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伊朗誓言封锁更多霍尔木兹海峡航线,油轮遇袭风险上升Attack risks rise for tankers as Iran vows to block more Hormuz routes

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随着伊朗扬言将封锁更多霍尔木兹海峡航道,油轮遭遇袭击的风险持续上升作者:乔纳森·索尔、帕里萨·哈费齐伦敦,10月8日——据消息人士透露,伊朗近期发出警告称将封锁未经其许可的航道,在此背景下,试图经由霍尔木兹海峡运送重要货物的油轮正面临更高的袭击与胁迫风险。

Attack risks rise for tankers as Iran vows to block more Hormuz routes By Jonathan Saul and Parisa Hafezi LONDON, Oct 8 - Tankers are facing a higher risk of attacks and intimidation as they try to get critical shipments through the Strait of Hormuz after Iran issued new warnings it would block routes that it has not authorized, sources said.

上周,这条关键航道上发生的油轮袭击事件数量创下伊朗战争爆发以来的新高,导致试图通过该海峡的船只数量降至两个多月以来的最低水平。

Last week already saw the biggest number of attacks on tankers in the key waterway since the Iran war began - cutting the number of vessels trying to get through to the lowest in more than two months.

一位与德黑兰关系密切的地区高级官员向路透社透露,伊朗现已警告周边国家:任何试图开辟新石油出口航道的举动均将被视为敌对行为。该官员补充称,这一举措属于伊朗政治领导层与伊斯兰革命卫队共同制定的计划。“制造恐惧与威胁的政策”另一位获得德黑兰方面通报的地区高级外交官向路透社表示:“伊朗绝不会允许对霍尔木兹海峡的控制权旁落,并已制定方案以封锁部分周边国家用于石油出口的航道。”

Iran has now warned regional countries that any attempt to open new routes for oil exports would be considered hostile, a senior regional official close to Tehran told Reuters. It was part of a plan agreed by both Iran's political leaders and its Revolutionary Guards, the official added. 'POLICY OF FEAR AND THREATS' "Iran has absolutely no intention of allowing control of the Strait of Hormuz to slip from its hands, and has plans ready to block routes that some regional countries have for exporting oil," a senior diplomat in the region briefed by Tehran told Reuters separately.

这位外交官进一步指出:“相关措施可能包括对船只实施导弹或无人机攻击,亦或派遣船只恐吓其他船只。伊朗计划持续推行这种制造恐惧与威胁的政策。”

"This could involve missile and drone attacks on ships, or sending boats to scare ships away," the diplomat added. "It plans to continue this policy of fear and threats," he said.

据消息人士向路透社透露,近几个月来,海湾地区的石油生产国纷纷借助靠近阿曼一侧的航道运送原油,随后在美军空中支援下于阿曼湾公海完成转运作业。

In recent months, Gulf oil producers have rushed shipments of oil through channels that hug the Omani side of the strait before transferring the oil in open waters in the Gulf of Oman with aerial support from the US, sources have told Reuters.

据英国海军机构UKMTO通报,过去24小时内最新一起事件为:一枚弹体击中了卡塔尔海岸外约51海里处的一艘油轮。海事安全消息人士称,这艘悬挂安提瓜和巴布达国旗的化学品运输船“Acers号”在卡塔尔马迪纳特阿什沙马尔以北遭多发弹体击中,船员仅有轻微受伤。

In the latest incident in the past 24 hours, projectiles struck a tanker some 51 nautical miles off the coast of Qatar inside the Gulf, British navy agency UKMTO reported. Maritime security sources said the Antigua and Barbuda-flagged chemical tanker Acers had been hit by multiple projectiles north of Qatar's Madinat ash Shamal with minor injuries sustained by its crew.

“阿塞尔号的袭击提升了更广泛作战区域影响卡塔尔、巴林、沙特阿拉伯、科威特和伊拉克航道的可能性。”海上风险情报集团Pole Star Global的子公司Clearwater Dynamics在周四的一份报告中表示。

“The Acers strike raises the prospect of a wider combat area affecting approaches to Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Iraq,” maritime risk intelligence group Pole Star Global’s subsidiary Clearwater Dynamics said in a report on Thursday.

该船的运营方在航运数据库中登记为安提瓜和巴布达注册的Valvoria Shipping,无法联系以置评。

The vessel's operator, listed in shipping databases as Antigua and Barbuda-based Valvoria Shipping, could not be reached for comment.

“伊朗最近的一系列袭击似乎已经削弱了船主穿越霍尔木兹海峡的意愿,”航运协会BIMCO的首席安全与安全官Jakob Larsen表示。“伊朗的威胁似乎在增加。”“海上战争不会仅限于海上”美国总统唐纳德·特朗普正在权衡对伊朗的下一步行动,包括是否在11月中期选举前或之后升级打击,这些选举将决定国会的控制权,因为他正在推行一项旨在对德黑兰施加经济压力以达成结束冲突协议的海上封锁。

"The recent spate of Iranian attacks seems to have dampened the appetite of shipowners to sail through the Strait," said Jakob Larsen, chief safety & security officer at shipping association BIMCO. "The Iranian threat appears to have increased." 'WAR AT SEA DOES NOT REMAIN AT SEA' US President Donald Trump is weighing next steps against Iran, including whether to escalate strikes before or after the November midterm elections, which will decide control of Congress, as he presses a naval blockade meant to pile economic pressure on Tehran to reach a deal to end the conflict.

这场战争 — 以及其每月30亿美元的代价 — 已成为竞选活动中的关键议题。

The war — and its $3 billion monthly price tag — has become a key issue on the campaign trail.

各国政府和能源公司已从储备中动用石油,以缓解今年因乌克兰战争导致的前所未有的全球石油供应中断所带来的压力。

Governments and energy companies have drawn oil from stockpiles to alleviate pressure in a global oil market facing unprecedented supply disruptions this year, also caused by the war in Ukraine.

全球市场可获取的储存石油量正在下降,行业高管们本周在伦敦的一个论坛上表示,这使得市场更加脆弱,并对价格造成上行压力。

The amount of oil in storage that is accessible to the global market is running low, industry executives said at a forum in London this week, making the market more fragile and putting upward pressure on prices.

危机的影响正日益波及全球经济。丹麦航运集团马士基周四表示,由于中东持续冲突,其正在提高对英国和爱尔兰内陆运输的紧急燃油附加费。

The impact of the crisis was increasingly rippling across the global economy. Danish shipping group Maersk said on Thursday it was increasing its emergency fuel surcharge on inland transportation in the UK and Ireland due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

“没有回到旧世界的可能,也没有回到过去几十年稳定与繁荣的可能性,” 英国皇家海军作战参谋部助理参谋长、少将保罗·梅纳德本周在伦敦英国航运商会里维埃拉会议上表示。“海上战争不会仅限于海上。”

"There is no going back to the old world, no harboring back to the stability and the prosperity of the last several decades," Major General Paul Maynard, Assistant Chief of the Naval Staff with Britain's Royal Navy, told a UK Chamber of Shipping Riviera conference in London this week. "A war at sea does not remain at sea."