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特朗普新人工智能策略内幕Inside Trump's new AI playbook

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特朗普总统新成立的“超级情报”特别工作组面临着一项艰巨的任务:调和严重分裂的内阁派系,制定一项跟上激烈的人工智能竞赛的科技政策。

President Trump's newly minted "Super Intelligence" task force faces a daunting mandate: reconcile fiercely divided cabinet factions to forge a tech policy that keeps pace with the blistering AI race.

为什么重要:该特别工作组将政府分散的人工智能工作集中在一个屋檐下,但这也使得任何新规则都有可能在相互竞争的内部阵营的交火中制定。

Why it matters: The task force brings the administration's scattered AI work under one roof, but it also makes it likely that any new rules will be forged in the crossfire of competing internal camps.

  • 在一次采访中,特别工作组联合主席斯科特·库波尔否认了政府在人工智能政策方面处于昏昏欲睡的说法,认为严格、静态的立法有可能立即过时。

• In an interview, Task force co-chair Scott Kupor rejected the assertion that the administration is asleep at the wheel on AI policy, arguing that rigid, static legislation would risk becoming instantly obsolete. What they're saying

他们在说什么 “对我们来说,最糟糕的事情就是假设一套静态的知识,使我们能够制定监管模式,从而产生意想不到的后果,”硅谷资深人士库波尔说,他目前担任美国人事管理办公室主任,类似于联邦政府的人力资源总监。

"The worst thing for us to do would be to assume a static set of knowledge that allows us to put a regulatory schema in place that then has unintended consequences," said Kupor, a Silicon Valley veteran who is currently serving as director of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management, akin to an HR director for the federal government. • "Look, we live in D.C.," he said.

  • “听着,我们住在华盛顿,”他说。“这个镇上没有什么不是政治性的。人们有不同的看法,这完全没关系。我们的义务是向美国人民证明这是件好事,并且我们认真对待焦虑和担忧。"

"There's nothing that's not political in this town. People have different views and that's totally fine. Our obligation is to demonstrate to the American people that this is good and also that we take the anxieties and the concerns seriously."

  • “归根结底,总统和其他任何人之间都没有光明,这是我们需要获胜的,”他说。Kupor是风险投资巨头Andreessen Horowitz聘请的第一位员工。

• "At the end of the day there is no daylight between the president and anyone else, which is we need to win," he said. Kupor was the first employee hired by venture giant Andreessen Horowitz. Between the lines

字里行间 该组织的组成凸显了推动特朗普人工智能战略的竞争领域,一些人致力于模型批准和协调,另一些人则继续对行业中支持监管的力量表示深深的怀疑。

The group's makeup highlights the competing fiefdoms driving Trump's AI strategy with some working on model approval and coordination and others continuing to voice deep skepticism about pro-regulation forces in the industry.

  • 财政部长斯科特·贝森特和特朗普幕僚长苏西·怀尔斯一直在幕后鼓励一些监督,包括通过已经存在的自愿模型审查程序。

• Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trump Chief of Staff Susie Wiles have worked behind the scenes to encourage some oversight, including through the voluntary model-review process that already exists.

  • 消息人士告诉Axios,这些评论在商务部内管理,已被Anthropic、OpenAI以及现在的Google的顶级模特使用。

• Managed within the Commerce Department, the reviews have already been used for top models at Anthropic, OpenAI and now Google, sources tell Axios.

  • 另一方面,大卫·萨克斯(David Sacks)和五角大楼的埃米尔·迈克尔(Emil Michael)等人物代表了一种对模式开发放缓或新监管以减少前沿公司竞争的可能性持谨慎态度的做法。

• On the other end of the spectrum, figures like David Sacks and the Pentagon's Emil Michael represent an approach that is wary of the potential for a slowdown in model development or new regulation to reduce competition for frontier companies.

  • 国家情报总监兼新任人工智能沙皇杰伊·克莱顿(Jay Clayton)预计将为该组织的集体工作带来凝聚力,就像他与众多情报机构所做的那样。

• Jay Clayton, the director of national intelligence and the new AI czar, is expected to bring cohesion to the group's collective work, much as he does with the myriad intelligence agencies.

整个委员会即将开始运作 库波尔说,根据特朗普明确的行军命令:创新不能被限制,美国必须保持领先,同时找到一条安全的前进道路。

The entire committee is set to operate under Trump's explicit marching orders: Innovation cannot be bottlenecked, and America must stay ahead while finding a safe path forward, Kupor said.

  • 库波尔表示,一个结果可能是人工智能监管在不同的联邦机构之间划分,尽管现在知道该组织(该组织将在120天内开展工作)最终将向总统提出什么建议还为时过早。

• Kupor suggested one outcome may be that AI regulation is divided among different federal agencies, although it is too early to know what the group — which will do its work over 120 days — will ultimately recommend to the president.

  • 他最初的主要关注领域是寻求能源、制造业、安全和金融服务行业利益相关者的意见。库波尔表示,他预计克莱顿将密切关注情报界,委员会将继续与人工智能公司保持密切联系。

• His primary area of focus initially will be to seek input from stakeholders in the energy, manufacturing, security and financial services industries. Kupor said he expects Clayton will keep close tabs on the intelligence community and the committee will continue to stay in close touch with the AI companies. Zoom in:

放大:奥巴马政府正努力依靠企业自我监管来管理风险。Kupor和其他官员认为,第三方审计和直接向公司董事会报告具有与传统政府监督相媲美的严重证券法含义。

The administration is leaning hard into corporate self-policing to manage the risks. Kupor and other officials believe that third-party audits and direct reporting to corporate boards carry severe securities law implications that rival traditional government oversight.

底线:用库波尔的话来说,特别工作组的目标不是起草一份官僚主义的“博士论文”。但在没有新立法的情况下简化现有工作是否能满足对人工智能安全日益焦虑的美国人还有待观察。

The bottom line: The task force's goal isn't to draft a bureaucratic "PhD dissertation," in Kupor's words. But it remains to be seen whether streamlining existing efforts without new legislation will satisfy Americans who are increasingly anxious about AI safety.