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埃塞俄比亚政府军在提格雷推进,叛军撤退:需要了解的情况Ethiopian gov’t forces advance in Tigray as rebels retreat: What to know

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埃塞俄比亚政府军及亲政府武装已重新夺回提格雷州首府默克莱的主要机场。经过一周多的激烈战斗后,政府军在该地区不断推进。

Ethiopia’s military and pro-government forces have recaptured the main airport in Mekelle the capital of Tigray, as the government forces advanced in the northern region after more than a week of intense fighting.

上周,阿比·艾哈迈德总理领导的联邦政府与提格雷人民解放阵线及其盟友爆发冲突,导致2022年11月签署的《比勒陀利亚协议》这一脆弱的和平协议宣告失效。

Fighting erupted last week between the federal government of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) and its allies, shattering the fragile Pretoria Agreement, a peace deal signed in November 2022.

这场冲突引发了人们的担忧:局势可能升级为更大范围的地区性冲突,甚至有可能波及非洲之角的周边国家。以下是关于最新事态发展的关键信息:当前战况如何?

The fighting has stoked fears that it could escalate into a wider regional conflict, potentially drawing in neighbouring countries in the Horn of Africa. This is what you need to know about the latest developments:

据一位了解默克莱城内情况的人士及一位人道主义工作者向路透社透露,埃塞俄比亚军队已重新控制了位于默克莱的阿卢拉·阿巴·内加机场。

What is the latest on the fighting? Ethiopian troops regained control of Alula Aba Nega Airport in Mekelle, a source with knowledge of the events in the city and a humanitarian source told the Reuters news agency.

该机场位于默克莱市中心以东约10公里处,是9月23日冲突爆发之初被叛军占领的三座机场之一。

The airport, about 10km (6 miles) east of the centre of Mekelle, was one of three airfields in the region that were seized by rebel forces at the start of the fighting on September 23.

第三位消息人士是默克莱的一名居民,出于安全考虑他要求匿名。此人证实政府军已夺回机场,并称市中心外仍能听到枪声。

A third source, a Mekelle resident who asked not to be named for security reasons, confirmed government forces had retaken the airport and added that gunfire could be heard outside the city centre.

他还称看到一些提格雷人民解放阵线的武装人员撤离岗位、返回家中,同时市内还出现了洗劫政府设施的现象。

This source reported seeing some fighters from the TPLF abandoning their posts and heading home and said looting of government facilities was taking place in the city.

当地一名记者也向法新社证实了这一情况,他表示“提格雷人民解放阵线的武装分子及领导人正在撤离默克莱”。该记者还指出,政府机关和警察局目前也处于无人值守状态。

This was also confirmed by a local journalist who told the AFP news agency the “TPLF militants and leaders are leaving Mekelle.”The journalist added that government offices and police stations had also been left without security personnel.

一名当地居民告诉法新社,他担心“政府和公共财产可能遭到洗劫”。

A local resident told AFP that he was concerned “government and public property could be exposed to looting”.

另一位居民则表示:“无序状态可能会在城里蔓延,我也为自己的生命安全感到担忧。希望我们能尽快恢复秩序。”

“Lawlessness could spread in the city, and I am also afraid for my life. I want us to quickly return to law and order,” another resident said.

周五,半岛电视台驻埃塞俄比亚的分社负责人穆罕默德·塔哈·塔瓦克尔报道称,忠于联邦政府的部队在蒂格雷地区取得了重大进展,控制了多个城镇,并已逼近梅克勒。

On Friday, Al Jazeera’s bureau chief in Ethiopia, Mohammed Taha Tawakel, reported that forces loyal to the federal government have made significant gains in Tigray, taking control of several towns and closing in on Mekelle. Where is the fighting taking place?

战斗发生在埃塞俄比亚北部的多个地区,这些地区横跨蒂格雷、阿姆哈拉和阿法尔三个省份。

The fighting has occurred on several fronts across northern Ethiopia that stretch across the Tigray, Amhara and Afar regions.

上周,由支持联邦政府的蒂格雷武装人员组成的“蒂格雷和平力量”宣称他们占领了阿拉马塔镇。阿拉马塔镇具有重要意义:它位于蒂格雷与阿姆哈拉的南部边界附近,是军队、燃料和物资的补给中心。如果联邦政府控制了该镇,他们就能向北推进,直逼梅克勒。

Last week, the Tigray Peace Force, an armed group composed of Tigrayan fighters aligned with the federal government, said it had captured the town of Alamata. Alamata is important because it sits near Tigray’s southern border with Amhara and serves as a supply hub for troops, fuel and food. Control of the town could allow federal forces to push north towards Mekelle.

在阿法尔地区的战斗可能会威胁到从吉布提通往埃塞俄比亚的补给路线——因为大多数进口物资(包括燃料)都是通过这条路线运输的。此外,有指控称厄立特里亚直接参与了阿法尔地区的战斗。

The offensive in Afar could threaten supply routes from Djibouti, through which most Ethiopian imports, including fuel, pass. The fighting in Afar also comes amid allegations of direct Eritrean involvement.

埃塞俄比亚指责厄立特里亚支持反对其政府的武装组织,而厄立特里亚则否认了这些指控。战斗还蔓延到了阿姆哈拉地区,尤其是北沃洛地区。埃塞俄比亚军方表示,已有约270名蒂格雷武装人员在该地区丧生,超过200人受伤。

Ethiopia has accused Eritrea of backing armed groups opposed to its government. Eritrea has rejected the accusations Fighting has also spread into Amhara including around North Wollo. The Ethiopian military has said about 270 Tigrayan fighters have been killed and more than 200 wounded there.

在埃塞俄比亚北部以外的地区,冲突首次蔓延到了首都亚的斯亚贝巴——周四早些时候,国防部附近发生了爆炸事件。当前的人道主义局势如何?

Outside northern Ethiopia, the conflict appeared to spill into the capital, Addis Ababa, for the first time early on Thursday as an explosion was reported at the Ministry of Defence. What is the humanitarian situation like?

这场冲突已经造成了严重的人道主义灾难:至少有52名平民在战斗中丧生。无国界医生组织(MSF)上周表示,北部的伤者人数急剧增加。

The fighting is already taking a devastating humanitarian toll. At least 52 civilians have been killed due to fighting in northern Ethiopia. Doctors Without Borders, also known by its French acronym MSF, said last week that there had been a surge in the number of wounded in the north.

国际特赦组织周五表示,自冲突再度爆发以来,该组织收到了“大量可信报告,称炮击与空袭导致大量民用设施遭到破坏,强制征兵现象愈演愈烈,此外还有其他可能违反国际人道法及国际人权法的行为”。

Amnesty International said on Friday that since the fighting has restarted, it has received “credible reports of destruction of civilian objects through shelling and air strikes, intensified forced conscription, and other acts that may constitute violations of international humanitarian law and international human rights law”.

“非洲联盟和平与安全委员会绝不能等到大规模暴行发生或平民伤亡人数激增之后,才将东道国埃塞俄比亚的问题列入议程。作为当前已名存实亡的停火协议的担保方之一,非盟必须吸取过往教训,在为时未晚之际迅速启动应对机制并动员各成员国采取行动,”国际特赦组织东非及南部非洲地区主任蒂格雷·查古塔在一份声明中说道。

“The African Union’s Peace and Security Council cannot wait for mass atrocities to unfold or for a surge in civilian casualties before placing Ethiopia, its host country, on the agenda. The AU, which was one of the guarantors of the ceasefire agreement that has now effectively collapsed, must learn from past mistakes and urgently activate its response mechanisms and mobilize its member states before it is too late,” Tigere Chagutah, Amnesty International’s regional director for East and Southern Africa, said in a statement.

“首要举措便是和平与安全委员会应紧急召开特别会议,讨论埃塞俄比亚局势。鉴于当前冲突可能外溢至整个地区的担忧日益加剧,此举尤为关键——这场冲突究竟会不会在区域内蔓延呢?”分析人士担忧,目前的冲突有可能蔓延至埃塞俄比亚境外。

“The starting point is for the Peace and Security Council to urgently convene an emergency session on the situation in Ethiopia. This is especially critical as fears of regionalisation of the conflict are on the rise Could the current conflict spread in the region? Analysts fear the current conflict could spread beyond Ethiopia’s borders.

周四,厄立特里亚宣布与埃塞俄比亚断绝外交关系,使得两国长期存在的矛盾进一步激化。

On Thursday, Eritrea cut off diplomatic relations with Ethiopia, escalating a long-simmering conflict between the two states.

厄立特里亚外交部在声明中指出,埃塞俄比亚的行为已使其“别无选择,只能以同样方式回应并断绝与埃塞俄比亚的一切外交联系”。

In a statement, Eritrea’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs said Ethiopia’s actions had left it with “no option but to reciprocate in kind and sever all diplomatic ties with Ethiopia”.

该部还指责埃塞俄比亚多年来一直推行“持续敌对政策”,包括侵犯厄立特里亚的沿海地区以及为反对埃塞俄比亚政府的武装分子提供武器支持。

The ministry accused Ethiopia of pursuing a years-long “agenda of incessant hostility”, including by infringing on its coastal areas and arming fighters opposed to Ethiopia’s government.

2018年,在阿比耶胡的领导下,两国在经历了20多年的紧张关系后恢复了外交关系;但此后由于埃塞俄比亚指控厄立特里亚支持提格雷地区的反政府武装,两国关系再度恶化。如今,埃塞俄比亚与厄立特里亚也站在了对立面。

Eritrea and Ethiopia restored ties in 2018 under Abiy’s leadership after more than 20 years of tensions, but their relations have since soured over Addis Ababa’s accusation that Asmara backs the Tigray rebels. Ethiopia and Eritrea now also find themselves on opposing sides.

苏丹这一共同邻国的冲突已牵扯到两国,以及非洲和海湾地区的其他国家。

Conflict in their shared neighbour, Sudan, has drawn in both countries, alongside other states in Africa and the Gulf.

在苏丹以东的索马里,安全危机日益严重,有可能导致该国进一步分裂;与此同时,各外国势力正觊觎索马里各自治地区的海岸线资源。

Down the coast, Somalia’s security crises are deepening, threatening to fragment the country further as foreign powers eye its self-governing regions for their coastline.

在此背景下,美国与以色列对伊朗发动的战争,以及位于厄立特里亚对面的也门胡塞武装的介入,也引发了人们对红海贸易通道安全性的担忧。

Against this backdrop, the United States-Israel war on Iran and the involvement of Yemen’s Houthis just across the Red Sea from Eritrea have also increased concerns over trade routes through that waterway.

伦敦大学亚非学院发展研究学教授劳拉·哈蒙德周五对半岛电视台表示,这种局势实际上已经开始显现。

Laura Hammond, professor in development studies at SOAS University of London, told Al Jazeera on Friday that this scenario is already under way.

“冲突蔓延至其他国家、或导致地区邻国卷入当前战争的风险,如今正通过厄立特里亚对提格雷人民解放阵线及‘生存联盟’的支持而逐步成为现实,”哈蒙德说道。

“The risks that conflict will spread to other countries or that neighbours in the region will be brought into the present conflict are already playing out in terms of Eritrea’s support for the TPLF and the Alliance for Survival,” Hammond said.

她接着指出:“如果这场冲突持续下去,厄立特里亚极有可能进一步深度介入提格雷地区的战事;此外,这场冲突还有可能激化苏丹国内及与苏丹之间的关系。”厄立特里亚方面则否认自己参与了这场战争。

“There is a strong possibility that Eritrea will become more involved in the conflict on the ground inside Tigray if it continues much longer,” she continued. “There is also a risk that the conflict could inflame relations with and inside Sudan.”Eritrea has denied it is involved in the war.