
六个月不到的任期内,长期在国际舞台上被授予的总统信用正在消失。此前在国内已深受诟病的埃马纽埃尔·马克龙现在也因10月17日因生活成本上涨而引发的暴力事件而受到国外声誉的损害。欧洲媒体震惊之余发现,法国当局的失控局面——街道陷入混乱——加上此前已令他们担忧的债务状况,共同构成了马克龙个人政治冒险的终结。
With a little more than six months left in his term, the credit long extended to the president on the international stage is now evaporating. Already deeply discredited at home, Emmanuel Macron is now seeing his reputation suffer abroad, following the violence that accompanied protests over the rising cost of living on October 17. The European press, stunned, has discovered that the French authorities' loss of control – with streets descending into chaos – has been added to a debt situation that already alarmed them. October 17 is being depicted as the death knell of a singular, personal political adventure.
法国社会动荡的时机对马克龙而言实在不巧,这对他的国家对手而言是利好。马克龙此前正在与之斗争的“国际反动势力”借此利用抢劫图片强化其最具煽动性的宣传。
The timing of France's social upheaval could not be worse for Macron, as it is a boon for the country's opponents. The "international reactionary movement," which the French leader has rightly fought against, seized on images of looting to bolster its most caricatured propaganda.
在弗拉基米尔·普京的莫斯科,这些事件强化了法国衰落及所谓文明因无节制移民而崩溃的叙事。在社交媒体上,唐纳德·特朗普试图转移民众对11月3日中期选举失败前景的注意力,将马克龙作为新的替罪羊。同样在竞选路上的以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡讽刺称,他在10月17日目睹了“哈马斯”在巴黎街头。
In Vladimir Putin's Moscow, these events fueled the narrative of French decline and the collapse of a civilization supposedly overwhelmed by unchecked immigration. On his social network, Donald Trump sought to distract from the prospect of defeat in the November 3 midterm elections by targeting Macron as a new scapegoat. In Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, also on the campaign trail, sarcastically claimed to have seen Hamas in the streets of Paris on October 17.
除了这些过激行为之外,法国的欧洲伙伴国以及保守派政府——例如奥地利、匈牙利和波兰——也发出了批评之声,呼应了非法移民从摩洛哥涌入西班牙飞地休达、并曾令西班牙局势动荡的事件。在华沙,总理唐纳德·图斯克将暴力事件与移民问题直接挂钩,坚称波兰“不会为他人的错误买单”。在2024年解散国民议会的尝试失败、导致他在国内被边缘化后,马克龙将重心转向了国外。
Beyond these excesses, criticism has also surfaced among France's European partners and conservative governments – such as in Austria, Hungary and Poland – echoing the influx of undocumented migrants from Morocco into the Spanish enclave of Ceuta, which once destabilized Spain. In Warsaw, Prime Minister Donald Tusk drew a direct link between the violence and immigration, insisting that his country "would not pay for the mistakes of others." After the failed dissolution of the Assemblée Nationale in 2024 left him sidelined domestically, Macron turned his focus abroad.
他在2025年进行了约50次外访,2026年迄今已超过30次。然而即便在这里,这位2017年首次当选、曾凭借热情和决心赢得欧洲人青睐的总统,如今也面临着随着任期接近尾声而来的、对他执政记录的冷酷重新评估。
He made some 50 foreign trips in 2025 and over 30 already in 2026. Yet even here, the president first elected in 2017, who once won over Europeans with his enthusiasm and determination, now faces a cold reassessment of his record as his term draws to a close.
马克龙有功之处在于,他始终敦促欧盟强化相对于其他大国的主权。针对特朗普在格陵兰岛的掠夺意图,及时部署一小支分遣队也被视为一步高明的棋。正如为支持基辅而在假设停火后组建的“自愿联盟”所证明的那样,他对陷入困境的乌克兰坚定不移的支持,促使他采取了许多主动行动。但这些努力伴随着有限的资源——以及有限的成果。
Macron may be credited for consistently urging the European Union to strengthen its sovereignty vis-à-vis other powers. In response to Trump's predatory intentions in Greenland, the timely deployment of a small detachment of soldiers was also considered a shrewd move. As evidenced by the coalition of the willing assembled to support Kyiv after a hypothetical ceasefire, his unwavering support for embattled Ukraine led him to take many initiatives. But those efforts came with limited resources – and limited results.
在乔·拜登之后,特朗普完成了对马克龙外交雄心的拆解。这位总统坚持在布鲁塞尔维护法国利益,最终被视为一种傲慢,尤其是因为买单的是整个欧盟。
After Joe Biden, Trump completed the dismantling of Macron's diplomatic ambitions. The president's persistence in pressing France's interests in Brussels eventually came to be seen as arrogance, especially as it is the EU as a whole that foots the bill.
为了提供解决方案,马克龙正在结束一次漫长的海湾之行,而此行的必要性正在受到质疑,因为法国正燃起战火。欧洲人如今担心,法国2027年大选若出现极右翼胜利将带来的冲击波——这是马克龙拼命想要避免的遗产。
In an effort to offer solutions, Macron is concluding a lengthy trip to the Gulf, whose necessity is being questioned at a time when France is ablaze. Europeans now fear the shockwave that a far-right victory in France's 2027 presidential election would bring – a legacy Macron is desperate to avoid.