曼谷，10月14日：泰国央行副行长周三表示，如果能够解决一些结构性问题，该国在三年内实现约3%的经济增长“绝对是可能的”，这一观点与政府的立场一致。
BANGKOK, Oct 14 : Thailand's return to economic growth of about 3 per cent is "definitely possible" within three years if it can tackle some of its structural issues, a deputy central bank governor said on Wednesday, signalling alignment with the government's stance.
泰国央行行长皮蒂·迪西亚塔（Piti Disyatat）对路透社表示，目前央行的货币政策仍将保持宽松态势；当前为1.00%的基准利率只有在经济条件成熟时才会恢复正常水平。
The Bank of Thailand's monetary policy will remain accommodative for now and the policy rate, currently at 1.00 per cent, will normalise only when the economy is ready, Piti Disyatat, the deputy governor for monetary stability, told Reuters.
皮蒂预计今年泰国经济增长率为2.3%或略高，2027年经济增长率为1.8%。央行预计明年经济增长率将回升至2.8%至3%的区间。
Piti said he expects the economy to grow 2.3 per cent or slightly higher this year and to expand by 1.8 per cent in 2027. The central bank's baseline scenario is to get back to a 2.8 per cent to 3 per cent range the year after.
他在国际货币基金组织-世界银行年会上接受采访时表示：“从更长远的角度来看（即两到三年后），我们认为泰国的潜在增长率在2.8%至3%之间。因此，实现3%的经济增长绝对是可能的。”
"In the more distant future, two or three years horizon, we do think our potential trend growth is around 2.8 per cent to 3 per cent. So it is definitely possible to grow to 3 per cent and we expect growth to get to that level," he said in an interview on the sidelines of the International Monetary Fund-World Bank annual meetings.
“这取决于是否不会出现负面冲击，同时也取决于一些我们可以控制的结构性因素——这些因素是可以得到缓解的。”泰国财政部长埃克尼蒂·尼蒂坦帕帕斯（Ekniti Nitithanprapas）上个月对路透社表示，得益于政府在半导体和数据中心等关键领域推动的新投资，泰国经济明年预计将增长2.5%，未来三年内有可能增长至3%。
"It's subject to not having negative shocks and also partly subject to some of the constraints that are within our control, the so-called more structural things that can be alleviated." Backed by a government push for new investments in key sectors such as semiconductors and data centres, Thailand's economy is expected to grow by 2.5 per cent next year and potentially by 3 per cent within the next three years, Finance Minister Ekniti Nitithanprapas told Reuters last month.
泰国央行负责货币政策的副行长唐·纳科恩塔布（Don Nakornthab）上个月在接受采访时指出，泰国经济的潜在增长率约为2.7%，但要达到这一水平需要四到五年的时间。
In an interview last month, Don Nakornthab, Bank of Thailand assistant governor for monetary policy, said the Thai economy's potential growth rate stood at 2.7 per cent, which would take four to five years to reach. RATE CUT 'HARD TO IMAGINE'
降息“几乎不可能”与东南亚其他经济体相比，泰国经济近年来发展较为艰难，主要受需求疲软和家庭债务水平居高不下等因素的影响。
Southeast Asia's second-largest economy has struggled in recent years compared to other countries in the region, weighed down by weak demand and stubbornly high levels of household debt.
2026年第二季度，该国经济年增长率仅为1.9%，大幅低于上一季度的2.8%。
The economy expanded 1.9 per cent annually in the second quarter of 2026, down sharply from 2.8 per cent in the previous quarter.
中央银行在8月份维持其主要利率（1.00%）不变；但在2024年10月至2025年2月期间，连续六次下调了货币政策利率，累计下调了150个基点，以试图刺激经济增长。下一次政策审议将于10月28日进行。
The central bank left its key interest rate unchanged at 1.00 per cent in August and cut its policy rate six times between October 2024 and February, amounting to a total of 150 basis points, as it sought to give a boost to the economy. It will next review policy on October 28. "We don't foresee any reductions in rates," Piti said.
皮蒂（Piti）表示：“我们预计利率不会进一步下调。除非出现重大冲击，否则很难想象会再次降息——因为1%的利率在历史上已经属于非常低的水平了；只有在危机时期，我们才会将利率降至如此低的水平。”他还补充道：“当然，当经济状况好转时，我们最终必须将利率恢复正常水平。”
"It's hard to imagine a cut unless there's a big shock hit, because 1 per cent is low historically. We've never been at 1 per cent outside of crisis times." He added: "Definitely, I think at some point we will have to normalise interest rates when the economy is ready."