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彭博社

墨西哥9月通胀小幅上升,央行权衡政策选项Mexico Inflation Ticks Up in September as Banxico Weighs Options

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一名工人在墨西哥城改革大道假日市场协助顾客。摄影师:Stephania Corpi/BloombergA worker assists shoppers at the Paseo de la Reforma holiday market in Mexico City. Photographer: Stephania Corpi/Bloomberg

据Gonzalo Soto和Andrew Rosati报道,墨西哥9月年度通胀加速幅度略低于预期,这验证了央行目前暂停加息的决定,同时等待物价前景更加明朗。国家统计局周四报告称,9月消费者价格同比上涨3.45%。

Mexican annual inflation accelerated slightly less than expected in September, validating the central bank’s current rate pause while awaiting greater clarity on the price outlook. Consumer prices gained 3.45% in September compared with the same month last year, the national statistics institute reported Thursday.

该读数略低于彭博调查的分析师中位数预估3.47%,但高于8月的3.26%。

The reading came in just below the 3.47% median estimate of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, and above August’s print of 3.26%.

剔除波动较大的食品和燃料价格的核心通胀同比放缓至3.75%。

Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and fuel prices, eased to 3.75% from a year ago.

这一受密切关注的指标略低于分析师中位数预估的3.78%,也低于8月的3.88%。央行的通胀目标为3%,上下浮动1个百分点。

The closely-watched indicator came in just under the 3.78% median estimate from analysts and lower than August’s 3.88% print. The central bank targets 3% inflation, plus or minus one percentage point.

墨西哥央行(Banxico)上月连续第三次会议维持基准利率在6.5%不变,决策者取消了此前暗示可能继续维持利率不变的前瞻指引。其下一次利率决定将于11月5日公布。

Banxico, as Mexico’s central bank is known, kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 6.5% for the third straight meeting last month, as policymakers dropped previous guidance suggesting they’d likely keep it on hold going forward. Its next rate decision will be announced Nov. 5.

墨西哥央行行长Victoria Rodríguez在近期采访中表示,未来的货币政策决定将取决于经济形势演变,包括汇率传导至消费者价格的程度、经济闲置程度以及通胀预期。

Future monetary policy decisions will depend on the evolution of economic conditions, including the exchange rate’s pass-through to consumer prices, the degree of slack in the economy as well as inflation expectations, Banxico Governor Victoria Rodríguez said in a recent interview.

“我们的预测保持不变,继续显示通胀将逐步向目标回落,”Rodríguez表示。

“Our forecast remains in place and continues to show a gradual decline in inflation toward the target,” Rodríguez said.

“我们的货币政策立场一直——并将继续——与这一目标保持一致。”

“Our monetary-policy stance has been — and will remain — consistent with that objective.”

Rodríguez补充道,尽管美联储近期调整了政策利率,但美国的举措不会决定墨西哥的货币政策,也不应指望Banxico“机械式”地做出利率调整作为回应。

Rodríguez added that while the Federal Reserve has recently adjusted its policy rate, US moves will not determine monetary policy in Mexico and Banxico should not be expected to “mechanically” change its rate in response.