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特朗普排除对伊朗使用核武器:为何此事重要Trump rules out using a nuclear bomb on Iran: Why that matters

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一张2003年美国空军拍摄的照片显示,GBU-43/B“大型空爆弹”原型弹在未披露地点撞击前瞬间。爆炸产生的蘑菇云在远至32公里(20英里)外都能看到。[资料图:美国空军/法新社]A US Air Force image from 2003 shows the GBU-43/B Massive Ordnance Air Blast bomb prototype moments before impact at an undisclosed location. The detonation created a mushroom cloud that could be seen from up to 32km (20 miles) away [File: US Airforce/via AFP]

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普首次明确排除对伊朗使用核武器,但未否认美国媒体报道称其政府正考虑在不久的将来部署美国最致命的非核弹药——昵称为“所有炸弹之母”的武器。

United States President Donald Trump has for the first time explicitly ruled out the use of a nuclear weapon against Iran, but has not denied US media reports that his administration is considering deploying the US’s most lethal non-nuclear munition , nicknamed the “mother of all bombs” in the near future.

在右翼美国新闻网站Newsmax周四发表的采访中,特朗普表示他不打算使用核武器,但同时澄清称这种毁灭性的空中武器——GBU-43/B巨型制导空爆炸弹(MOAB——“所有炸弹之母”)——“不是核武器”。

In an interview published on Thursday by right-wing American news site Newsmax, Trump suggested he does not plan to use nuclear weapons, but also clarified that the devastating aerial weapon, the GBU-43/B Massive Ordnance Air Blast Bomb (MOAB – ‘mother of all bombs ) “is not nuclear”.

“我不会使用核武器。我们不必这样做。我们是世界上最强大的核大国,”他对Newsmax说。

“I wouldn’t use nuclear. We don’t have to. We’re the greatest nuclear power in the world,” he told Newsmax.

特朗普的言论标志着他在核问题上的首次明确表态,此前美国和以色列对伊朗的战争中曾出现关于可能发生原子冲突的猜测。他的言论也似乎证实了另一阶段战争即将爆发的猜测,很可能在美国11月3日中期选举之后。以下是我们目前了解的情况:2026年6月30日,伊朗纳坦兹核设施Pickaxe Mountain隧道入口的卫星图像[Vantor/路透社]特朗普说了什么?

The comments marked Trump’s first definitive statement on the nuclear topic following speculation about a possible atomic conflict earlier in the US and Israel’s war on Iran. They also appeared to confirm speculation that another phase of the war is imminent, likely after the US midterm elections on November 3. Here’s what we know: A satellite view of tunnel entrances on Pickaxe Mountain at the Natanz nuclear facility in Iran, June 30, 2026 [Vantor/via Reuters]

特朗普告诉Newsmax,美国确实可能对伊朗的核设施发动另一次打击,特别是对Pickaxe Mountain,因为据信德黑兰正在那里花岗岩层深处隐藏一个核设施。他排除了使用核武器或战术核武器。

What did Trump say? Trump told Newsmax that the US might indeed launch another strike on Iran’s nuclear sites, particularly on Pickaxe Mountain, where Tehran is believed to be hiding a nuclear facility deep under layers of granite. He ruled out using a nuclear weapon or a tactical nuclear weapon.

“我不会使用核武器。我们不必这样做。我们是世界上最强大的核大国,”他说。

“I wouldn’t use nuclear. We don’t have to. We’re the greatest nuclear power in the world,” he said.

他还澄清称CNN报道的美国政府正考虑使用的MOAB——“不是核武器”。

He also clarified that the MOAB, which CNN reported the US government is considering using, “is not nuclear”.

2026年6月30日,伊朗纳坦兹核设施镐头山隧道入口的卫星视图。[Vantor/路透社]A satellite view of tunnel entrances on Pickaxe Mountain at the Natanz nuclear facility in Iran, June 30, 2026 [Vantor/via Reuters]

针对MOAB是否属于“战术核武器”——即小型核弹药——的提问,特朗普重申它不是核武器。

Responding to a question about whether the MOAB is “tactical nuclear” – meaning smaller nuclear munitions – Trump reiterated that it is not.

“well,所有炸弹之母不是核武器,”特朗普说。“它完全不是核武器。这只是一枚极其巨大的炸弹。”特朗普拒绝透露他是否授权在伊朗使用该武器。

“Well, the mother of all bombs is not nuclear,” Trump said. “It’s not nuclear at all. This is just an extremely large bomb.”Trump declined to say whether he had authorised its use in Iran.

特朗普还暗示,近期可能会有新一轮的袭击。他主张,美国目前无法结束战争,因为必须确保伊朗无法生产核武器,并表示他认为“如果他们拥有核武器,他们会立即使用,在我看来,会瞬间使用”。

Trump also suggested renewed attacks are likely in the near future. The US cannot end the war now because it has to ensure Iran cannot produce a nuclear weapon, he argued, saying he believes that “if they had it, they would use it, in my opinion, instantaneously”.

特朗普还重申,无论是通过武力还是外交手段,战争将“很快”结束,届时油价也将下跌。

Trump also reiterated that the war would end “very soon” whether by force or diplomacy and that oil prices would then drop.

当被问及他是否会派遣“地面部队”时,特朗普说:“不,我看不到这种可能,我看不到。”战争初期,特朗普曾发表过关于派遣部队的言论,分析人士称,由于伊朗多山的地形,这一举动对美军将是毁灭性的。什么是“所有炸弹之母”?

When asked if he would put “troops on the ground”, Trump said: “No, I don’t see that, I don’t see it.”Earlier in the war, Trump had made comments regarding sending in troops, a move analysts said would be devastating for US soldiers because of Iran’s mountainous territory. What is the ‘mother of all bombs’?

MOAB携带约8500公斤(18000磅或8.5吨)高爆炸药的巨大载荷。其自身重量为9800公斤(21605磅或近10吨)——大约相当于四辆汽车的重量——长度超过九米(约30英尺)。隐形轰炸机太小,无法携带它,因此必须由更大的洛克希德C-130“大力神”运输机投放。

The MOAB carries a massive payload of about 8,500kg (18,000 pounds or 8.5 tonnes) of high explosives. It weighs 9,800kg (21,605 pounds or nearly 10 tonnes) – about the same as four cars – and is just over nine metres (about 30 feet) long. Stealth bombers are too small to carry it, so it has to be deployed by larger, Lockheed C-130 Hercules transporters.

它被设计为在地面几米上空爆炸,产生强烈的火球,可在1公里半径范围内摧毁建筑物和其他硬质结构,专家对半岛电视台表示。其威力如此之大,以至于在测试中,其爆炸产生的蘑菇云曾被32公里(20英里)外观测到,美国空军曾如此表示。

It is designed to explode a few metres above the ground, sending out intense fireballs that can blast buildings and other hard-surface structures within a 1km radius, experts have told Al Jazeera. It is so powerful that a mushroom cloud from its blast has been seen 32km (20 miles) away in tests, the US Air Force has said.

“其巨大的爆炸药量能够对裸露的人员、设备和脆弱结构造成毁灭性的冲击效应,”布鲁塞尔驻扎的军事和武器分析师伊利亚·马格尼尔说。“其目的在于在广阔的表面区域产生极其强大的冲击波。”

“Its large explosive charge can produce devastating blast effects against exposed personnel, equipment and vulnerable structures,” Brussels-based military and weapons analyst Elijah Magnier said. “Its purpose is to generate an exceptionally powerful blast across a surface area.”

然而,马格尼尔也表示,对这种巨型地表爆炸武器是否能有效打击伊朗深埋的核设施存在疑问。他补充称,伊朗的地形可能对大型货机的进出构成困难。特朗普此前对核武器有何表态?特朗普从未明确提及使用核武器,但他也从未排除这一可能性。

However, Magnier said there is doubt about whether using the massive surface explosive would be effective against deeply buried nuclear installations in Iran. He added that the terrain in Iran could be difficult for larger cargo aircraft to access. What has Trump previously said about nuclear weapons? Trump has never explicitly mentioned using a nuclear weapon, but he has also never ruled it out.

关于华盛顿是否可能使用核武器的猜测在冲突初期甚嚣尘上,这主要源于特朗普对德黑兰的众多威胁具有极端性。

Speculation regarding whether Washington might use nuclear weapons was rife in the early days of the conflict, largely because of the extreme nature of Trump’s numerous threats against Tehran.

例如,在四月,当伊朗对霍尔木兹海峡的船只实施封锁时,特朗普在他的Truth Social平台上发文称:“……一个整个文明将在今晚毁灭,永无复苏之日”,如果伊朗不同意和平协议并重新开放海峡。

In April, for example, as Iran enforced a blockade on ships in the Strait of Hormuz, Trump posted on his Truth Social site that “…a whole civilisation will die tonight, never to be brought back again”, if Iran did not agree to a peace deal and reopen the strait.

他还威胁要摧毁伊朗的基础设施,称轰炸行动“将是发电厂日和桥梁日,全部合而为一”,在伊朗。

He also threatened to destroy Iran’s infrastructure, saying a bombing campaign “will be Power Plant Day and Bridge Day, all wrapped up in one”, in Iran.

专家普遍将他的言论解读为核毁灭的威胁,但这一威胁仍未迫使伊朗回到谈判桌。

Experts widely interpreted his statements as a threat of nuclear destruction, but one that still failed to force Iran to the table.

尽管特朗普在随后几周基本淡化了其挑衅性言论,但他在上个月于纽约联合国大会上重申,他可以“彻底摧毁”伊朗。他还告诉大会,他认为在中期选举之后会达成一项协议。什么是“战术”核武器?

Although Trump largely moved away from his sabre-rattling rhetoric in the following weeks, he reiterated at the United Nations General Assembly in New York last month that he could “annihilate” Iran. He also told the assembly that he believed a deal would emerge after the midterms. What is a ‘tactical’ nuclear weapon?

“战术”核武器(TNW)是专为战场设计的小型核弹药,与专为大规模毁灭设计的战略核弹药不同。

“Tactical” nuclear weapons (TNW) are smaller nuclear munitions designed for the battlefield as opposed to strategic nuclear munitions designed for mass destruction.

一些人认为TNWs的威力比原子弹小,但专家警告称其名称具有误导性,它们仍可能造成毁灭性后果。其当量在0.3至50千吨之间,可影响半径500至600公里范围内的地区。

Some perceive TNWs as having a lesser impact than an atomic bomb, but experts warn that their names are misleading and they can nevertheless be devastating. Their explosive yield, between 0.3 and 50 kilotons, can impact areas within a 500-600km radius.

美国曾向广岛投放一枚15千吨当量的核弹,也就是说,该武器如今将被视为TNW。美国、朝鲜和俄罗斯的军备库中均拥有TNWs,尽管尚未有任何国家使用过它们。TNWs不受任何国际条约约束,且基本处于无监管状态。另一次美国对伊朗的袭击可能是什么样子?

The US dropped a 15-kiloton nuclear bomb on Hiroshima, meaning that weapon would today be considered a TNW. The US, North Korea and Russia have TNWs in their arsenals, although no country has ever used them. TNWs are not subject to any international treaties and are largely unregulated. What might another US attack on Iran look like?

特朗普未能排除使用MOAB的可能性,分析人士推测美国可能发动另一次——或许是最后一次——针对伊朗核与防御设施的密集轰炸行动,尤其是“斧山”。

With Trump failing to rule out dropping the MOAB, analysts speculate that the US might launch another – perhaps final – intensive bombing campaign targeting Iran’s nuclear and defence sites, particularly Pickaxe Mountain.

美国也可能继续对伊朗港口实施海上封锁,同时为商船通过霍尔木兹海峡提供护航。

The US could also continue its naval blockade on Iranian ports, while providing escorts for commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.

伊朗誓言将通过袭击邻国海湾国家的石油和数字基础设施来回应升级的打击。

Iran has vowed to respond to escalatory strikes by targeting oil and digital infrastructure in neighbouring Gulf states.

高级国防官员也警告称,如果美国发动地面行动,伊朗将入侵其邻国,尽管特朗普似乎已经排除了这一可能性。

Senior defence officials have also warned that Iran will invade its neighbours if the US launches a ground operation, although Trump appears to have ruled that out.

战争初期,他曾暗示可能派遣地面部队以回收约400公斤的“黄饼”——华盛顿和以色列称德黑兰已将其藏于地下的高浓缩铀。

Earlier in the war, he hinted at the possibility of sending ground forces to retrieve some 400kg of “yellowcake” – highly enriched uranium that Washington and Israel claim Tehran has hidden underground.

特朗普在3月份与正在与伊朗作战的库尔德民兵组织的通话引发了猜测,认为华盛顿可能与他们协调以发动入侵,但这并未发生。

Trump’s phone calls in March to Kurdish militia groups fighting Iran provoked speculation that Washington could coordinate with them for an invasion, although that did not happen.