周四发布的Datafolha民调显示两位候选人打成平手，这给总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦的竞选活动注入了强心剂，据《Valor》报纸报道，民调显示卢拉有上升迹象，而参议员弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗保持稳定。与此同时，博尔索纳罗的盟友淡化了这一结果，但承认在最后冲刺阶段竞争已趋白热化。
A tie between the two candidates in Thursday’s Datafolha poll boosted President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s campaign, which saw signs of gains for Lula and stability for Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, according to Valor newspaper. Bolsonaro’s allies, meanwhile, played down the result but acknowledged that the race had tightened in the final stretch.
根据Datafolha民调，在有效票方面，卢拉和弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗均以50%进入竞选的最后关头，而一周前参议员为51%、总统为49%。就总得票率而言，弗拉维奥得47%，卢拉得46%。该民调于10月20日至22日对2520人进行抽样，误差范围为2个百分点，置信度为95%。
Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro enter the very final stretch of campaign tied at 50% of valid votes each, according to the Datafolha poll, compared with 51% for the senator and 49% for the president the week before. In terms of total votes, Flávio has 47% and Lula 46%. The poll surveyed 2,520 people from Oct. 20 to 22 and has a margin of error of 2 percentage points and a 95% confidence level.
这一结果强化了近期民调显示的胶着局面，此前弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗在首轮投票中领先卢拉，且表现优于多家赛前民调的预测。
The result reinforces the tight race shown by recent polls after Flávio Bolsonaro finished ahead of Lula in the first round, when he also performed better than indicated by several pre-election surveys.
据《Valor》报道，随着迹象显示选民对卢拉竞选团队在实地和社交媒体上的重整作出反应，现在的计划是加强对博尔索纳罗的批评，以削弱其支持率。对参议员而言，周五晚间的TV Globo电视辩论将是一个重要机会，可借此强化其“变革”信息并提出政策主张。报纸称，在上周日的Band TV电视辩论中与卢拉交锋后，弗拉维奥已获建议采取不那么激进的语气。
Amid signs of a voter response to the reorganization of Lula’s campaign on the ground and on social media, the plan now is to step up criticism of Bolsonaro in an effort to weaken his support, according to Valor. For the senator, Friday night’s TV Globo debate will be an important opportunity to reinforce his message of “change” and present policy proposals. Flávio has been advised to adopt a less aggressive tone following his clashes with Lula in the Band TV debate past Sunday, the newspaper said.
竞选将在周六（投票前夕）迎来新一轮民调，包括AtlasIntel、CNT/MDA、Quaest、Datafolha和BTG Pactual/Nexus的调查。
The race will see a new round of polling on Saturday, the eve of the vote, including surveys from AtlasIntel, CNT/MDA, Quaest, Datafolha and BTG Pactual/Nexus.
候选人将于周五在TV Globo进行本次竞选的最后一场电视辩论，定于晚上9时20分开始。G1将对候选人的发言进行核查。
The candidates will face off Friday in the final debate of the campaign on TV Globo, scheduled to begin at 9:20 p.m. G1 will fact-check the candidates’ statements.
这场辩论发生在候选人周六最后的竞选活动之前：弗拉维奥预计将出席里约热内卢的一场活动，而卢拉将在科帕卡巴纳和保利斯塔大道分别举行徒步竞选。两人因此将在他们周日投票的城市结束各自的竞选活动。
The debate comes ahead of the candidates’ final campaign events on Saturday: Flávio is expected to attend an event in Rio, while Lula will hold a walk in Copacabana and another on Avenida Paulista. Both will thus wrap up their campaigns in the cities where they will vote on Sunday.
TOPLive 下表显示了最新的总统民调数据。由于方法学和向选民呈现的情景存在差异，这些数字可能不具备可比性。
TOPLive The table below shows the latest presidential polling data. The figures may not be comparable because of differences in methodology and the scenarios presented to voters.
原标题：Empate acirra disputa na reta final da campanha: Eleições 2026
Original Story:Empate acirra disputa na reta final da campanha: Eleições 2026