早上好。共和党对参议院前景忧心忡忡，理由充分。根据Real Clear Politics的民调平均值，民主党在11场胶着的参议院竞选中有9场领先（共和党在佛罗里达州领先，在堪萨斯州以微弱优势领先）。如果民主党赢下这些竞选，大局已定，他们将控制参议院。但且慢。让我们深入剖析。
Good morning. There is plenty of GOP hand-wringing about the Senate, for good reason. According to polling averages from Real Clear Politics, Democrats are leading in nine of 11 close Senate races (Republicans are leading in Florida and—narrowly—in Kansas). If Democrats win those races, that’s it. They will control the Senate. But, slow down. Let’s look under the hood.