
Temasek、Mubadala 和 Granite Asia 的高级管理人员表示,尽管大型机构投资者仍在持续增加对人工智能技术的投资,但人工智能的爆发正逐渐成为金融市场最大的潜在风险。
The artificial intelligence boom is emerging as the biggest potential risk to financial markets, even as large institutional investors continue to increase exposure to the technology, senior executives from Temasek, Mubadala and Granite Asia said.
新加坡政府投资机构 Temasek 的首席投资官 Rohit Sipahimalani 表示,尽管近年来市场经历了一系列冲击,但整体仍保持韧性,这主要得益于各大人工智能公司的强劲盈利势头。
Rohit Sipahimalani, Chief Investment Officer at Singapore state investor Temasek, said the market has remained resilient despite a series of shocks in recent years, largely because of strong earnings momentum among major AI companies.
Sipahimalani 在 2026 年米尔肯研究所亚洲峰会的专题讨论中表示:“如果你问我可能会出现什么问题,我认为人工智能相关投资的逆转是最大的风险。但我们并不认为这种情况会立即发生。不过,2027 年是否会出现波动?答案是可能。”他表示,人工智能安全问题的担忧、更严格的监管,或企业与客户开始评估该技术是否足以带来足够投资回报时,实际收益低于预期,都可能引发这种逆转。
“If you’re asking me what can go wrong, I mean, I think unwinding of the AI trade is the biggest risk,” Sipahimalani said during a panel discussion at the Milken Institute Asia Summit 2026. “We don’t see that as imminent. But will you have bumps in 2027? Possibly yes.”He said an unwinding could be triggered by AI safety concerns, tighter regulation or weaker-than-expected returns as companies and consumers begin to assess whether the technology is generating sufficient return on investment.
Sipahimalani 还指出,通货膨胀和利率也是潜在风险,尤其是如果能源价格上升、供应链中断或地缘政治冲突导致通胀持续高企。但他同时表示,人工智能这一主题依然具有强大吸引力,并正在支撑股票市场,尽管更广泛市场中的许多板块目前仍低于近期高点。
Sipahimalani also flagged inflation and interest rates as risks, particularly if higher energy prices, supply-chain disruptions or geopolitical conflicts keep inflation elevated. But he said the AI narrative remains strong and is supporting equity markets even as a large portion of the broader market trades below recent highs.
Temasek 力求在保持对人工智能领域投资的同时,控制集中风险。其投资组合涵盖数据中心能源基础设施、芯片、云平台、模型及应用,覆盖价值链的不同环节,风险程度也各不相同。
Temasek is seeking to remain exposed to AI while limiting concentration risk. Its portfolio spans data-centre energy infrastructure, chips, cloud platforms, models and applications, with different levels of risk across the value chain.
Sipahimalani 表示:“我们在构建投资组合时,会综合考虑风险与回报,以平衡各个细分领域的投资规模。”目前,Temasek 约一半的人工智能投资配置在公开市场,而该公司计划将这一比例提升至约 70% 至 75%,以便在技术发展过程中保持灵活调整的能力。
“We construct our portfolio to make sure that looking at risk and reward, we are balancing the size in each segment,” Sipahimalani said. About half of Temasek’s AI exposure is currently public, with the firm seeking to increase that to about 70-75% to retain flexibility to pivot as the technology develops.
穆巴达拉也采取了类似的方法。这家总部位于阿布扎比的投资者公司首席财务官卡洛斯·奥贝德表示,人工智能的估值基于对盈利快速增长的预期,因此有纪律地部署资本至关重要。
Mubadala is taking a similar approach. Carlos Obeid, Chief Financial Officer of the Abu Dhabi-based investor, said AI valuations are based on expectations of rapid earnings growth, making disciplined deployment important.
“估值就是现在的水平。它们建立在对这些盈利将如何增长的预测之上。情况可能会发生变化,因此需要谨慎部署资本,不能只关注价值链的某个环节,而应覆盖价值链的所有要素,无论是数据中心、应用程序,还是语言模型等等。”穆巴达拉还通过合作伙伴关系,努力扩大在该领域的投资能力。阿拜表示,仅凭穆巴达拉自身的资本,不足以覆盖这一领域的全部投资机会,这也是该投资者成立MGX以扩大可用于人工智能投资的资本池的原因之一。
“Valuations are what they are. They’re built on an estimate of how these earnings are going to grow. Things may change, so you need to be careful in how you deploy that capital, and not just focus on one segment of the value chain, but across all the elements of the value chain, whether it’s data centres, whether it’s applications, whether it’s the language models, and so on.”Mubadala has also sought to broaden its capacity to invest in the sector through partnerships. Abay said there was not enough capital available at Mubadala alone to invest across the opportunity, which was one reason the investor established MGX to expand the pool of capital available for AI investments.
与此同时,Granite Asia则专注于人工智能所推动的商业模式变革。这家风险投资公司的资深管理合伙人珍妮·李表示,人工智能安全、测试和基础设施等领域正在涌现出大量初创企业,而传统企业则利用这项技术大幅缩短开发周期并降低开发成本。
Granite Asia, meanwhile, is focused on the business-model changes being driven by AI. Jenny Lee, senior managing partner at the venture investor, said startups are emerging across AI safety, testing and infrastructure, while established businesses are using the technology to dramatically reduce development times and costs.
李表示,亚洲和中国也可以通过利用自身的制造基础、现实世界数据和消费市场,从人工智能发展的下一阶段中获益,而无需与美国的前沿模型公司直接竞争。
Lee said Asia and China could also benefit from the next phase of AI development by leveraging their manufacturing bases, physical-world data and consumer markets, rather than competing directly with US frontier-model companies.