
加强的厄尔尼诺现象将关键太平洋监测区的海面温度推至9月的创纪录29.70°C,欧盟哥白尼气候服务周一表示。预报员预计,这种加剧干旱和洪水风险并加剧全球变暖的天气模式,将在今年成为有记录以来最强的一次。
An intensifying El Nino pushed sea surface temperatures in a key Pacific monitoring region to a record 29.70C in September, the EU’s Copernicus climate service said Monday. Forecasters expect the weather pattern, which raises drought and flood risks and exacerbates global warming, to become the strongest ever recorded this year.
帕劳首都科罗尔海岸外小岛屿的鸟瞰图,散落在太平洋碧蓝的水域中 © Saeed Khan,AFP 欧盟气候监测机构周一表示,加强的厄尔尼诺现象在太平洋关键区域打破了温度纪录,这是天气模式正在获得非凡强度的又一迹象。
An aerial view of small islands off the coast of Koror, the capital of Palau, scattered across the turquoise waters of the Pacific Ocean © Saeed Khan, AFP An intensifying El Nino broke a temperature record in a key zone of the Pacific in September, the EU's climate monitor said Monday, in another sign the weather pattern is gaining exceptional strength.
全球预报员数月来一直警告,此次厄尔尼诺很可能成为有史以来观测到的最强事件,而最新纪录的打破甚至在今年晚些时候预计达到峰值之前就已经出现。
Global forecasters have been warning for months that this El Nino would likely become the strongest ever observed and the latest record has tumbled even before the episode's expected peak later this year.
厄尔尼诺作为自然气候循环的变暖阶段,会使热带太平洋海面温度升高,引发天气变化,可能增加干旱和洪水的风险,并加剧人为造成的全球变暖。
The warming phase of a natural climate cycle, El Nino raises sea temperatures in the tropical Pacific, triggering changes in weather that can increase the risk of drought and flooding, and exacerbate man-made global warming.
哥白尼气候变化服务表示,太平洋一个能够指示厄尔尼诺的监测区域——称为尼诺3.4区——的海面温度上月达到“有史以来最高”的29.70°C。
The Copernicus Climate Change Service said sea surface temperatures in a tell-tale El Nino monitoring region of the Pacific, known as Nino3.4, had reached an "all-time high" of 29.70C last month.
这一温度超过了1982/1983年、1997/1998年和2015/2016年之前强厄尔尼诺事件的峰值温度,“凸显了当前厄尔尼诺的非凡强度”,欧盟监测机构表示。
This exceeded the peak temperatures of previously strong El Nino events of 1982/1983, 1997/1998 and 2015/2016, "underscoring the exceptional intensity of the current El Nino", the EU monitor said.
但哥白尼在向法新社的声明中表示,“目前尚不能断言当前的厄尔尼诺是有史以来记录到的最强事件”。
But in a statement to AFP, Copernicus said it "cannot yet say that the current El Nino is the strongest ever recorded".
随着气候变化导致海洋温度升高,近期的厄尔尼诺事件可能看起来比过去的更强,这给历史比较带来了复杂性。
climate change raises ocean temperatures, it can make recent El Nino events appear stronger than past ones, complicating historical comparisons.
哥白尼表示,它已采用一个新的指数,该指数考虑了热带海洋的变暖情况,表明当前事件尚未超过过去的事件。
Copernicus said it had adopted a new index, which accounts for the warming of tropical oceans, that suggested the current event is not yet stronger than past ones.
但哥白尼告诉法新社,9月份观测到的数值“表明已经出现了异常强烈的厄尔尼诺现象,尤其是考虑到该事件尚未达到峰值”。并非所有预报员都使用相同的尺度来解读厄尔尼诺。
But the values observed in September "point to an already exceptionally strong El Nino, especially given that the event has not yet reached its peak", Copernicus told AFP. Not all forecasters use the same scale to interpret El Nino.
周五,日本气象厅表示,厄尔尼诺条件已达到“有史以来最强的强度”,其监测区域的温度比正常水平高出4摄氏度。
On Friday, Japan 's weather agency said that El Nino conditions had reached their "strongest intensity on record", with temperatures in the phenomenon's monitoring area 4C above normal.