
肯塔基州州长安迪·贝希尔与知名拉美裔立法者公开对抗,而他可能的2028年总统竞争对手正在趁机获利。
Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear is in open war with prominent Latino lawmakers, and his potential 2028 rivals for president are taking advantage.
- 作为民主党州长协会(DGA)主席的贝希尔,抵制了拉美裔领导人对其在吉娜·希诺霍萨竞选德州州长上大笔投入的压力,选择将重点放在其他州的选举中。
• Beshear, as head of the Democratic Governors Association (DGA), has resisted pressure from Latino leaders to invest heavily in Gina Hinojosa's campaign for Texas governor, opting to focus on races in other states.
- 作为回应,伊利诺伊州州长JB·普利兹克、加利福尼亚州州长加文·纽森和马里兰州州长韦斯·摩尔向希诺霍萨挑战德州州长格雷格·阿博特(R)的竞选提供了资金,并获得了拉美裔立法者的赞誉。
• In response, Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker, California Gov. Gavin Newsom and Maryland Gov. Wes Moore have given money to Hinojosa's bid to unseat Texas Gov. Greg Abbott (R) — and earned praise from Latino lawmakers. Why it matters:
为何重要:此番来回实际上是2028年民主党初选的首场较量之一,背景是该党急于扭转共和党在拉美裔选民中的近期得势。
The back-and-forth amounts to one of the first fights of the 2028 Democratic primary, against the backdrop of the party's desperation to reverse the GOP's recent gains among Latino voters.
- 拉美裔领导人正试图展示其政治影响力,部分原因在于民主党新制定的初选日程,该日程将内华达州和新墨西哥州——以及它们庞大的拉美裔人口——定为提名竞赛中的第二和第四投票州。
• Latino leaders are trying to flex their political muscle, fueled in part by Democrats' new primary schedule, which has Nevada and New Mexico — and their large Latino populations — the second and fourth states to vote in the nominating contest. Driving the news:
推动新闻:在过去几周里,拉美裔领导人公开施压,要求贝希尔向德州投入1000万美元,因为民调显示希诺霍萨领先或处于民调误差范围内。
In recent weeks Latino leaders have gone public in their pressure campaign to push Beshear to invest $10 million in Texas, as polls have shown Hinojosa ahead or within the polls' margin of error.
- 贝希尔意识到在德州全州范围内竞选的高昂成本以及DGA资源有限,因此抵制了这一要求,而是将委员会的资源集中在内华达州、佐治亚州、亚利桑那州、威斯康星州和俄亥俄州等关键州的州长选举上。
• Beshear, mindful of how expensive it is to campaign statewide in Texas and the DGA's limited resources, resisted and instead focused the committee's resources on governor's races in critical states like Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin and Ohio.
普利兹克,贝希尔的潜在2028年竞争对手普利兹克此前已向希诺霍萨的竞选捐款20万美元,随后公开宣布将再向其捐款100万美元。这一举动赢得了这位亿万富翁伊利诺伊州州长的支持者,他一直在战略性地将部分个人财富分散到党内各项事务中。
Pritzker, a potential 2028 rival to Beshear who already had donated $200,000 to Hinojosa's campaign, then publicly announced he was donating an additional $1 million to Hinojosa. That won the Illinois governor, a billionaire who has strategically spread some of his personal wealth across the party, some fans.
- “当拉美裔领袖请求增援时,JB 普利兹克派出了援军,为吉娜·希诺霍萨提供了120万美元,因为他知道这场竞选是可以赢的。” 拉美裔胜利基金董事会主席克里斯托瓦尔·亚历克斯对《Axios》表示。
• "When Latino leaders asked for the cavalry, JB Pritzker sent it, putting $1.2 million behind Gina Hinojosa because he knows the race is winnable," Cristóbal Alex, board chair of the Latino Victory Fund, told Axios.
- 亚历克斯指出,普利兹克曾为拉美裔胜利基金举办过筹款活动,他“将资源和时间投入到了全国范围内的西班牙裔候选人和选民身上。”
• Alex noted that Pritzker, who hosted a fundraiser for the Latino Victory Fund, has "put his resources and his time into Hispanic candidates and voters around the country."
纽森方面,与此同时,他发起了一场筹款活动,为希诺霍萨筹集了7.5万美元。
Newsom, meanwhile, sent a fundraising that brought in $75,000 for Hinojosa.
- 据两名民主党官员向《Axios》透露,穆尔私下告诉民主党州长协会(DGA),将其连任竞选经费中的10万美元重新分配用于得州。
• Moore privately told the DGA to reallocate $100,000 from his reelection campaign to Texas, two Democratic officials told Axios.
- 贝希尔曾个人向希诺霍萨的竞选活动捐款2.5万美元,最终宣布DGA将向她的团队提供100万美元——这仅是最初请求金额的10%,对于得州这样一个大州而言属于小额承诺。据熟悉情况的消息人士透露,这笔款项已于上周到账。
• Beshear, who personally donated $25,000 to Hinojosa's campaign, ultimately announced the DGA would give her team $1 million — 10% of the original ask and a small commitment for a big state like Texas. The money arrived this past week, according to a source familiar with the situation.
有趣之处:多位拉美裔领袖和立法者对贝希尔未参加10月7日与他们及DGA的Zoom会议感到愤怒,该会议旨在讨论得州竞选形势。
The intrigue: Several Latino leaders and lawmakers were furious that Beshear didn't attend a Zoom call with them and the DGA on Oct. 7 to discuss the Texas race.
- “即便有人甚至在考虑2028年的事情,也竟然不尊重我们、不肯会面,这让我百思不得其解。” 众议员西尔维娅·加西亚(民主党-得州)对《Axios》表示,她指出当时有七名拉美裔国会议员参加了该通话。“只要在Zoom上花五分钟……然后告个退。”
• "It just baffles me that someone who was even thinking of 2028 would disrespect us and not meet," Rep. Silvia Garcia (D-Texas) told Axios, noting that seven Latino members of Congress were on the call. "Just freaking five minutes on a Zoom … and excuse yourself."
- “我真的觉得他不尊重这个群体,而且如果他不知道如何进行外展和沟通——而这些正是我们进入白宫所需要的——他将会面临严重的拉美裔问题。”
• "I really felt like he disrespected the group, and that he is going to have a serious Latino problem if he doesn't know how to do the outreach and the communication that's going to need to get us to the White House."
- 贝希尔的批评者指出,他在今年秋天有时间进行图书巡演,而据他们所说,他本来可以利用这段时间为DGA筹集更多资金。
• Beshear's critics note he had time this fall for a book tour when, they argue, he could have been raising more money for the DGA. The other side:
另一方观点:多名民主党人士告诉《Axios》,他们认为DGA将资金投向其他州的战略决策是正确的。
Several Democrats told Axios that they believe the DGA made the right strategic decision to send money to other states.
- 施压贝希尔的一些拉美裔领袖同时也是顾问,如果他得州投入大量资金,他们本可以从中获利。
• Some of the Latino leaders pressuring Beshear also were consultants who stood to make money if he invested heavily in Texas.
- 许多拉美裔领导人声称他们代表拉美裔选民发言,但最近的选举已经证明他们错了,正如参议员鲁本·加列戈(D-亚利桑那州)等人所指出的那样。
• Many Latino leaders claim they speak for Latino voters, but have been proved wrong in recent elections, as Sen. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) and others have pointed out.
- 内华达州、佐治亚州、威斯康星州和亚利桑那州是摇摆州,对民主党人来说,这些州在2028年获得270张选举人票方面可能比得克萨斯州更为关键。
• Nevada, Georgia, Wisconsin, and Arizona are swing states likely to be more critical than Texas for a Democrat to get 270 Electoral College votes in 2028. What they're saying:
他们说:民主党州长协会(DGA)传播主管萨姆·牛顿对《Axios》表示:“不幸的是,对于那些个人沉迷于2028年并制造民主党内部斗争的华盛顿特区工作人员来说,DGA及其主席、肯塔基州州长贝谢尔,以及我们所有的民主党州长,仍然专注于击败特朗普和共和党人,以尽可能多地赢得我们36场高风险的州长选举。”• 一位熟悉DGA内部对话的人士告诉CNN,他们的内部民调显示希诺霍萨落后阿博特5个百分点,但希诺霍萨的竞选团队本周发布了一份内部民调,显示她领先2个百分点。
DGA communications director Sam Newton told Axios: "Unfortunately for the D.C. staffers who are personally obsessed with 2028 and manufacturing Democratic infighting, the DGA and our chair Gov. Beshear, along with all of our Democratic governors, remain solely focused on beating Trump and Republicans to win as many of our high-stakes 36 races for governor as possible." • A person familiar with conversation within the DGA conversations told CNN that their internal polls had Hinojosa trailing Abbott by 5 points, but Hinojosa's campaign this week released an internal poll showing her up by 2.
- DGA未就这一差异作出回应,并将《Axios》引导至其宣传的显示希诺霍萨领先2个百分点的民调。
• The DGA didn't respond to questions about the discrepancy and pointed Axios to its promotion of the poll showing Hinojosa up by 2.
结论:即使一些民主党人认为DGA在财政上做出了正确的决定——即不对得克萨斯州进行大规模投资——他们也认为贝谢尔处理此事的政治方式失当。
The bottom line: Even some Democrats who think the DGA made the right financial decision not to invest heavily in Texas think Beshear mishandled the politics of the situation.
- 如果他无法应对担任DGA主席所带来的政治挑战,他们争辩说,他又如何能够应对总统竞选,甚至可能的白宫工作?
• If he can't handle the politics of being DGA chair, they argue, how could he handle a presidential campaign, and potentially the White House?