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追踪数据显示,中东原油出口量已超过战前水平Middle East crude oil exports exceed pre-war levels, tracking data shows

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新加坡 -- 航运数据显示,尽管通过霍尔木兹海峡的船只遭到袭击,但9月最后一周的七天中有四天,中东原油出口量超过了战前水平。

SINGAPORE -- Crude oil exports from the Middle East rose above pre-war levels in four of the seven days of the final week of September, shipping data showed on Monday, despite attacks on vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz.

船舶追踪公司Kpler的初步数据显示,9月24日及9月27日至29日,该地区原油出口量超过战前水平,升至每天1950万桶至2250万桶之间。

Crude exports from the region exceeded pre-war levels on Sept. 24 and between Sept. 27 and 29, rising to between 19.5 million barrels per day and 22.5 million bpd, provisional data from ship-tracking firm Kpler showed.

在2025年3月至今年2月美国和以色列与伊朗的战争爆发前,该地区原油出口日均为1800万桶。

Exports averaged 18 million bpd between March 2025 and February this year before the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran began.

数据显示,截至10月1日,原油出口七日移动平均值为每天1850万桶。这包括通过霍尔木兹海峡、红海的过境量,以及终端出口和阿曼湾的船对船转运量。

The seven-day moving average for crude exports was at 18.5 million bpd on Oct. 1, the data showed. This include transits via the Strait of Hormuz, the Red Sea, exports from terminals and ship-to-ship transfers in the Gulf of Oman.

Kpler数据显示,截至9月30日的七天内,原油、成品油、化工品和非天然气液体的总计日均出口量为2240万桶。

The overall tally for crude, oil products, chemicals and non-gas liquids averaged 22.4 million bpd in the seven days to Sept. 30, Kpler data showed.

9月通过霍尔木兹海峡出口的液化天然气(LNG)货运量也上升至自2月以来的最高月度水平。

The number of liquefied natural gas cargoes exiting the Strait of Hormuz also rose in September to its highest monthly level since February.

上述数据不包括可能关闭自动识别系统(AIS)应答器以逃避探测而通过海峡的船只。

The figures exclude any vessels that might have crossed the strait with their automatic identification system transponders turned off to avoid detection.

在2月28日伊朗战争爆发前,该海峡通常每天处理约125艘大型商业船只,包括油轮、气体运输船、散货船和集装箱船,占全球每日原油和液化天然气供应量的约20%。

Before the Iran war started on Feb. 28, the strait typically handled about 125 large commercial vessels per day, including tankers, gas carriers, bulkers and container vessels, accounting for some 20% of the world's daily crude oil and LNG supply.

然而,航运情报公司Marisks周六发布的报告称,霍尔木兹海峡内外的油轮袭击事件仍在持续,至少报告了七起事件。

However, attacks on tankers continued in and around the Strait of Hormuz, with at least seven incidents reported, shipping intelligence firm Marisks said in a report on Saturday.

报告补充称,超大型原油运输船“Kazimah III”号据报于10月1日在海峡作业时被不明飞行物击中,导致船上起火。

The very large crude carrier Kazimah III was reportedly struck on Oct. 1 by an unknown projectile while operating in the strait, causing a fire on board the tanker, it added.

Marisks表示:“所有船员据报安全,随后已从船上撤离。”

"All crew members were reported safe and were subsequently evacuated from the vessel," Marisks said.

根据Kpler数据显示,Kazimah III轮最后于9月17日在阿曼海岸的拉斯马卡兹港卸载了200万桶科威特原油。其船东科威特油轮公司未在非办公时间立即回应置评请求。

Kazimah III was last seen discharging 2 million barrels of Kuwaiti crude at the Ras Markaz port on the coast of Oman on Sept. 17, Kpler data showed. Its owner, Kuwait Oil Tanker Company, did not immediately respond to a request for comment outside office hours.

英国海上贸易行动机构报告称,自10月2日起,在霍尔木兹海峡或亚丁湾每天至少发生一起袭击事件。

The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations agency has reported at least one attack a day in the Strait of Hormuz or in the Gulf of Aden since Oct. 2.

Marisks表示,鉴于近期通行量大幅增加,通过霍尔木兹海峡的商船面临“升级且日益不可预测的动能威胁”。

Marisks said merchant vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz face a "heightened and increasingly unpredictable kinetic threat" given the recent sharp increase in traffic.

“目前的情报显示,近期的事件模式不一定代表对单独选定商船的蓄意瞄准,”Marisks表示。

"Current intelligence suggests that the recent pattern of incidents may not necessarily represent deliberate targeting of individually selected merchant vessels," Marisks said.

“相反,现有信息表明,伊朗部队可能正向预设的交战区域或‘杀伤区’发射导弹,武器可能会捕获并锁定该区域内可用的雷达信号。”它补充道,在相关时间身处交战区域本身可能即构成主要风险敞口。

"Instead, available information indicates the possibility that Iranian forces are launching missiles into a predetermined engagement area or 'kill box,' with weapons potentially acquiring and locking onto available radar signatures within that area." Physical presence within the engagement zone at the relevant time could itself represent the primary exposure, it added.