10月5日--以法语为主的加拿大魁北克省周一将进行投票，虽然分离主义政党看起来将获胜，但竞选活动的重点更多地集中在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普身上，而不是独立。
Oct 5 - The predominantly French-speaking Canadian province of Quebec goes to the polls on Monday and while a separatist party looks set to win, the campaign's focus has been more on US President Donald Trump than on independence.
民意调查显示，中右翼联盟魁北克大道将在执政八年后被击败，转而支持魁北克党，该党表示，这个拥有900万人口的省份可以通过脱离加拿大更好地保存其法国文化和语言。
Polls show the center-right Coalition Avenir Quebec will be defeated after eight years in power in favor of the Parti Quebecois, which says the province of 9 million people can better preserve its French culture and language by breaking away from Canada.
但特朗普针对铝、钢铁和制造业等关键出口行业征收的关税对魁北克造成了不成比例的沉重打击。他们的影响力如此之大，以至于承诺在第一任期内就独立举行公投的人民党现在表示，在总统下台之前，他们将克制自己，直到魁北克人能够更冷静地反思自己的未来。
But Quebec has been hit disproportionately hard by Trump's tariffs targeting key export sectors such as aluminum, steel and manufacturing. So powerful is their impact that the PQ, which promised to hold a referendum on independence in its first term, now says it will refrain until the president is out of office and Quebecers can reflect more calmly on their future.
魁北克省的声明表明，魁北克省默认在留在加拿大的情况下可能会更好地应对特朗普。
The PQ's announcement suggests a tacit recognition that Quebec is likely to cope better with Trump while remaining in Canada.
民意调查显示，只有30%的魁北克人支持分居，而1995年独立公投期间这一比例达到近50%的峰值。分析人士表示，投票支持PQ更多的是对CAQ的失望，而不是对独立的认可。
Polls show only 30% of Quebecers back separation, compared with a peak of nearly 50% during a 1995 independence referendum. Analysts say a vote for the PQ would be more about disappointment with the CAQ than an endorsement of independence.
从竞选一开始，总理克里斯汀·弗雷谢特就明确表示，这次投票是关于特朗普及其关税造成的损害的。
From the start of the campaign, Premier Christine Frechette also made clear the vote was about Trump and the damage from his tariffs.
“他是真正的对手，他是真正威胁魁北克的人……我们必须与他作斗争，”她说，并将她的政党描绘成最有能力应对的政党。
"He's the real adversary, he's the one who truly threatens Quebec ... we have to fight against him," she said, portraying her party as best able to cope.
PQ的胜利在很大程度上反映了对政府的厌倦-- 77%的选民告诉民意调查公司Leger，他们希望做出改变--以及对高物价、紧张的医疗保健系统以及对关税造成损害的担忧的不满。
A PQ win would largely reflect fatigue with the government — 77% of voters told polling firm Leger they wanted a change — as well as unhappiness over high prices, a strained healthcare system and concerns over the damage done by tariffs.
这可能会给总理马克·卡尼带来挑战，他强调需要国家团结来应对特朗普。石油资源丰富的艾伯塔省将于10月就其居民是否希望独立举行不具约束力的投票。
It could pose challenges for Prime Minister Mark Carney, who stresses the need for national unity to handle Trump. The oil-rich province of Alberta will hold a non-binding vote in October on whether its residents want independence.
但PQ领导人保罗·圣皮埃尔·普拉蒙登已经排除了与华盛顿进行双边谈判以获得魁北克公司关税减免的可能性。
But PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon has already ruled out bilateral talks with Washington to gain tariff relief for Quebec firms.
“唐纳德·特朗普在魁北克非常不受欢迎--他非常有毒。因此，如果说你将试图与他达成协议，就会让PQ看起来非常糟糕，”蒙特利尔麦吉尔大学加拿大研究所所长、政治学教授丹尼尔·贝兰德说。
"Donald Trump is extremely unpopular in Quebec — he is very toxic. So saying that you will try to strike a deal with him would make the PQ look very bad," said political science professor Daniel Beland, director of the Institute for the Study of Canada at McGill University in Montreal.
10月3日发布的TVA和Journal de Montreal的Leger民意调查显示，PQ的公众支持率为29%，考虑到其他政党之间存在严重的选票分歧，这可能刚刚够在拥有127个席位的省立法机构中获得多数席位。自由党占25%，保守党占20%，CAQ占14%。
A Leger poll for TVA and Journal de Montreal released on October 3 showed the PQ at 29% public support, which could just be enough for a majority in the 127-seat provincial legislature given major vote-splitting among other parties. The Liberals were on 25%, the Conservatives on 20% and the CAQ on 14%.
莱格尔主席让-马克·莱格尔表示，如果人民党承诺不就独立问题对魁北克人进行民意调查，其支持率将会跃升。“选民想要这个政府，但没有公投，”他说。
Leger president Jean-Marc Leger said if the PQ promised not to poll Quebecers on independence, its support would jump. "Voters want this government, but without the referendum," he said.
对英语主导地位日益增长的挫败感推动了人民党的崛起，自1976年以来，人民党已赢得了五次省级选举。
Growing frustration over the dominance of English helped fuel the rise of the PQ, which has won five provincial elections since 1976.
魁北克的未来在9月23日的一场领导人辩论中只短暂地被提及，当时普拉蒙登表示，即使民意调查显示没有成功的机会，他也将再次举行独立投票。
Quebec's future featured only briefly in a leaders' debate on September 23, when Plamondon said he would call another independence vote even if polls showed it had no chance of success.
“不要害怕你的民主，不要害怕投票，不要害怕思考我们的未来，”他说。
"Do not be afraid of your democracy, don't be afraid to vote, don't be afraid to think about our future," he said.
投票时间为东部时间上午9：30（格林威治标准时间1330）至晚上8点，临时结果应在午夜前公布。
Voting takes place from 9:30 a.m. Eastern time (1330 GMT) to 8 p.m. The provisional result should be clear by midnight.