特朗普总统与加拿大升级的贸易战可能会给美国最受关注的摇摆州之一带来经济打击，有可能推高汽车制造商的成本和消费者的价格。
President Donald Trump's escalating trade fight with Canada could deliver an economic blow to one of the country's most closely watched battleground states, potentially raising costs for automakers and prices for consumers.
作为今年11月一场激烈争夺的美国参议院选战所在地，密歇根州尤其脆弱，因为其汽车工业高度依赖与加拿大的跨境供应链。
Michigan, home to a fiercely contested U.S. Senate race this November, is particularly vulnerable because its auto industry depends heavily on a cross-border supply chain with Canada.
根据密歇根州交通部的数据，2025年，美国的北方邻国接收了约212亿美元的密歇根州出口商品，约占该州总出口额的36%，主要为车辆和零部件。自由市场非营利组织“消费者选择中心”政策总监大卫·克莱门特警告称，关税成本最终可能转嫁给密歇根州的驾驶者。
America's northern neighbor received roughly $21.2 billion worth of Michigan exports in 2025, about 36% of the state's total, mainly vehicles and parts, according to the Michigan Department of Transportation. David Clement, policy director of the free market nonprofit Consumer Choice Center, warned the costs of tariffs could ultimately reach Michigan drivers.
克莱门特对福克斯新闻数字频道表示：“作为密歇根消费者，你会看到的是经销商车场上更高的价格。”他将关税与已经居高不下的生活成本描述为“双重打击”。 专家警告：5个州可能成为特朗普对加贸易战中最大输家 这些担忧出现之际，特朗普已加剧与加拿大的贸易争端。
"How you see this as a Michigan consumer is higher prices on the dealership lot," Clement told Fox News Digital, describing tariffs alongside already-elevated living costs as a "double whammy." 5 STATES COULD BE THE BIGGEST LOSERS IN TRUMP'S TRADE WAR WITH CANADA, EXPERT WARNS Those concerns come as Trump has intensified his trade dispute with Canada.
他今年早些时候对某些加拿大产品加征了50%的关税，政府随后还禁止某些加拿大产品自9月29日起进入美国。克莱门特表示，密歇根州属于在此争端中风险敞口最大的州之一。
He imposed an additional 50% tariff on certain Canadian products earlier this year, and the administration has since barred certain Canadian products from entering the U.S. beginning Sept. 29. Clement said Michigan ranks among the states most exposed to the dispute.
他说：“就各州在贸易战中的出口脆弱性排名而言，密歇根州排在第七左右，”并指出设备、机械和汽车行业是令人担忧的领域。
"Michigan, in terms of ranking all of the states in their export vulnerability in the trade war, sits at around seventh," he said, pointing to equipment, machinery and the auto industry as areas of concern.
共和党刚获得国会争夺战的强力新剧本。内情如下 这种脆弱性因汽车零部件在车辆完工前频繁跨境流动而加剧。
REPUBLICANS JUST GOT A POWERFUL NEW PLAYBOOK FOR THE BATTLE FOR CONGRESS. HERE'S WHAT'S INSIDE That vulnerability is compounded by how frequently auto parts cross the border before a vehicle is completed.
克莱门特说：“大多数美国人不知道，一辆美国组装车辆上的单个零部件在真正完工前，可能要跨境往返多达八次。”
"Most Americans don't know that a single component on a U.S.-assembled vehicle can cross the border upwards of eight times before it's actually completed," Clement said.
“当对往返跨越边境的汽车零部件征收关税时，风险敞口数据正是从那时开始上升的，”他补充道，并警告称，关税和反制措施确实会“严重卡住密歇根州与安大略省之间高度交织的汽车供应链”。
"When you are tariffing automotive parts going across the border each way, that is where the exposure numbers start to tick up," he added, warning that tariffs and retaliation can "really gum up the very intertwined supply chain for cars between Michigan and Ontario."
随着民主党人阿卜杜勒·赛义德与共和党人迈克·罗杰斯竞逐由即将退休的民主党参议员加里·彼得斯腾出的参议院席位，这场经济博弈的利益攸关程度也愈发凸显。
The economic stakes come as Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers compete for the Senate seat being vacated by retiring Democratic Sen. Gary Peters.
即使贸易争端在密歇根州可能带来政治风险，特朗普政府仍为其行动辩护，称这些行动对于保护美国企业和劳动者、以及为加拿大创造公平竞争环境而言都是必要的。美联储刚给特朗普的中期选举经济叙事制造了麻烦不过，克莱门特认为，这场争端可能会在一个政治上格外敏感的时间点给美国企业带来压力。
Even as the trade fight creates potential political risks in Michigan, the Trump administration has defended its actions as necessary to protect American businesses and workers and level the playing field with Canada. THE FED JUST THREW A WRENCH IN TRUMP'S MIDTERM ECONOMIC MESSAGE Clement, however, argued the dispute could put pressure on American businesses at a politically sensitive time.
克莱门特说：“就中期选举而言，唐纳德·特朗普最初针对加拿大采取的升级措施似乎有些适得其反。”
"It would appear that Donald Trump's original escalation against Canada has somewhat backfired in terms of the midterms," Clement said.
他警告称，依赖加拿大商品的企业可能会在选民即将前往投票时感受到冲击。
He warned that businesses dependent on Canadian goods could feel the effects just as voters head to the polls.
克莱门特说：“依赖加拿大投入品的美国制造商或企业，将在临近投票日时开始感受到痛楚。生活成本、商品成本和经营成本，是即将投票的美国选民非常看重的重要因素。”
"American manufacturers or American businesses who rely on Canadian inputs are going to start to feel the pain right in the lead-up to going to the ballot box," Clement said. "Cost of living, cost of goods, cost of doing business is such an important factor for Americans who are going to be casting a ballot."