亿万富翁科技投资人彼得·蒂尔表示，他对美国与伊朗的战争持怀疑态度，并不认为美国本应发动这场战争，这使这位共和党主要捐助人在政府一项标志性的外交政策决定上与唐纳德·特朗普总统产生分歧。
Billionaire technology investor Peter Thiel said he’s skeptical of the U.S. war with Iran and does not believe the United States should have launched it, putting the major Republican donor at odds with President Donald Trump over one of the administration’s defining foreign policy decisions.
蒂尔的这番言论是在10月12日的一场私人活动上发表的，这是他关于伊朗战争问题上被公开披露的最明确表态，距离特朗普所在政党竭力争取在国会保持多数席位的中期选举不足两周。《国会山报》旗下的“Decoded”栏目获得了蒂尔本月早些时候一场演讲的音频记录。
Thiel's remarks, delivered on Oct. 12 at a private event, are his most explicit statements to be revealed publicly about the war with Iran and come less than two weeks before the midterm elections in which Trump's party is grasping to maintain power in Congress. The audio of Thiel's comments was obtained by Decoded by POLITICO from a lecture earlier this month.
“我对这场战争持怀疑态度，我认为我们不应该发动它，”蒂尔说。“犯了很多错误。”
“I’m skeptical of [the war], I think we should not have done it," Thiel said. "There were a lot of mistakes that were made.”
蒂尔补充道：“也许我们没有硬实力。也许我们将在软实力的较量中失利。”在完整的演讲中，蒂尔明确表达了他对新保守主义和中东战争的强烈反对。尽管批评伊朗战争，蒂尔仍强调了他对特朗普的持续支持，并暗示他想要保护总统。
Thiel added, “Maybe we don’t have the hard power. Maybe we’re going to lose the soft power war.”In the full lecture, Thiel made clear his strong opposition to neoconservatives and Middle East wars. Despite his criticism of the Iran war, Thiel highlighted his continued support of Trump and suggested he wanted to protect the president.
尽管如此，蒂尔在战争问题上的决裂，迄今代表了特朗普的一位坚定盟友对这场冲突表达深切担忧的最重要案例之一。
Still, Thiel's break over the war represents one of the most important examples to date of a fierce Trump ally sharing deep concerns about the conflict.
这些言论是蒂尔在纳什维尔演讲系列的一部分，“Decoded”自今秋该系列开始以来一直在记录。在最新一场演讲中，蒂尔就他所描述的国际刑事法院不受约束的权力发出了广泛警告，并引用了小布什时代人物唐纳德·拉姆斯菲尔德和迪克·切尼的言论。
The comments were part of Thiel's lecture series in Nashville, which Decoded has documented since their start this fall. In the latest lecture, Thiel issued extensive warnings about what he described as the unchecked power of the International Criminal Court, drawing on comments from Bush-era figures Donald Rumsfeld and Dick Cheney.
“在我看来，切尼家族的‘特朗普失调症’是试图向国际刑事法院（ICC）献媚、以逃避起诉。恐怕为时已晚，”蒂尔说。“我逐渐怀疑，国际刑事法院逮捕令的威胁，就是悬在特朗普政府头顶的达摩克利斯之剑，因为它试图发动这场针对伊朗的战争。”
"I read the Cheney family's Trump derangement syndrome as an attempt to buy favor with the [International Criminal Court] and avoid prosecution. Probably too late,” Thiel said. “And I have come to suspect that the threat of an ICC arrest warrant is the sword of Damocles hanging over the Trump administration as it tries to persecute this war in Iran." Thiel also discusses meeting with Israeli President Benjamin Netanyahu in early 2024, after the Oct. 7 attack, where he said he asked the president about his plans in Gaza. Thiel said Netanyahu told him, “I can’t just Dresdenize it,” referring to the Allied bombing of the German city of Dresden during World War II that killed roughly 25,000 people.
蒂尔还谈到，2024年初，在10月7日袭击发生后，他与以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡会面，当时他询问总理在加沙的计划。蒂尔说，内塔尼亚胡告诉他：“我不能直接把它‘德累斯顿化’”，指的是二战期间盟军轰炸德国城市德累斯顿，造成约2.5万人丧生。
The first big tech investor to back Trump in 2016, and then have a high-profile speaking role at the Republican National Convention that year, Thiel was also the biggest financial backer of super PACs supporting Vice President JD Vance’s Senate campaign in 2022. POLITICO reported in March that Vance was “skeptical” of the U.S. striking Iran in the lead-up to the beginning of the war.
作为2016年首位支持特朗普的大型科技投资人，并在同年共和党全国代表大会上担任高调演讲嘉宾，蒂尔还是2022年支持副总统JD·万斯参议院竞选的超级政治行动委员会（Super PAC）最大金主。《国会山报》（POLITICO）3月报道称，在战争爆发前夕，万斯对美国打击伊朗持“怀疑”态度。蒂尔代表和白宫方面未回应置评请求。
Representatives for Thiel and the White House did not respond to requests for comment.