据周六发布的一项民调显示，弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗和总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦在巴西决选前夕势均力敌。
Flávio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva were statistically tied in a poll released on the eve of Brazil’s runoff election.
根据BTG Pactual/Nexus民调，博尔索纳罗获得50.5%的支持率，卢拉获得49.5%，差距在2个百分点的误差范围内，与周一博尔索纳罗领先不到1个百分点的情况变化不大。
Bolsonaro had 50.5% support to Lula’s 49.5%, according to the BTG Pactual/Nexus poll, a gap within the 2 percentage-point margin of error and little changed from Monday when the right-wing challenger led by less than a point.
巴西人将于周日前往投票站选出下一任领导人，这将结束南美洲这个年轻民主国家历史上最激烈的总统竞选之一。博尔索纳罗在10月4日的首轮投票中意外战胜卢拉，使这位参议员成为赢得总统职位的热门人选。
Brazilians head to the polls Sunday to pick their next leader, capping one of the most bitterly fought presidential contests in the history of South American nation’s young democracy. Bolsonaro notched a surprise first-round victory over Lula on Oct. 4, making the senator the favorite to win the presidency.
两位候选人在周五晚的最后一场电视辩论中就腐败问题互相指责，并就经济和公共安全问题交锋。周六，两人都参加了在巴西三大主要城市聚集支持者的示威活动。
The candidates traded accusations over corruption and jousted over the economy and public safety in their final televised debate late Friday. On Saturday, both attended demonstrations which gathered supporters across three of Brazil’s main cities.
这位80岁的总统在竞选最后几周获得了势头，因为最近的民调显示双方势均力敌。为了追赶，卢拉在巴西各地举行大型示威活动，并改革了其社交媒体宣传。
The 80-year-old president has gained momentum in the final weeks of the campaign as recent polls suggest a dead heat. To make up ground, Lula staged large demonstrations across Brazil and revamped his outreach across social media.
卢拉本月还取得了一项重大立法胜利，参议院批准了一项将巴西工作周从六天缩减至五天的措施，这是这位前工会领袖的旗舰竞选提案。
Lula also scored a major legislative win this month when the Senate approved a measure reducing Brazil’s workweek to five days from six, a flagship campaign proposal from the former union leader.
但在首轮投票前，民意调查在很大程度上低估了对这位45岁参议员、前总统雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗之子的支持率。
But public opinion surveys largely undershot support for the 45-year-old senator and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro ahead of the first round.
BTG Pactual/Nexus民调于10月23日和24日对2000人进行，置信度为95%。该民调已在巴西选举法院登记，编号为BR-08234/2026。
The BTG Pactual/Nexus poll of 2,000 people was conducted on Oct. 23 and Oct. 24, with a confidence level of 95%. The poll is registered with Brazil’s electoral court at BR-08234/2026.