
全国共和党人已经花费数月时间试图拯救肯·帕克斯顿,而他本人却使这一努力变得复杂起来。
National Republicans have spent months trying to rescue Ken Paxton. He’s complicating that effort.
在《政治》杂志刊登帕克斯顿私下发表的言论后,一些共和党人之间的紧张关系正在加剧。他在言论中表示,“华盛顿特区”的共和党人基本上控制着他的竞选活动。
Tensions are brewing with some Republicans after POLITICO published Paxton’s closed-door comments that “D.C.”Republicans were largely controlling his race.
“他当然可以自行筹集资金,并想说什么就说什么,”一位参与帕克斯顿救援行动的共和党人表示。与本文中的其他人一样,他也被允许匿名发言,以便坦率表达。“事实上,如果他真这么做了,现在可能早就赢了,我们也不至于要花费这么多钱。”佛罗里达州前共和党众议员卡洛斯·库尔贝洛表示:“这看起来就像帕克斯顿正在为将责任推给他人做准备,而这场失败可能是现代政治史上最令人难堪的失利之一。”
“He is welcome to raise his own money and say whatever he wants,” said one Republican involved in the Paxton rescue effort, who like others in this article was granted anonymity to speak candidly. “In fact, if he did that, he’d probably be winning right now and we wouldn’t need to spend all this money.”"This just seems like Paxton preparing to blame others for what might be one of the most embarrassing defeats in modern political history," said Carlos Curbelo, a former Florida GOP representative.
参议院共和党人和高级竞选团队最初并不想陷入这种境地。许多人曾警告称,特朗普试图罢免参议员约翰·科宁,并在初选中支持帕克斯顿的做法,将迫使共和党人花费数亿美元,才可能让帕克斯顿在普选中勉强胜出。在初选期间,科宁和参议院共和党团体投入了数百万美元用于广告投放,抨击帕克斯顿的一系列丑闻,并警告称他是一名存在严重问题的候选人。
Senate Republicans and top operatives didn’t want to be in this position in the first place. Many had warned that the Trump effort to unseat Sen. John Cornyn and back Paxton in the primary would cost Republicans hundreds of millions to drag Paxton across the finish line in the general election. Cornyn and Senate GOP groups spent millions of dollars on ads during the primary attacking Paxton over his series of scandals and warning he was a flawed candidate.
此后,那些一贯反对帕克斯顿的人逐渐扩大为一个更广泛的群体——这些受挫的共和党人对拯救这位丑闻缠身的参议员候选人所付出的巨大努力感到不满。而帕克斯顿声称自己无法控制竞选宣传内容,再加上他此前表示唐纳德·特朗普总统的期中选举大会对他造成了政治伤害,这些言论显然无助于改善局势。
Since then, the usual crowd of never-Paxton types has expanded into a wider circle of frustrated Republicans who are irked by the effort it’s taking to boost the scandal-plagued Senate candidate. And Paxton saying he doesn’t control his campaign messaging — alongside his remarks that President Donald Trump’s midterm convention hurt him politically — isn’t helping.
在《 Axios》周三发布的另一段私下录音中,帕克斯顿还抱怨称,伊朗战争和高物价对他的竞选活动造成了拖累。
Paxton also complained about the drag of the Iran war and high prices on his campaign in another closed-door recording that Axios published Wednesday.
“乞丐不能挑三拣四。他或许可以尝试筹集到足以挽救其候选人资格的联邦资金,但他的能力还达不到那个程度,”一位密切关注多场选举的得克萨斯州共和党顾问表示。“和往常一样,他发表的言论毫无帮助、缺乏纪律、在政治上自损,而且像大多数事情一样,完全没有任何感激之情。”共和党参议院最高超级政治行动委员会(超级PAC)、与特朗普立场一致的MAGA Inc.组织以及其他共和党人正向这场选举投入超过2亿美元,以挽救帕克斯顿对抗民主党人詹姆斯·塔拉里科的竞选活动。
“Beggars can’t be choosers. He can try to raise federal money at a level that is necessary to save his candidacy at this point but his arms don’t reach that high,” said a Texas-based GOP consultant who’s closely monitoring multiple races. “As usual, he communicates something that is unhelpful, that is undisciplined, that is politically self-harmful and like most things, lacks any gratitude whatsoever.”The top Senate GOP super PAC, Trump’s aligned MAGA Inc. operation and other Republicans are pumping more than $200 million into the race to salvage Paxton’s campaign against Democrat James Talarico.
特朗普的盟友称,他们已努力支持帕克斯顿,暗示他们已向该竞选团队以及更广泛的共和党超级PAC行动捐款,以避免在“孤星之州”遭遇灾难性失败。特朗普计划于周三第二次前往得克萨斯州为帕克斯助选。
Trump allies say they have worked hard to shore up Paxton, suggesting they’ve pushed donations toward the campaign and the larger GOP super PAC effort to avoid disaster in the Lone Star State. Trump plans to travel to Texas for the second time Wednesday to boost Paxton.
帕克斯顿的盟友则淡化了他最近私下发表的言论,称他指的是那些作为候选人不得协调的共和党超级PAC。
Paxton allies have brushed off his latest closed-door comments, saying he was referring to GOP super PACs he’s not allowed to coordinate with as a candidate.
帕克斯顿的竞选团队尚未回应置评请求,不过竞选顾问尼克·马杜克斯在回应《政治报》最初报道该音频内容时称:“帕克斯总检察长对支持表示感谢,并深知得克萨斯州对维持多数席位的重要性,正因如此,他每天都在当地奔走。”但另一位共和党人——一位参与筹款工作的特朗普盟友——表示,这种全国层面的介入并未越界。
The Paxton campaign did not respond to a request for comment, though campaign adviser Nick Maddux said in response to POLITICO’s initial report of the audio that “AG Paxton is thankful for the support and knows how important Texas is to keeping the majority, which is why he’s on the ground every day.”But another Republican, a Trump ally working on the fundraising effort, said the national intervention isn’t overstepping.
此人称,全国共和党对重大参议院选举发布宣传指导属于常规操作,而帕克斯顿“确实需要帮助”。一位参与得克萨斯州参议院选举的全国共和党工作人员指出,这位总检察长在竞选初期筹款乏力,导致他在整个夏季都容易受到塔拉里科的攻击——尤其是帕克斯顿一系列“自找麻烦”的丑闻,使他在这个深红州的关键选民群体中变得“令人反感”。“我们曾警告过他们这一点,”这位共和党工作人员说道。
That person said the messaging guidance from the national GOP is standard for major Senate races and that Paxton “needs the help.”One national GOP operative involved in the Texas Senate race noted that the attorney general's lackluster fundraising early on left him vulnerable to Talarico’s attacks throughout the summer — especially over Paxton’s series of “self-inflicted” scandals, which have made him “toxic” with key voting blocs in the deep red state. “We warned them about this,” the GOP operative said.
尽管特朗普在2024年以两位数优势赢得了得克萨斯州,但该州的参议员竞选却吸引了大量关注。此外,随着民主党在其他通常属于共和党的州取得进展,参议院选区版图持续扩大,迫使共和党人必须就资源分配做出关键决策。
The Texas Senate race has sucked up oxygen, despite Trump winning the state in 2024 by double digits. And, the Senate map has kept expanding as Democrats have made gains in other typically red states, forcing Republicans to make critical decisions about where to allocate resources.
参议院多数党领袖约翰·图恩和共和党人表示,有专门的捐赠者正在支持他们帮助帕克斯顿的竞选活动,同时他们也在努力巩固全州的共和党席位。在9月份与捐赠者的会面中,帕克斯顿承认了华盛顿方面的影响。
Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Republicans have said there are dedicated donors who are backing their effort to help Paxton, as they also try to shore up red seats across the map. Paxton, in the September meeting with donors, acknowledged Washington’s influence.
根据录音内容,帕克斯顿在上个月一场小型筹款活动中对捐赠者表示:“我从未参加过一场让我感觉对竞选控制力如此微弱的选举……所有事情——你知道的——都来自华盛顿特区。”
“I’ve never been in a race where I felt less control over the campaign … it’s all coming — you know — from D.C.,” Paxton told donors during a small fundraising event last month, according to the audio.
共和党高层官员试图淡化帕克斯顿的言论。白宫在被问及评论时,将问题转给了共和党全国委员会(RNC)。RNC则辩称,帕克斯顿在录音中指的是他作为候选人无法协调的超级政治行动委员会(super PACs)。
Top GOP officials have tried to downplay Paxton’s comments. The White House referred POLITICO to the RNC when asked for comment. The RNC argued Paxton, in the audio, was referring to the super PACs he can’t coordinate with as a candidate.
RNC发言人扎克·克拉夫特在一份声明中表示:“这是虚假新闻的无稽之谈,加上懒惰的报道,充分暴露了他们对超级政治行动委员会运作方式的明显无知。特朗普总统称肯·帕克斯顿是历史上最杰出的总检察长,并明确表示他将不惜一切代价支持帕克斯顿成为得克萨斯州的下一位参议员。”
"This is fake news nonsense mixed with lazy reporting demonstrating a clear ignorance about how super PACs work. President Trump has called Ken Paxton the single greatest attorney general in history and has been clear he will do whatever it takes to make him the next senator from Texas,” RNC spokesperson Zach Kraft said in a statement.
特朗普周二在白宫对记者表示,他尚未看到帕克斯顿的最新言论。他还补充说,自己期中选举期间的密集行程帮助了帕克斯顿和其他共和党候选人。
Trump, when speaking to reporters at the White House on Tuesday, said he hadn’t seen Paxton’s latest comments. He added that his midterm travel blitz has helped Paxton and other Republican candidates.
特朗普在提及投资和制造业时表示:“自从三四天前开始举办集会以来,肯的表现现在好多了——所有人的情况都是如此。这些活动让人们前所未有地意识到,共和党取得了多么出色的成绩,经济也发展得多么强劲。”
“Ken’s doing much better now that I — everybody is — since starting three, four days ago, since starting the rallies. It’s brought a whole new awareness to how great the Republicans are doing, how great the economy is doing,” Trump said, touting investments and manufacturing.
上周,总统前往得克萨斯州,并对当地民众表示,帕克斯顿“有时真是让人头疼”,随后也承认他“有点争议”。但他同时警告得州的民众,塔拉里科“将对你们州造成可怕的后果”,并补充道:“我们需要这些选票,我来这里就是为了这个,而且我认为我们会赢。”
The president last week traveled to Texas and told the crowd that Paxton is a “pain in the ass sometimes” and later acknowledged he’s “a little controversial." But, he also warned the Texas crowd that Talarico would be “such a horror to your state,” adding, “we need the votes and I'm here for that, and I think we're going to win.”
万斯也前往了得克萨斯州,称帕克斯顿是“一位出色的总检察长,也是你们下一任参议员”。然而,其他共和党人则已对目前的竞选局势感到无奈,帕克斯顿需要尽可能获得一切支持。
Vance also traveled to Texas, where he called Paxton an “amazing attorney general and your next senator.”Still, other Republicans have simply grown resigned to the state of the race, with Paxton needing all the aid he can get.
一位共和党参议院高层助理表示:“我们能做的终究有限,但我认为我们已经做了很多。”帕克斯顿的竞选团队告诉《政治》杂志,他们在第三季度通过竞选活动及联合筹款委员会共筹集了1800万美元。这一数字大致是第二季度总额的两倍,不过竞选团队并未公布其手头现金的具体数额,而塔拉里科也尚未公布其筹款成果。
“There is only so much we can do,” one senior Senate GOP aide said. “And I feel like we’re doing a lot.”The Paxton campaign told POLITICO it raised $18 million in the third quarter across the campaign and his joint fundraising committees. That’s roughly double his second-quarter total, though the campaign did not provide its cash-on-hand numbers, and Talarico has yet to release his fundraising haul.
帕克斯顿上周还宣布投放价值2000万美元的广告——这是此次竞选中一笔规模巨大的单次媒体投入。但他也不得不严重依赖特朗普、MAGA Inc.以及共和党参议院最高超级政治行动委员会的援助。
Paxton also announced a $20 million ad buy last week — a significant single media investment in the race. But he’s had to rely heavily on Trump, MAGA Inc. and the top Senate GOP super PAC to bail him out.
共和党人主要依靠参议院领导基金(SLF),而非与特朗普立场一致的MAGA Inc.超级政治行动委员会,来维持帕克斯顿的竞选活动。截至10月12日,SLF已在得克萨斯州投入创纪录的1.31亿美元,并承诺在选举最后几周继续加大支出。
Republicans have largely leaned on the Senate Leadership Fund, rather than the Trump-aligned MAGA Inc. super PAC, to keep Paxton afloat. SLF is spending a Texas record-breaking $131 million sum through Oct. 12 and has pledged to continue to spend more through the final weeks of the election.
MAGA Inc.也在增加对帕克斯顿的部分支出,预计截至10月12日将达到近4500万美元。
MAGA Inc. is increasing some spending for Paxton and is expected to hit near $45 million by Oct. 12.
一位特朗普的前筹款人士称,如果帕克斯顿落败,特朗普的反应以及他是否选择与这场救援行动保持距离,将取决于媒体的报道情况。
If Paxton were to lose, Trump’s reaction and whether he chooses to distance himself from the rescue effort will be driven by media coverage, said a former Trump fundraiser.
“如果媒体对选举之夜以及几天后尸检结果的报道对特朗普非常严厉,比如强调经济状况糟糕,通货膨胀情况也不比乔·拜登任期的最后一年好多少……他就会大发雷霆,”这位人士说。“但如果媒体报道的叙事是,这只是一次中期总统选举,这种情况通常都会发生……他就会尽快翻篇,再也不会提及肯·帕克斯顿。这完全取决于11月选举后的报道会呈现怎样的面貌。”
“If the media coverage related to election night and the autopsy a couple days afterwards is brutal towards Trump, like, horrible economy, inflation's not that much better than the last year of Joe Biden's ... he will lash out,” the person said. “But if the narrative is, it’s a midterm presidential, this is what normally happens … he'll move on as fast as he can and never talk about Ken Paxton again. It just depends what the coverage looks like post the November election.”