1 of 2 巴西总统候选人弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗在发表讲话，而巴西总统候选人路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦正在倾听，此为总统辩论现场，距离巴西圣保罗的决选总统选举仅剩几天，2026年10月18日。路透社/让·卡尼埃 摄 发布于2026年10月19日，下午6:36 更新于2026年10月19日，下午6:36 收听 圣保罗，10月19日 — — 巴西参议员弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗对现任总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦的领先优势已在10月25日决选前有所缩小，两项民调于周一显示，这表明右翼议员与左翼现任总统之间的竞争将异常胶着。
1 of 2 Brazilian presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro speaks as Brazilian presidential candidate Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva listens during a presidential debate, ahead of the runoff presidential election, in Sao Paulo, Brazil, October 18, 2026. REUTERS/Jean Carniel Published Oct 19, 2026, 06:36 PM Updated Oct 19, 2026, 06:36 PM Listen SAO PAULO, Oct 19 - Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro's lead over President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has narrowed ahead of an October 25 runoff, two polls showed on Monday, pointing to a close race between the right-wing lawmaker and the leftist incumbent.
前总统雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗的长子在本月早些时候的第一轮投票中出人意料地领先，以接近两个百分点的优势击败卢拉，后者正在寻求第四个非连续任期。NEXUS/BTG PACTUAL 民调
The eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro unexpectedly led the first-round vote earlier this month, finishing nearly two points ahead of Lula, who is seeking a fourth non-consecutive term. NEXUS/BTG PACTUAL POLL
- 根据BTG Pactual委托的NEXUS民调，弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗在决选中将获得46.5%的选票，而卢拉为45.9%
• Flavio Bolsonaro would receive 46.5% of the vote in the runoff, compared with 45.9% for Lula, a Nexus poll commissioned by BTG Pactual showed
- 一项10月13日的调查显示，博尔索纳罗支持率为47.9%，卢拉为45.1%
• An October 13 survey had Bolsonaro at 47.9% and Lula at 45.1%
- 在有效票中（即排除空白票和未决定投票者的票数），博尔索纳罗以50.3%对49.7%领先卢拉
• In valid votes, which exclude blank votes and undecided voters, Bolsonaro leads Lula 50.3% to 49.7% • Nexus surveyed 2,002 people from October 16-18; margin of error 2 percentage points