
伦敦/班加罗尔,10月16日:亏损且负债累累的美国云计算公司CoreWeave本周成为投资者关注人工智能泡沫的易攻目标。尽管其抛售规模看似有限,但对市场的影响远超其体量所暗示的程度。
LONDON/BENGALURU, Oct 16 : Loss-making and deeply indebted US cloud company CoreWeave became an easy target this week for investors concerned about an artificial intelligence bubble. Its selloff, though, has greater significance for markets than its size implies.
这家估值390亿美元、由英伟达支持的人工智能基础设施公司股票和债券的下跌,发生在超大规模云服务商第三季度报告显示数据中心项目可能延迟、资本支出增长放缓之后。
The slump in the shares and bonds of the $39 billion Nvidia-backed AI infrastructure company came after third-quarter reports from hyperscalers hinted at delays in data center projects and a slower pace of growth in capital expenditure.

担心的投资者将矛头指向如CoreWeave这类新兴人工智能云公司,即所谓的“新云”,因其大量举债融资芯片、土地和能源以建设数据中心——而这些数据中心的收入仅能在未来实现——被视为人工智能生态系统中可能最薄弱的环节。
Worried investors took aim at new-age AI-based cloud firms, or neoclouds, such as CoreWeave, conceivably the weakest links in the AI ecosystem because of how they borrow heavily to finance chips, land and energy for data centers which will yield income only in the future.
本周,CoreWeave的股价暴跌超过15%,其2030年到期债券的收益率飙升500个基点,接近16%。
CoreWeave's shares dived more than 15 per cent this week while yields on its 2030 bonds jumped 500 basis points to near 16 per cent.
CoreWeave首席执行官迈克·因特拉托在一份被路透社看到的内部备忘录中告诉员工,市场有时会“误解并非理性行动”,但公司拥有强劲的需求管道。该公司未回应路透社的置评请求。
CoreWeave chief Mike Intrator told employees in a memo, seen by Reuters, markets can sometimes "misunderstand and act irrationally" and it has a strong pipeline of demand. The company did not respond to Reuters' requests for comment.
投资者的注意力转向了其500亿美元的债务规模,以及在芯片制造商如英伟达与客户如Meta平台和OpenAI之间的循环融资安排中处于两难境地的风险。
Investors focused instead on its $50 billion debt and the perils of being trapped in the middle of a circular financing arrangement between chipmakers such as Nvidia and clients such as Meta Platforms and OpenAI.
“问题在于,我们谈论的是巨大的关联性,不仅仅是循环融资,更在于这些资产都由同一类投资者持有于同一地点、同一投资组合中,”马尔堡固定收益投资组合经理詹姆斯·阿塞伊说道。
"The problem with this stuff is that we're talking about huge interconnectedness, not just circular financing but the fact that these assets are all held in the same places, in the same portfolios, by the same types of investors," said James Athey, fixed-income portfolio manager at Marlborough.
“而杠杆始终是那种能将风暴变成茶杯风波,进而演变为更具破坏性力量的因素,”他所说,此处指的是广义上的人工智能市场紧张情绪。
"And leverage is always that thing which turns a storm into a teacup into something more nefarious," he said, referring broadly to the AI jitters.
像CoreWeave、Nebius、Applied Digital、Iren、Lambda Labs、Crusoe和TeraWulf这样的公司正在建设耗能巨大的数据中心,他们最终可以将这些数据中心租给开发和运行AI模型的公司。这需要巨额的前期投资,并且在租赁开始之前几乎没有收入。根据LSEG汇编的数据,CoreWeave从未实现盈利。
Companies such as CoreWeave, Nebius, Applied Digital, Iren, Lambda Labs, Crusoe and TeraWulf are building energy-intensive data centers they can eventually rent out to firms developing and running AI models. That calls for massive upfront investment and very little income until the leases begin. CoreWeave has never turned a profit, according to data compiled by LSEG.
CoreWeave的首席执行官还在备忘录中表示,其订单积压额足以覆盖其债务义务。该公司在第二季度末拥有1042亿美元的收入积压,随后在第三季度初又新增了超过250亿美元的承诺。
CoreWeave's CEO also said in the memo that its deal backlog more than covers its debt obligations. The company had a $104.2 billion revenue backlog at the end of the second quarter, followed by more than $25 billion in new commitments early in the third quarter.
但总部位于新泽西的公司烧钱速度快于投资者的喜好。2025年,CoreWeave报告称年度收入为51亿美元,净亏损为12亿美元。
But the New Jersey-based company is burning cash faster than investors like. In 2025, CoreWeave reported annual revenue of $5.1 billion and a net loss of $1.2 billion.
虽然收入预计今年将翻倍,但资本支出预计将增加四倍,达到350亿至390亿美元之间,导致今年烧钱更加严重。有关Intrator及其关联实体自公司去年3月IPO以来已出售近10亿美元股票的消息,大多是在监管文件所示的预安排交易计划下进行的,这并没有帮助。
While revenue is expected to double this year, capital expenditure is estimated to be up fourfold to between $35 billion and $39 billion, leading to even more cash burn this year. News that Intrator and entities linked to him have sold nearly $1 billion of stock since the company's IPO in March last year, mostly under prearranged trading plans as per regulatory filings, has not helped.
“显然他们需要资本注入或救助。他们正在烧钱,而资本不再免费了,”对冲基金Andromeda Capital的创始人Alberto Gallo说。
"Clearly they will need a capital injection or a bailout. They are burning capital, and capital is no longer free," said Alberto Gallo, founder of hedge fund Andromeda Capital.
“作为债券投资者,你希望购买那些具有可见现金流的企业的债务,而不是那些进行资本支出、希望未来需要更多资本支出的人,”他说。该公司持有对CoreWeave债券的看空头寸。
"You want to buy debt in businesses that have visible cash flow, typically as a bond investor, not someone that is doing capex, in the hope that there will be more capex needed in the future," he said. The firm holds bets against CoreWeave bonds.
疑虑重重CoreWeave是研究公司Gartner Inc所说的“收入与资本支出失衡最严重”的约100家新云服务提供商中的佼佼者,他们需要尽快实现盈利以维持运营。
DOUBTS APLENTY CoreWeave is at the top of the 100-odd neoclouds that research firm Gartner Inc says are "the most exposed to the imbalance between revenue and capital spending" and need to soon earn returns to sustain operations.
Gartner预计,到2030年,80%的新云服务提供商将停止独立运营。
Gartner expects that by 2030, 80 per cent of neocloud providers will cease independent operations.
“我们正处于这样一种情况:对收入和收入增长有很多期待,但这种收入增长是由错误类型的资本推动的,即债务而非股权,”迪拜对冲基金Index & Cie总部的首席投资官Tommaso Leodari表示。该基金不持有纯AI公司的股份。
"We are in a situation in which there are a lot of expectations on revenues and revenue growth, but this revenue growth is being fueled by the wrong type of capital, which is debt, not equity," said Tommaso Leodari, Dubai-based chief investment officer of hedge fund Index & Cie. The fund does not hold stakes in pure AI firms.
“以CoreWeave为例,这些人完全用债务来融资其整个业务。因此,如果这种特定资产的利用出现任何问题,或者这些数据中心的建设出现放缓,这将反映在偿还债务的问题上。”来自AI超大规模企业如微软和甲骨文公司的警告不断,指出数据中心项目延迟、电力和组件瓶颈、高端芯片供过于求,再加上Meta和微软等巨头计划推出自研芯片以与英伟达竞争,也进一步加剧了人们对“新云”(neoclouds)的担忧。
"In the specific case of CoreWeave, these guys are financing their entire business with debt. So if anything happens in the utilization of this particular asset or if there is a slowing down on the construction of these data centers, it will reflect in problems in repaying the debt." A streak of warnings from AI hyperscalers such as Microsoft and Oracle Corp on delays in data center projects, power and component bottlenecks, a glut in high-end chips, alongside plans by giants such as Meta and Microsoft to launch their own chips to rival Nvidia's, have also stoked concerns about neoclouds.
OpenAI和Anthropic等AI巨头的收入增长速度虽然仍然很快,但也有所放缓。
The pace at which revenue is growing at AI giants such as OpenAI and Anthropic, while still fast, has also softened.
“即便收入达到100亿美元,CoreWeave仍亏损25亿美元,因此目前行业尚未出现明显的规模效应,”悉尼Frazis Capital Partners的Michael Frazis写道。
"Even at $10 billion revenue, CoreWeave is losing $2.5 billion, so there are no scale effects in the industry clear as yet," wrote Michael Frazis of Sydney-based Frazis Capital Partners.
CoreWeave得到了英伟达的支持。这家芯片巨头已同意在2032年4月前收购CoreWeave未售出的算力容量,以确保其有买家购买未售予客户的容量。
CoreWeave has Nvidia's backing. The chip giant has agreed to buy unsold CoreWeave compute capacity through April 2032, guaranteeing it will have a buyer for capacity not sold to customers.
评级机构将CoreWeave的债务评为投机级,但穆迪评级副总裁Sean Cray指出,该公司并未投机性地采购芯片,且拥有多种融资渠道。
Ratings agencies have CoreWeave's debt marked as speculative grade, yet Sean Cray, vice president at Moody’s Ratings, pointed out the company does not speculatively purchase chips and has multiple avenues for financing.
CoreWeave最初是一家比特币矿工,但仍然是投机者的易攻目标,对冲基金一直在购买其垃圾评级债券以获取高收益。本周,为其债务违约购买保险的成本升至约1200个基点,表明其陷入严重困境。
Originally a bitcoin miner, CoreWeave has still been an easy mark for punters, and hedge funds have been buying its junk-rated bonds for the high yield. The cost of insuring its debt against default climbed to about 1,200 basis points this week, signalling severe distress.
“CoreWeave的信贷抛售风险在于可能成为自我实现的预言,”研究公司Gimme Credit的Saurav Sen写道。“人们担心的不是客户是否需要这种容量,而是CoreWeave是否有能力交付它。”
"CoreWeave's credit selloff risks becoming a self-fulfilling prophecy," wrote Saurav Sen at research firm Gimme Credit. "The concern is less whether customers want the capacity than whether CoreWeave can afford to deliver it."