世界气象组织（WMO）周四表示，正在发生的厄尔尼诺事件正在迅速增强，预计将使太平洋关键海域的海表温度达到创纪录水平，从而增加全球范围内极端高温、干旱和洪水的风险。
An ongoing El Nino event is strengthening rapidly and is forecast to push key Pacific sea-surface temperatures to record levels, increasing the risks of extreme heat, drought and flooding around the world, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said Thursday.
在其最新的全球季节性气候更新中，这家联合国机构称，厄尔尼诺现象持续到2027年2月的可能性接近100%，预计该事件将在12月左右达到峰值。
In its latest Global Seasonal Climate Update, the UN weather agency said there is a near-100% likelihood that El Nino will persist through February 2027, with the event expected to peak around December.
世界气象组织秘书长塞莱斯特·绍洛（Celeste Saulo）警告说：“厄尔尼诺现象已经确立并正在迅速增强”，它可能是“自1950年以来最强的一次”。
“El Nino is firmly established and strengthening rapidly," WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo said, warning it will potentially be "one of the strongest since at least 1950."
世界气象组织预测，10月至12月期间，中东部赤道太平洋尼诺3.4区域的平均海表温度异常值将达到比正常水平高约3.7摄氏度（6.7华氏度），这将是“自观测开始以来的最高值”。
For October-December, the average sea-surface temperature anomaly in the Nino 3.4 region of the central and eastern equatorial Pacific is forecast to reach about 3.7C (6.7F) above normal, which the WMO said would be "the highest since observations began."
此前的纪录是2015年11月至2016年1月期间比正常水平高2.6摄氏度（4.7华氏度）。
The previous record was 2.6C (4.7F) above normal during the November 2015-January 2016 period.
世界气象组织表示，厄尔尼诺现象可能导致全球大部分地区气温高于平均水平，并显著改变降雨模式。
The WMO said El Nino is likely to bring above-average temperatures across large parts of the globe while significantly shifting rainfall patterns.
预计大非洲之角、亚洲中部和东部部分地区、阿拉伯半岛北部、北美部分地区以及南美洲东南部将出现比正常情况更多的降水。
Wetter-than-normal conditions are forecast in areas including the Greater Horn of Africa, parts of Central and East Asia, northern parts of the Arabian Peninsula, parts of North America and southeastern South America.
预计印度次大陆、中美洲南部、加勒比海部分地区以及南美洲西北部将出现比正常情况更干燥的天气。
Drier-than-normal conditions are expected across the Indian subcontinent, southern Central America, parts of the Caribbean and northwestern South America.
绍洛表示，厄尔尼诺现象并不会产生额外的行星热量，而是释放海洋中已经储存的热量，并警告说当前事件所汲取热量的海洋是“我们测量过的最温暖的海洋”。
Saulo said El Nino does not create additional planetary heat but releases heat already stored in the ocean, warning that the ocean from which the current event is drawing is “the warmest we've ever measured it.”
世界气象组织称，各国气象部门和区域气候论坛正在向政府和人道主义伙伴提供定期更新，以支持应急准备和风险管理。
The WMO said national meteorological services and regional climate forums are providing regular updates to governments and humanitarian partners to support preparedness and risk management.