel shortages across the country.
如果此类袭击继续进行，预计俄罗斯将声称基辅正在损害美国的经济利益——以及共和党在11月中期选举中的前景。
Should such attacks continue, expect the Russians to claim that Kyiv is harming US economic interests – as well as the Republican Party's chances in the midterm elections in November.
俄罗斯官员将辩称，这些袭击破坏了特朗普与普京最近达成的燃料协议，该协议旨在让美国进口俄罗斯柴油。
Russian officials will argue that the strikes undermine the recent Trump-Putin fuel deal for the US to import Russian diesel.
特朗普声称这项协议将惠及美国消费者，尽管普遍存在质疑，认为协议涉及的燃料数量难以大幅降低油价。
Trump has claimed the agreement will benefit US consumers, although there is widespread scepticism that the volumes involved will do much to lower fuel prices.
即便如此，如果乌克兰对石油设施的无人机袭击能引发白宫的愤怒，并促使美国减少对基辅的支持，克里姆林宫将不胜欣喜。
Still, the Kremlin will be only too happy if Ukrainian drone strikes on oil facilities spark fury in the White House and curtail US support for Kyiv.
莫斯科还将欢迎华盛顿停止与乌克兰共享情报，并停止向欧洲出售最终将运往基辅的武器。
Moscow would welcome Washington cutting off intelligence sharing to Ukraine and weapons sales to Europe that are destined for Kyiv.
此前，特朗普宣称：“我认为乌克兰是时候换一位新总统了。”这让莫斯科感到十分高兴。乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基则呼吁俄罗斯停火60天，以便乌克兰举行总统选举。莫斯科的反应如何？
It has already delighted to hear Trump declaring: "I think it's time for Ukraine to get a new president." Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has called for a 60-day Russian ceasefire to allow for presidential elections in Ukraine. Moscow's reaction?
佩斯科夫表示：“克里姆林宫和总统此前多次表示，我们不想要停火，我们想要持久和平，并愿意为此采取一切可能的措施。”
"The Kremlin, the president, has said many times before, we don't want a ceasefire, we want a lasting peace, and we're willing to do whatever's possible for that," Peskov said.
但“一切可能的措施”并不包括60天停火，也不包括30天停火，甚至任何接近于此的方案。周一，克里姆林宫提议仅停火一天，以便乌克兰举行选举。在乌克兰和西方看来，这并不会被视为一项认真的提议。不过，这并不令人意外。普京几乎没有表现出停止战斗的意愿。
"Whatever's possible" does not include a 60-day ceasefire, or a 30-day ceasefire, or anything close to that. On Monday, the Kremlin proposed a one-day cessation of hostilities for Ukraine to hold elections. That will not be seen in Ukraine, or in the West, as a serious offer. It comes as no surprise though. Putin has shown little desire to halt the fighting.
俄罗斯领导人的近期言论、演讲和信号表明，随着冬季临近，克里姆林宫正指望通过持续的俄罗斯空袭，进一步加大对乌克兰的压力。
Recent statements, speeches and signals from Russia's leader suggest that, with winter approaching, the Kremlin is counting on a continued campaign of Russian strikes to significantly increase the pressure on Ukraine.
周一，俄罗斯外交部长谢尔盖·拉夫罗夫称，乌克兰并不配获得停火所能带来的“喘息之机”。克里姆林宫声称追求“持久和平”，但目前仍在继续战斗。
On Monday, Russia's Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said Ukraine does not deserve the "respite" a ceasefire would bring. The Kremlin has claimed to seek "lasting peace" but right now it is continuing the fighting.
周一，泽连斯基称，俄罗斯在夜间至次日凌晨期间袭击了乌克兰境内的多个能源目标。
On Monday, Zelensky claimed that Russia had hit several energy targets across Ukraine during the night and into the morning.
“应该利用这一机会窗口，把乌克兰打回石器时代，并迫使它接受以俄罗斯条件实现的和平，”亲政府的《莫斯科共青团员报》写道。克里姆林宫的目标没有改变：乌克兰投降。
"This window of opportunity should be used to knock Ukraine back to the Stone Age and force it to accept peace on Russia's terms," the pro-government Moskovsky Komsomolets has written. The Kremlin's objective hasn't changed: Ukraine's capitulation.
莫斯科似乎认为，与特朗普达成的柴油协议以及美国总统对泽连斯基日益增长的不耐烦，将有助于俄罗斯实现其目标。
Moscow seems to believe that the diesel deal with Trump and the US president's growing impatience with Zelensky will help Russia secure its goal.