作者：藤冈彻日本央行行长植田和男未表现出任何意图去挑战市场对于本月连续加息的普遍预期，而是重申了央行的既定政策立场。
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda gave few indications that he intends to challenge prevailing bets against a back-to-back interest rate increase this month, reiterating the bank’s standing policy views.
植田周二在东京发表简短讲话称：“我们打算根据经济活动、物价和金融状况的发展，继续上调政策利率并调整货币宽松程度。”
“We intend to continue raising the policy interest rate and adjusting the degree of monetary accommodation in response to developments in economic activity, prices, and financial conditions,” Ueda said in a brief speech Tuesday in Tokyo.
他表示：“在评估经济和物价基准前景实现的风险及可能性时，我们将考虑这些调整的时机和节奏。”
“We will consider the timing and pace of these adjustments while assessing the risks and the likelihood of our baseline outlook for the economy and prices materializing,” Ueda said.
此次讲话之际，经济学家普遍预计央行将在10月30日下次董事会会议结束时维持政策设置不变。通过重申央行的政策立场和经济观点，行长表明他认为没有必要扭转这种看法，同时也为10月之后的加息留有余地。
The speech comes as economists generally expect the bank to hold policy settings steady at the Oct. 30 conclusion of the next board meeting. By reiterating the BOJ’s policy posture and economic view, the governor indicated he sees little need to reverse such perceptions, while keeping the door open for a hike beyond October.
隔夜指数掉期定价显示，投资者认为本月加息的概率约为12%。若将12月会议纳入考量，这一概率则飙升至约90%。
Pricing in overnight index swaps implies that investors see around a 12% probability of a rate hike this month. The odds surge to around 90% when the December meeting is included.