曼谷 -- 日本央行行长植田和男周五表示，潜在通胀已经非常接近央行2%的目标，且“我们不能容忍它继续上升”。植田正在泰国首都参加二十国集团和七国集团财政部长及央行行长会议。这些高层会谈于周四举行，与国际货币基金组织和世界银行年度会议同步进行，该年度会议将持续到周日。
BANGKOK -- Bank of Japan Gov. Kazuo Ueda said Friday that underlying inflation is already quite close to the central bank's 2% target and that "we cannot tolerate it rising any further." Ueda was in the Thai capital for meetings of Group of 20 and Group of Seven finance ministers and central bank governors. The high-level talks took place Thursday alongside the International Monetary Fund and World Bank annual meetings which run through Sunday.
“潜在通胀已经非常接近2%的目标，任何进一步的上升都将不可接受，”植田周五晚上在新闻发布会上表示。
"Underlying inflation is already quite close to the 2% target, and any further increase would be unacceptable," Ueda told a news conference Friday evening.
植田避免就加息速度发表评论，但表示自九月政策会议以来的经济数据“总体上”与央行的前景保持一致。他还表示，二十国集团会议中没有出现任何重大事项，能够改变他对经济和物价的看法。
Ueda avoided commenting on the pace of rate hikes but said economic data since the September policy meeting have been "broadly in line" with the bank's outlook. He also said nothing significant had emerged from the G20 meeting to alter his view of the economy and prices.
植田表示，二十国集团官员讨论了中东冲突和人工智能热潮及其对经济增长和物价的影响。
Ueda said G20 officials discussed the Middle East conflict and the artificial intelligence boom and their impact on economic growth and prices.
他重申，由于通胀的上行风险增加，货币政策已进入新阶段，这一信息他在央行九月政策会议上已有表达。在潜在通胀接近2%而金融状况仍保持宽松的情况下，“我们将根据形势继续提升政策利率，”他说。
He reiterated that monetary policy had entered a new phase because of growing upside risks to inflation, a message he had conveyed at the bank's September policy meeting. With underlying inflation approaching 2% while financial conditions remain accommodative, "we will continue to raise the policy rate as conditions warrant," he said.
关于加息的时间和速度，植田表示，央行在评估其基准经济和通胀前景实现的可能性并权衡相关风险时，将考虑“中东及人工智能相关领域的发展，以及外汇波动”。
On the timing and pace of rate hikes, Ueda said the bank will take into account "developments in the Middle East and AI-related sectors, as well as foreign exchange moves," while assessing the likelihood that its baseline economic and inflation outlook will materialize and weighing associated risks.
日本央行行长植田和男于10月16日在曼谷的新闻发布会上发表讲话。
Bank of Japan Gov. Kazuo Ueda speaks during a press conference in Bangkok on Oct. 16.
美国联邦储备委员会主席凯文·沃什当天早些时候在国际货币基金组织的一个会议上发言，警告人工智能投资激增可能带来的“金融稳定风险”。
U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh spoke at an IMF session earlier that day, warning of possible "financial stability risks" stemming from the surge in AI investment.
沃什回避了就美联储10月货币政策会议透露暗示，称“我不会预判会议”。与其他美联储政策制定者的谨慎信号一起，缺乏指引强化了市场预期，即央行可能要等到12月才再次加息。
Warsh avoided giving hints about the Fed's October monetary policy meeting, saying that "I don't prejudge meetings." Together with cautious signals from other Fed policymakers, the lack of guidance has reinforced market expectations that the central bank could wait until December before raising rates again.
对日本央行10月再次加息的预期也有所回落。东京研究所和东京ICAP的数据暗示，该行10月29日至30日的货币政策会议上加息的概率为5%。
Expectations for another BOJ rate hike in October have also receded. Data from Totan Research and Totan ICAP implied a 5% probability of a rate increase at the bank's Oct. 29-30 monetary policy meeting.
日本央行和美联储均在9月加息。这标志着美联储时隔三年多首次加息，而日本央行将其紧缩政策的间隔从大约六个月加快至三个月。
Both the BOJ and the Fed had raised rates in September. This marked the Fed's first time raising rates in more than three years, while the BOJ accelerated the pace of its tightening from roughly six-month intervals to three months.
投资者预计日本央行和美联储将在本月维持利率不变，但已将12月加息的概率定价在70%以上。
Investors expect both the BOJ and the Fed to hold rates steady this month but have priced in probabilities of more than 70% for rate hikes in December.
G20和G7会议的一个关键议题是政府债券收益率飙升带来的市场波动。
A key topic at the G20 and G7 meetings was market volatility amid a surge in government bond yields.
日本财务大臣片山萨周四对记者表示，成员国“对长期利率提出了担忧”，她强调需要“以更高的警惕性密切关注金融市场动态”。
Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama told reporters Thursday that member countries "raised concerns about long-term interest rates" and that she stressed the need to "closely monitor financial market developments with a heightened sense of vigilance