
凯米·巴德诺克(Kemi Badenoch)准备周二在伯明翰举行的保守党会议上接受采访。
Kemi Badenoch prepares to give an interview at the Conservative party conference in Birmingham on Tuesday.
法拉奇的丑闻让巴德诺克让她的政党重返竞选。但她的计划对我们的国家来说也是毁灭性的,保守党领袖凯米·巴德诺克(Kemi Badenoch)将兴高采烈地走上伯明翰的会议舞台。“凯米正在飙升,”《太阳报》低声说道,这概括了普遍的智慧。超过十分之四的英国人认为她作为保守党领袖表现出色,而三分之一的人则持不同看法。
Farage’s scandals have allowed Badenoch to get her party back in the race. But her programme would be no less ruinous to our country he Conservative leader, Kemi Badenoch, will march on to the conference stage in Birmingham feeling buoyed. “Kemi’s soaring,” coos the Sun and that sums up the prevailing wisdom. More than four in 10 Britons think she is doing well as Tory leader, compared with a third who think otherwise.
由于加密货币亿万富翁500万英镑的个人礼物和捐款丑闻,奈杰尔·法拉奇(Nigel Farage)的股价暴跌,民意调查显示,保守党可能会重新夺回英国主要右翼力量的衣钵。
As Nigel Farage’s stock has plummeted thanks to scandals over a £5m personal gift and donations from crypto billionaires the polling suggests that the Conservatives could regain the mantle of Britain’s main rightwing force.
然而,巴德诺克一直是环境的受益者。凯尔·斯塔默(Keir Starmer)的项目几乎一掌权就崩溃了,从而定义了她作为反对派领袖的任期。当英国改革党在民意调查中取得压倒性的领先时,保守党的困境却是双刃剑:他们缺乏关注,但这也不可避免地导致了缺乏审查。当她的对手已经瓦解时,巴德诺克很容易显得强大。
Yet Badenoch has been the beneficiary of circumstance. Her tenure as opposition leader has been defined by Keir Starmer’s project imploding almost as soon as it gained power. When Reform UK enjoyed its seismic polling lead, the Tory plight was double-edged: they were starved of attention, but that inevitably resulted in a lack of scrutiny, too. It has been easy for Badenoch to appear formidable while her opponents have disintegrated.
随着保守党现在重返竞选,人们的注意力落在了巴德诺克身上。让我们考虑一下她提出的防空系统的荒谬性。我们未来的总理否认将其与以色列的铁穹进行比较,尽管这个词以她自己的名字出现在新闻稿和报纸文章中。这种业余是一回事,但即使就其本身而言,她的提议也是一团糟。她声称,这将“保护整个英国、我们的主权领土和英国在海外的基地”,而对于她提议在10年内花费的100亿英镑来说,这是不可能的。
With the Conservatives now back in the race, the spotlight falls on Badenoch. Let us consider the absurdity of her proposed air defence system. Our would-be prime minister denied comparing it to Israel’s Iron Dome despite the term appearing in both a press release and a newspaper article under her own name. This amateurishness is one thing, but even on its own terms, her proposal is a mess. It will “protect the whole United Kingdom, our sovereign territories and British bases overseas”, she claims, which would be impossible for the £10bn over 10 years she is proposing to spend on it.
英国前将军理查德·巴伦(Richard Barrons)表示,这样一个系统的成本将超过1000亿英镑。
The former British general Richard Barrons suggests such a system would cost more than £100bn.
这说明巴德诺克的优先顺序感如何?英国面临的真正紧迫的国家安全威胁不是导弹袭击,而是气候紧急情况。据估计,今年夏天有数千人死于热浪,而我们的情报部门警告称,从2030年起,我们的粮食供应将严重中断。然而,巴德诺克承诺废除《气候变化法案》,并声称到2050年实现净零排放,而英国则“不可能”破产。
What does this say about Badenoch’s sense of priorities? The actual urgent national security threat Britain faces is not volleys of missile attacks, but the climate emergency. There were estimated to be thousands of excess deaths from heatwaves this summer, while our intelligence services warn of serious disruption to our food supply from 2030. Yet Badenoch has committed to repealing the Climate Change Act and claimed that net zero by 2050 is “impossible” without bankrupting Britain.
这不仅与政府法定气候科学顾问的结论相矛盾,也与巴德诺克本人的结论相矛盾。作为2021年财政部长,她告诉议会,这将花费不到GDP的2%,主要来自“增加对未来增长型市场的投资”。甚至三位前保守党首相也批评巴德诺克反对净零排放的转变,其中包括前右翼美女鲍里斯·约翰逊。然后是她的经济议程。
This not only contradicts the conclusion of the government’s statutory climate scientific advisers, but Badenoch herself. As a Treasury minister in 2021, she told parliament that it would cost less than 2% of GDP, largely from “increased investment in growth markets of the future”. Even three former Tory prime ministers have criticised Badenoch’s shift against net zero –including the former rightwing pin-up Boris Johnson. Then there’s her economic agenda.
一年前,巴德诺克宣布,她试图成为英国版的阿根廷极右翼总统哈维尔·米莱。在贫困率再次激增的情况下,他的政府对养老金、大学公共医疗保健实施了毁灭性的削减。巴德诺克提议削减价值230亿英镑的福利,并误导了公众。五月,她宣称“福利账单总额现在首次高于所得税总收入。”自2011年以来,情况一直如此,正如英国统计局在一封斥责她的信中指出的那样,由于其他原因,这具有误导性:近年来差距实际上已经缩小,而且大部分福利账单都用于养老金领取者福利,包括国家养老金。
A year ago Badenoch declared that she sought to become Britain’s version of Argentina’s far-right president, Javier Milei. His government has imposed devastating cuts to pensions, universities public healthcare while poverty is once more surging Badenoch proposes welfare cuts worth £23bn, and misleads the public as she does so. In May, she declared“For the first time ever, the total welfare bill is now higher than total receipts from income tax.”This has been the case since 2011, and as the UK Statistics Authority noted in a letter rebuking her, this was misleading for other reasons: the gap had actually narrowed in recent years, and most of the welfare bill goes to pensioner benefits, including the state pension.
削减230亿英镑意味着什么?其中包括剥夺工人无限期休假以保留社会保障的权利--那些在这里生活多年、工作并纳税的人。这不仅对他们来说是不公平的--考虑到社会保障等领域已经存在人员危机,移民限制正在恶化。她将恢复两个孩子的福利上限,这将导致数十万儿童陷入贫困。其余的大部分将落在病人和残疾人的肩上,包括那些在工作时接受支持的人。
What would £23bn in cuts mean? They would include stripping workers with indefinite leave to remain of social security – people who have lived here for years, worked and paid taxes. That would not only be an injustice to them – consider that there is already a staffing crisis in sectors such as social care that immigration restrictions are worsening. She would reinstate a two-child benefit cap that would drive hundreds of thousands of children into poverty. Most of the rest would fall on the shoulders of sick and disabled people, including those receiving support while they work.
也考虑一下这一点:虽然我们仍然承受着2008年金融危机的后果,但巴德诺克提议结束大银行将零售和投资活动分开的围栏,并降低其资本要求。
Consider this too: while we still live with the consequences of the 2008 financial crash, Badenoch proposes ending the ringfence for big banks separating retail and investment activities, and reducing their capital requirements.
她的威权主义又如何?巴德诺克宣布言论自由是“每个公民与生俱来的权利”,但他主张全面禁止亲巴勒斯坦的抗议活动。理由是将反对种族灭绝与对犹太人民的威胁混为一谈,但这是一位保守党领导人在被问及加沙问题时表示,“以色列正在代表英国打代理人战争”。退出欧洲人权公约并废除《人权法案》将剥夺公民免受专横行政和滥用国家权力的重要保护。
What of her authoritarianism? Badenoch has declared free speech to be “the birthright of every citizen”, yet has advocated a blanket ban on pro-Palestinian protests. The justification is conflating opposition to genocide with threats to Jewish people, but this is a Tory leader who, when asked about Gaza, said that“Israel is fighting a proxy war on behalf of the UK”. Withdrawal from the European convention on human rights and repealing the Human Rights Act would strip citizens of crucial protections against an overbearing executive and abuses of state power.
巴德诺克主张建立一个具有广泛监视权力的ICE式大规模驱逐出境机构--直接模仿大西洋彼岸的一个从街上抓人并杀害移民和美国公民的机构。
Badenoch advocates an ICE-style mass deportation apparatus with sweeping powers of surveillance – directly mimicking an institution across the Atlantic that snatches people from the street and kills migrants and US citizens alike.
与此同时,她对少数群体权利的态度也体现在她承诺完全废除公共部门的平等义务。作为2021年的部长,她支持它,称它有助于确保“公平是我们所做一切的核心”。
Her attitude to the rights of minorities, meanwhile, is underlined by her commitment to scrap the public sector equality duty in its entirety. As a minister in 2021, she backed it saying it helped ensure “that fairness is at the heart of everything we do”.
然而,普通赌客对Badenoch知之甚少。相比之下,日益增多的极端主义和法拉奇主义丑闻使她显得更加理性和稳定。但巴德诺克无疑是该党历史上最右翼的保守党领导人。她的计划是右翼狂热分子的愿望清单--这将对我们的社会结构造成毁灭性的破坏。然而,很少有人费心去看看引擎盖下的情况。危险在于,只有在巴德诺克足够接近权力并将其付诸实践时,英国才发现巴德诺克真正代表的是什么。欧文·琼斯是《卫报》专栏作家
Yet the average punter knows little about Badenoch. The increasing extremism and scandals of Farageism have allowed her to appear somehow more reasonable and stable in comparison. But Badenoch is easily the most rightwing Tory leader in the party’s history. Her programme is a wishlist of rightwing zealots – one which would be ruinous to our social fabric. Yet few have bothered to look under the bonnet. The danger is that Britain discovers what Badenoch really stands for only when she is close enough to power to put it into practice. Owen Jones is a Guardian columnist