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联合国机构:霍尔木兹海峡航运中断开始影响收获Hormuz shipping disruption is starting to hit harvests, UN agency says

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国际农业发展基金总裁阿尔瓦罗·拉里奥在巴西里约热内卢举行的一场活动上讲话,2024年7月24日。路透社/蒂塔·巴罗斯Alvaro Lario, President of the International Fund of Agricultural Development (IFAD), speaks during an event, in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, July 24, 2024. REUTERS/Tita Barros

霍尔木兹海峡航运中断的影响已经开始在农业收获中显现,威胁降低农场产量并推高食品价格,联合国农业发展署负责人周四表示。

“霍尔木兹海峡最初被封锁的传导效应...现在开始显现,” 国际农业发展基金会主席阿尔瓦罗·拉里奥对路透社表示,霍尔木兹相关的肥料运输中断以及更高的燃料和运输成本,叠加厄尔尼诺现象和黑海小麦供应中断,正在整个食品供应链中增加成本。

伊朗一直试图加强对霍尔木兹海峡的控制,利用这一咽喉要地施压华盛顿,而华盛顿一直在推行对伊朗港口的海上封锁。

现有的肥料和燃料库存最初缓冲了冲击,但长期的不确定性导致种植更加谨慎,肥料使用减少,拉里奥表示,并补充说更高的燃料成本也影响了机械化收割。

农产品价格在第三季度上涨了13%,他表示,预计今年第四季度和明年第一季度将进一步上涨。

The impact of the disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is already becoming visible in agricultural harvests, threatening to lower farm yields and push up food prices, the head of a United Nations rural development agency said on Thursday.

拉里奥表示,依赖进口肥料、燃料和食品的国家尤其脆弱,他指出东南亚对燃料的依赖以及海湾地区对食品进口的依赖。

负责监督该提议方案的官员周三对路透社表示,如果美国和伊朗在几周内无就联合国支持的通过霍尔木兹海峡运输肥料的计划达成协议,可能导致亚洲和非洲部分地区出现粮食安全危机。

拉里奥表示,持续的不确定性可能使小农远离需要较长时间才能产生收入的高价值作物,转而种植能更快产生现金流的作物。

"The pass-through from the initial locking down of the Strait of Hormuz ... is now starting to be seen," International Fund for Agricultural Development President Alvaro Lario told Reuters Hormuz-related disruptions to fertilizer shipments and higher fuel and transport costs, compounded by El Niño and disruptions to Black Sea wheat supplies, are adding costs throughout the food supply chain, he said Iran has sought to tighten its grip on the Strait of Hormuz, using the chokepoint to pressure Washington, which has been pressing its own naval blockade of Iranian ports Existing fertilizer and fuel stocks initially cushioned the shock, but prolonged uncertainty has led to more cautious planting and reduced fertilizer use, Lario said, adding that higher fuel costs are also affecting mechanized harvesting Agricultural commodity prices rose 13% in the third quarter, with further increases expected in the fourth quarter of this year and the first quarter of next year, he said Countries reliant on imported fertilizer, fuel and food are particularly vulnerable, according to Lario, who highlighted Southeast Asia's fuel dependence as well as the Gulf region's reliance on food imports A failure by the United States and Iran to agree within weeks on a UN-backed plan for moving fertilizer through the Strait of Hormuz could cause a food security crisis in parts of Asia and Africa, an official overseeing the proposed scheme told Reuters on Wednesday The ongoing uncertainty could push small farmers away from higher-value crops that take longer to generate income and towards crops providing faster cash flow, Lario said