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国会山报

共和党内部争斗导致其降低油价的努力受阻GOP efforts to lower gas prices derailed by Republican infighting

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在选举日前的几周里,共和党试图降低全国汽油价格的努力因党内纷争而受阻。共和党议员与政府官员们无法就如何缓解消费者的油价压力达成一致,导致相关举措难以推进。

Republican efforts to reduce national gas prices in the weeks before Election Day were derailed in the Senate by infighting among GOP lawmakers and members of the administration who could not agree on how to ease consumers’ pain at the pump.

共和党参议员们对于如何降低汽油与柴油价格——哪怕只是暂时性的措施——存在分歧,而这些分歧主要源于各州的地理与经济差异。来自石油精炼业发达州的参议员们否决了那些农业州参议员提出的禁止柴油出口、或放宽高乙醇含量E15汽油销售限制的提案。

The divisions within the Senate Republican conference over how to lower gas and diesel prices — even if temporarily — were driven primarily by geographic differences. Senators from oil-refining states shot down proposals from farm-state senators to ban the export of diesel or to loosen restrictions on the sale of E15 gasoline with higher ethanol content.

“这本质上是地区政治问题,最终又演变为能源领域的政治博弈以及各方利益集团的较量,”共和党战略顾问、前参议院领导层助手罗恩·邦让说道。

“You’re talking about regional politics, and it gets bogged down in the politics of energy, and the fiefdoms around it,” said Ron Bonjean, a GOP strategist and former Senate leadership aide.

除了地域因素外,党内还存在其他分歧。财政保守派议员们否决了暂停征收汽油税的提案;尽管其他同僚认为,为助力共和党候选人竞选而短期暂停征税对公路信托基金几乎不会造成实质性影响。此外,由于伊朗战争期间为稳定市场价格,美国战略石油储备被大量消耗,议员们在采取某些措施时也受到了限制。

There were divisions that went beyond geography, too. Fiscal hawks torpedoed proposals to suspend the gas tax, even though their colleagues argued that doing so for a short period of time to bolster Republican candidates would have little real impact on the highway trust fund. And lawmakers had less flexibility on some possible actions because of the depletion of the nation’s strategic petroleum reserve by big drawdowns to stabilize market prices during the Iran war.

不过最大的问题在于:共和党参议员们认为,在11月3日选民决定下一届国会控制权归属之前,任何提案都难以对油价产生显著影响。

The biggest problem, however, was that Republican senators didn’t see any proposal as likely to have a significant impact on prices before Nov. 3, when voters will decide which party controls Congress next year.

“从联邦层面来说,要降低消费者的汽油价格几乎是不可能的,因为可动用的调控手段对油价的影响微乎其微,”邦让指出。

“It is almost impossible to federally reduce gasoline prices for consumers because the levers of power that can be used have very little effect on the prices,” Bonjean said.

目前看来最有可行性的方案是实施为期90天的柴油出口禁令。这一提议由艾奥瓦州共和党参议员查克·格拉斯利在9月中旬的共和党参议院领导层会议前率先提出。

The idea that appeared to have the most momentum was a proposal to impose a 90-day ban on diesel exports, which Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) began floating before a Senate Republican leadership meeting in mid-September.

“在这次选举中,我们必须着重解决物价可负担性问题。目前柴油价格已涨至每加仑6美元,特朗普总统最明智的做法就是效仿上世纪70年代的两位总统——当时无论是共和党总统还是民主党总统,在担忧食品价格飙升时都曾对大豆和小麦实施出口禁令。如今特朗普也应当对出口的柴油实施禁令,”格拉斯利于9月14日对《国会山报》说道。

“We need to concentrate on affordability for this election. With diesel at $6, the best thing [President] Trump could do is follow what a Republican president did in the ’70s and a Democrat president did in the ’70s — when they were worried about the price of food, they put an embargo on soybeans and wheat — and [Trump] should put an embargo on diesel leaving the country,” Grassley told The Hill on Sept. 14.

特朗普虽对这一提议表示赞同,但该计划随即遭到产油州参议员及石油企业的强烈反对。这些人士指出,此举不仅无法降低柴油价格,反而可能导致价格进一步上涨。

Trump embraced the idea, but it immediately ran into heavy resistance from oil-state senators and oil companies, who argued that it wouldn’t cut diesel prices but instead might even push them higher.

“有一点我们可以肯定:出口禁令不会对物价产生负面影响,尤其是针对这种在全球范围内交易且价格由全球市场决定的商品,”北达科他州共和党参议员凯文·克雷默说道。“若限制本国柴油产品进入全球市场,实际上会打击柴油生产积极性,最终只会导致价格上升、供应减少。这种做法会限制全球供应,进而对全球物价产生影响。”克雷默警告称,柴油出口禁令“极有可能”推高柴油价格,尤其是那些依赖进口柴油的加利福尼亚州及东北部地区。

“One thing we know for sure is that export bans don’t have a negative price impact, particularly with a commodity like that that’s globally traded and globally priced,” said Sen. Kevin Cramer (R-N.D.). “If you restrict access to the global market for our diesel production, you literally disincentivize more diesel production in which case you end up with higher prices, lower supply,” he said. “You’re restricting your global supply, which has a global impact on prices.”Cramer warned that a diesel export ban “most likely would” raise diesel prices, especially in California and the Northeast, which import diesel from foreign sources.

代表石油资源丰富的得克萨斯州的共和党参议员约翰·科宁则将这一柴油出口禁令提议斥为“噱头”。

Sen. John Cornyn (R), who represents oil-rich Texas, dismissed the proposed diesel export ban as a “gimmick.”

尽管能源部长克里斯·赖特提出“禁止柴油出口根本行不通”的反对意见,白宫仍在9月下旬提出了实施90天柴油出口禁令的计划。上周,特朗普在前往俄亥俄州为处境艰难的共和党参议员乔恩·赫斯特德助选时,否决了这一提议。

The White House in late September floated a plan to ban diesel exports for 90 days, despite objections from Energy Secretary Chris Wright, who argued that “banning diesel exports definitely doesn’t work.”Trump ruled out the idea last week before heading to Ohio to campaign for embattled Sen. Jon Husted (R-Ohio).

今年早些时候,以肯塔基州共和党参议员兰德·保罗为代表的财政保守派人士,也曾反对由密苏里州共和党参议员乔什·霍利提出的暂停征收汽油税的提案。

Earlier this year, fiscal hawks such as Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) spoke out against a proposal introduced by Sen. Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) to suspend the gas tax.

目前,联邦政府规定的汽油税为每加仑18.4美分,柴油税则为每加仑24.4美分。

The federal gas tax is 18.4 cents a gallon for gasoline and 24.4 cents a gallon for diesel.

霍利声称,这项措施将给美国工人和家庭带来“即时缓解”,但保罗和其他预算鹰派人士警告称,这将导致公路信托基金出现巨大窟窿。

Hawley argued it would give American workers and families “immediate relief,” but Paul and other budget hawks warned it would blow a hole in the highway trust fund.

另一个由农业州共和党参议员提出的方案,旨在应对高油价引发的选民反弹,即允许永久放宽对E15汽油的限制。E15是一种含有15%乙醇的燃料混合物。

Another proposal floated by farm-state Republican senators alarmed by the voter backlash to high gas prices was to allow permanent easing of restrictions on E15 gasoline, a fuel blend that includes 15 percent ethanol.

今年面临连任挑战的参议员迈克·朗兹(共和党,南达科他州)将E15宣传为降低燃料价格的一种方式。

Sen. Mike Rounds (R-S.D.), who’s up for reelection this year, touted E15 as a way to knock down fuel prices.

朗兹对《国会山报》表示:“有人认为,这能立即将油价降低多达每加仑30美分——在全国范围内自愿推广E15即可。它马上就能使用,现在就已经存在了,而且是一种美国本土产品。”他还说:“总统今天就可以这么做。”

“It would bring it down right now, some people think, as much as 30 cents a gallon — do voluntary E15 nationwide. It would be immediately available. It’s there now. It’s an American product,” Rounds told The Hill. “The president could do that today,” he said.

朗兹还呼吁扩大美国的炼油能力。但来自石油生产州的共和党人则认为,E15汽油的普及将损害中小型炼油厂。

Rounds also called for expanding refining capacity in the United States. But Republicans from oil-producing states argued that wider availability of E15 gas would hurt small- and mid-size oil refiners.

参议院多数党鞭约翰·巴拉萨奥(共和党,怀俄明州)明确反对他所谓的“全年E15强制令”。此前,环境保护署署长李·泽尔丁于3月宣布,特朗普政府将在夏季扩大高浓度乙醇汽油的销售范围。这场争论将在11月3日选举后的国会“跛鸭会期”中继续展开。

Senate Majority Whip John Barrasso (R-Wyo.) declared his opposition to what he called the “year-round E15 mandate” after Lee Zeldin, administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, announced in March that the Trump administration would expand the sales of gasoline with higher concentrations of ethanol over the summer. The fight will continue to play out during the lame-duck session of Congress after the Nov. 3 elections.

本周,参议院多数党领袖约翰·瑟恩(共和党,南达科他州)在明尼苏达州与共和党参议员候选人米歇尔·塔福亚一同进行竞选活动时表示,他对在停滞不前的农业法案中通过提高E15汽油供应量的立法持乐观态度。

Campaigning with Senate Republican candidate Michele Tafoya in Minnesota this week, Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) said he was optimistic about passing legislation to boost the availability of E15 gas in the stalled farm bill.

“我决心并期望能圆满完成这项工作,让农业法案顺利落地,”图恩在谈及农业法案时说道,“该法案将涵盖E15相关内容,具体版本尚待确定。”

“I intend and expect fully to get this done and get it across the finish line,” Thune said of the farm bill. “And it will include E15, exact version maybe to be determined.”

当地广播电台WZFG旗下的《The Flag》报道了图恩的这番言论。不过,共和党战略专家们仍持怀疑态度:除非特朗普能通过军事或外交手段重新开放霍尔木兹海峡,否则华盛顿很难对汽油价格产生实质性影响。伊朗正是利用该海峡阻断了全球大部分石油供应。

Thune’s comments were reported by local radio station WZFG’s “The Flag.”Even so, GOP strategists are doubtful that Washington can do much to impact the price of gas unless Trump finds a military or diplomatic solution to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which Iran has used to choke off much of the global oil supply.

“很难预测大选后汽油价格会如何变化,但可以肯定的是价格仍将处于高位,”共和党战略专家邦让说道。

“It’s very hard to predict where gas prices are going to be after the election but one could put money down it’s still going to be high,” said Bonjean, the GOP strategist.

不过他补充称,如果特朗普能采取强有力的“军事干预”措施消除伊朗对霍尔木兹海峡油轮运输的威胁——总统近期也曾提及这一可能性——那么汽油价格有望大幅回落。

He said, however, that prices could come down dramatically if Trump is able to eliminate Iranian threats to tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz using serious “military intervention” — something the president has alluded to in recent days.