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The Intercept

ICE突袭伊尔汗·奥马尔住所表明,特朗普两年乱政可能变得多么危险ICE Raid on Ilhan Omar Shows How Dangerous Two Years of Flailing Trump Could Get

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2026年10月12日,移民和海关执法局(ICE)探员突袭了民主党明尼苏达州众议员伊尔汗·奥马尔的住所,地点在华盛顿特区。照片:安德鲁·莱登/盖蒂图片社ICE agents raid the home of Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., on Oct. 12, 2026, in Washington, D.C. Photo: Andrew Leyden/Getty Images

在历史上法西斯政权的模式下,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的政府派遣联邦特工,由美国移民和海关执法局(ICE)人员组成,突袭了一名因种族和宗教被单独挑选出的政治对手的住所,企图公开剥夺她的公民身份。

In the mode of historic fascist regimes, President Donald Trump’s administration sent federal agents with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to raid the home of a political opponent, singled out for her race and religion, in a transparent effort to strip her of her citizenship.

周一,国土安全部调查局(HSI)的特工——ICE的调查部门——对华盛顿特区的众议员伊尔汉·奥马尔(D-明尼苏达州)住所进行了搜查。联邦官员称此次行动是“正在进行的联邦刑事调查”的一部分。HSI此前以打击人口贩卖、毒品走私和战争罪犯而闻名。但在特朗普第二届政府期间,该部门越来越多地用于调查抗议者和移民欺诈。

On Monday, agents with Homeland Security Investigations, ICE’s investigative wing, conducted a search of the Washington, D.C., home of Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., with federal officials describing the incursion as part of “an ongoing federal criminal investigation.”HSI was previously known for targeting human traffickers, drug smugglers, and war criminals. But under the second Trump administration, the unit has been increasingly focused on investigating protesters and immigration fraud.

而后者正是特朗普政府官员在过去几个月里对奥马尔带有偏见地施加的标签。三月份,副总统JD·万斯表示:“我们实际上认为,伊尔汉·奥马尔肯定对美国犯下了移民欺诈罪。”上个月,国土安全部长马克韦恩·穆林表示,“奥马尔案件将会有所进展”,移民事务沙皇汤姆·霍曼也证实了正在进行的调查。

That latter category is exactly what Trump administration officials have been prejudiciously applying to Omar for months. In March, Vice President JD Vance said, “We actually think that Ilhan Omar definitely committed immigration fraud against the United States of America.”And, last month, Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin said that “something is going to happen” on the Omar case, with immigration czar Tom Homan confirming an investigation.

然而,ICE对奥马尔的突袭是特朗普长期威胁剥夺国会议员公民身份的极端升级。奥马尔出生于索马里,但年幼时作为难民来到美国。她一再否认移民欺诈的指控,并将参加11月的连选竞选。

The ICE raid against Omar, however, is an extremist escalation in Trump’s long-running threats to denaturalize the member of Congress, who was born in Somalia but came to the U.S. as a refugee when she was a young child. Omar, who has denied the repeated allegations of immigration fraud, is on the ballot for reelection in November.

此次突袭不仅向所有像奥马尔一样反对特朗普政权的归化公民传递了寒意,它也是迄今为止最令人不安的迹象之一,表明特朗普及其追随者在未来两年内可能有多危险。

Not only does the raid send a chill to all naturalized citizens who, like Omar, oppose the Trump regime, it is also one of the most ominous signs to date of how dangerous Trump and his acolytes can get in the next two years.

随着他的支持率暴跌,对权力的掌控日益脆弱,特朗普正在成为一个摇摇欲坠的暴君。与此同时,他被忠诚的最高法院授予了非凡的行政权力,并清洗了联邦政府中几乎所有的制衡机制。这正是造成巨大伤害的配方。

With his popularity tanking and his grip on power growing tenuous, Trump is becoming a flailing tyrant. Meanwhile, he has been granted extraordinary executive power by a loyalist Supreme Court and has purged the federal government of practically all checks and balances. It’s a recipe for immense harm.

关于特朗普政权是否符合法西斯主义的争论早已陈旧、乏味,这里不值得重复讨论。

Debates about whether the Trump regime qualifies as fascist are old, tired, and not worth retreading here.

然而,毫无疑问,在选举前三周针对一个被种族化的政治对手进行驱逐,这是一种赤裸裸的法西斯行为——尤其是在极右翼对全国索马里社区日益激烈的攻击背景下。

There can be little doubt, though, that targeting a racialized political opponent for deportation three weeks before an election is a nakedly fascist move — especially in the context of the far right’s evermore vitriolic attacks on Somali communities nationwide.

“明尼苏达州正被索马里移民占领,”特朗普上周在Truth Social上写道。“索马里人不应该被允许逃脱他们所做的事情。他们把你看成软弱和愚蠢的人。明尼苏达州,反击吧,反击吧!”这简直就是对种族战争的煽动。

“Minnesota is being taken over by Somali Immigrants,” Trump wrote in a Truth Social post last week. “The Somalians should not be allowed to get away with what they are doing. They view you as weak and stupid people. Fight back Minnesota, fight back!”It was nothing short of an exhortation to a race war.

随着他的民众支持继续下降,我们可以确定,总统及其白人至上主义内阁将以更加法西斯的方式动员联邦政府的力量。

As his popular support continues to wane, we can be sure that the president and his white supremacist Cabinet will marshal the force of the federal government in even more fascistic ways.

许多阻止特朗普的手段已经被削弱,正如这次突袭本身所清楚表明的那样。

Many means of stopping Trump have been defanged, as the raid itself makes clear.

我们不能依赖法院。例如,搜查奥马尔住所的搜查令是由一位法官签署的。

We cannot rely on the courts. The warrant to search Omar’s home, for instance, was signed by a judge.

事实上,司法系统已经允许特朗普的反移民过激行为肆意蔓延。法院还曾因参加反对联邦政府的抗议而将活动家判处数十年监禁。虽然一些联邦法官甚至最高法院曾对特朗普议程的一些内容提出反对,但正是法院也为总统提供了免于惩罚的保护。我们也知道,这一届政府 routinely(习惯性地)无视法院命令,因为他们知道不会面临后果。

The judicial system, indeed, has permitted vast swaths of Trump’s anti-immigrant excesses. Courts have also sent activists to prison for decades for attending protests against the federal government. And, while some federal judges and even the Supreme Court have pushed back on some of Trump’s agenda, it is also the courts that have covered the president with impunity. We know, too, that this administration routinely disregards court orders in the knowledge that it will not face consequences.

国会前景几乎没有更多乐观可言。即便民主党在11月夺回国会,他们也必须面对一个陷入困境的权威主义行政首脑,他拥有全额资助的常备民兵 — — 也就是ICE。

There is little more optimism to be had on the congressional front. Even if Democrats take back Congress in November, they must reckon with an embattled authoritarian executive with a fully funded standing militia — namely, ICE.

民主党应当团结起来,阻止特朗普基于种族主义政治猎巫而非法驱逐同事的努力,但我们只能期待国会除了发表谴责声明之外几乎没有其他行动。事实上,太多中间派民主党人乐于将左翼同僚,尤其是像奥马尔和密歇根州民主党众议员拉希达·特莱布这样的穆斯林,推向狼群。

Democrats should unite to stop Trump’s efforts to lawlessly deport a colleague based on a racist political witch hunt, but we can expect little congressional action beyond condemnatory statements. Indeed, all too many centrist Democrats have been happy to throw left-wing colleagues, particularly Muslims like Omar and Rep. Rashida Tlaib, D-Mich., to the wolves.

从国家到市政层面的当选领导人应当制定策略,以保护选民免受特朗普最极端政策的侵害,前提是他们知道他及其盟友将进一步升级。弹劾应当是首要任务,没错,但同样重要的是通过法律来拆解和削减ICE,以及其他措施 — — 这些正是主流民主党人一直拒绝接受的事情。

Elected leaders, from the national to municipal level, should be strategizing about how to protect their constituents from Trump’s worst extremes in the knowledge that he and his allies will escalate further. Impeachment should be a priority, yes, but so too should passing laws to dismantle and defund ICE, among other measures — just the sorts of things mainstream Democrats have refused to countenance.

如果不是法院或当选领导人,那又是什么?答案很明确:特朗普的绝望式权威主义也必须遭到大众性的、武装性的反对。

If not the courts or elected leaders, what then? The answer is clear: Trump’s desperate authoritarianism must also be met by mass popular and militant opposition.

仅仅在11月投票,然后祈祷再熬两年是不够的。前线组织者们正在为移民邻里抵御ICE而筋疲力尽,他们需要人数和支持。

It is not enough to vote in November, then cross our fingers for two more years. Organizers on the front lines defending immigrant neighbors against ICE are exhausted and need numbers and support.

面临审判或已被判处数十年监禁的活动人士,因抵抗特朗普政权而需要持续的法律援助和资金。准备就绪才是关键。

Activists facing trial or already sentenced to decades in prison for resisting Trump’s regime need ongoing legal support and funding. Readiness is all.

这并不是说我们必须生活在对日益妄想的暴君的瘫痪性恐惧之中。相反,重点在于认识到危险并继续前行。

This is not to suggest that we must live in a state of paralyzing fear of an evermore delusional tyrant. The point, rather, is to recognize the danger and go on.

对特朗普、对边境制度以及对种族主义国家暴力的抵抗已经存在;它必须得到支持、扩大,并成为我们自身升级的课题。

Resistance to Trump, to the border regime, and to racist state violence already exists; it must be supported, expanded, and the subject of an escalation of our own.