
印度卢比周三有望上涨,受Jio Platforms首次公开募股(IPO)相关美元流入及印度储备银行支持提振,但交易员仍警惕油价风险可能重燃货币承压。
The Indian rupee is likely to rise on Wednesday, supported by dollar inflows linked to the Jio Platforms IPO and by the Reserve Bank of India's support, though traders remain wary of oil-price risks that could revive pressure on the currency.
据交易员称,卢比预计将在94.75-94.80区间开盘,周一收于94.9250兑1美元。印度金融市场周二因假期休市。
The rupee is expected to open between 94.75-94.80, per traders, having settled at 94.9250 to the dollar on Monday. India's financial markets were shut for a holiday on Tuesday.
Jio Platforms的首次公开募股周三开启认购,该发行已吸引强劲机构兴趣。锚定投资者部分认购倍数超过发行股份的30倍。
Jio Platforms' initial public offering opens for subscription on Wednesday -- the issue has already drawn robust institutional interest. Bids for the anchor portion totalled more than 30 times the shares on offer.
外国投资者通常利用卖出/买入掉期管理IPO配售的美元流向,在现货市场卖出美元买入卢比,并约定在稍后日期(通常不超过一周)买回美元。
Foreign investors typically use sell/buy swaps to manage their dollar flows for IPO allotments, selling dollars for rupees in the spot market and agreeing to buy them back at a later date, usually less than a week.
交易员称,一旦股份完成配售,投资者可平掉这些头寸并直接卖出美元为投资提供资金,从而带来美元供给。
Once shares are allotted, investors can unwind these positions and sell dollars outright to fund their investments, leading to dollar supply, traders said.
除预期的IPO相关流入外,卢比还可能得到印度储备银行持续卖出美元的支持,央行一直在95卢比兑1美元关口附近干预以提振货币。卢比已连涨七个交易日。
Apart from the expected IPO-related inflows, the rupee is likely to draw support from continued dollar sales by the Reserve Bank of India, which has been intervening around the 95-per-dollar level to boost the currency. The rupee is on a seven-day winning streak.
一家银行的货币交易员表示:“虽然货币有动能,但越来越难以突破94.70关口。”
"While the currency has momentum, it is finding it increasingly difficult to break past the 94.70 level," a currency trader at a bank said.
他补充称,IPO相关流入能否提供动力让卢比突破这一反复挣扎的关口,仍是个疑问。
Whether IPO-related inflows will provide the impetus for the rupee to break through that level, which it has repeatedly struggled with, is the question, he added.
石油仍是本币的关键脆弱点。受中东供应担忧影响,油价周三上涨,交易员警惕红海航运风险及沙特石油基础设施面临的威胁。布伦特原油上涨1.5%至110.34美元。
Oil remains a key vulnerability for the local currency. Oil prices rose on Wednesday on Middle East supply concerns, with traders wary of Red Sea shipping risks and threats to oil infrastructure in Saudi Arabia. Brent crude rose 1.5% to $110.34.