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特朗普赴爱荷华州拉票之际,阿什莉·希森凸显共和党中期选举的平衡术Ashley Hinson shows Republicans' midterm balancing act as Trump heads to Iowa to boost turnout

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爱荷华州共和党籍众议员、美国参议院共和党候选人阿什利·欣森于2026年10月15日星期四在爱荷华州安克尼向支持者发表讲话。(美联社照片/查理·奈伯格尔)Republican nominee for U.S. Senate Rep. Ashley Hinson, R-Iowa, speaks to supporters, Thursday, Oct. 15, 2026, in Ankeny, Iowa. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)

汉娜·芬格胡特 爱荷华州得梅因讯——本月早些时候,阿什莉·希森送完儿子上学后,看到手机上闪现出“DJT”三个字母。

HANNAH FINGERHUT DES MOINES, Iowa — After Ashley Hinson dropped off her boys at school earlier this month, she saw the initials “DJT” flash on her phone.

“‘阿什莉,是你最喜欢的总统,’”爱荷华州美国参议院共和党候选人最近在支持者面前回忆道。“他就是这样自我介绍的。”在与民主党对手乔什·图雷克的辩论舞台上,她曾就与总统唐纳德·特朗普沟通发表过更为强硬的表态,试图赢得摇摆选民。

“‘Ashley, it’s your favorite president,’” Iowa’s Republican nominee for U.S. Senate recently recounted to an audience of her supporters. “That’s how he introduced himself.”She had had a more forceful message about communicating with President Donald Trump on the debate stage with her Democratic opponent, Josh Turek, as she tried to win over undecided voters.

“当这对爱荷华州很重要时,我会成为特朗普总统的盟友,但我也会反对他,”现任美国众议院议员希森承诺道。“他知道这一点。”尽管许多共和党人在今年的中期选举中走钢丝,但希森的平衡术比大多数人更具挑战性。自特朗普重返白宫以来,爱荷华州民众一直受制于制造业岗位流失、医疗诊所关闭和农场利润萎缩,但希森也在依赖总统的忠实支持者为她投票。

“I’ll be President Trump’s ally when it is important for Iowa, but I will push back on him,” promised Hinson, who currently serves in the U.S. House. “He knows this.”Although many Republicans are walking a political tightrope in this year’s midterm elections, Hinson’s balancing act is more challenging than most. Iowans have been hamstrung by manufacturing job losses , health care clinic closures and shrunken farm profits since Trump returned to the White House, but Hinson also is relying on the president’s loyalists to show up for her.

周四,希森将与特朗普一起在苏城举行集会,该市位于爱荷华州保守的西北角。这次前往安全地区的访问旨在提升投票率,同时也将她与一位不受欢迎的总统更紧密地联系在一起。

On Thursday, Hinson will join Trump for a rally in Sioux City, which is in Iowa’s conservative northwest corner. The visit to safe territory is geared toward boosting turnout even as it ties her more tightly to an unpopular president.

“我会去集会欢迎他来爱荷华州,因为我认为这是一场对比选举,”希森上周在福克斯新闻频道表示。“选举一个税收和支出的自由派进入美国参议院从来都不是好时机,而现在则是最糟糕的时机。”特朗普预计将于11月1日再次访问该州。爱荷华州共和党主席杰夫·考夫曼在宣布总统行程时表示,他“迫切希望爱荷华州民众在投票前听到他的信息”。

“I will be there at the rally to welcome him to Iowa because I think this is a contrast election,” Hinson said on Fox News last week. “There was never a good time to elect a tax-and-spend liberal to the United States Senate but now would be the worst time.”Trump is expected to visit the state again Nov. 1. He is “anxious for Iowans to hear his message before they vote,” Iowa Republican Party Chair Jeff Kaufmann said in announcing the president’s schedule.

州立法者图雷克周二在苏城参加竞选活动,并告诉记者,他很高兴特朗普能来看看他的关税和对伊朗的战争如何“比任何其他州都更严重地伤害了爱荷华州”。尽管图雷克表示愿意在移民等问题上与特朗普合作,但他称欣森是总统糟糕政策的“橡皮图章”。

Turek, a state lawmaker, was in Sioux City for a campaign event Tuesday and told reporters he was happy for Trump to visit to see how his tariffs and the Iran war have “hurt Iowa more than any other state.”Although Turek says he’s willing to work with Trump on issues like immigration, he called Hinson a rubber stamp for the president’s bad policies.

去年欣森启动竞选时,她宣扬特朗普的背书,并表示自己竞选是要成为特朗普在参议院的“头号盟友”。将近一年后,欣森却说她希望成为“爱荷华州最好的两党斗士”。这一信息自夏季以来愈发清晰,欣森表达与总统立场相左的立场的例子越来越多。九月下旬至十月初的最近民调显示,这一策略可能奏效,她在继续获得赞同特朗普的选民压倒性支持的同时,争取到了大约十分之一不赞同总统的选民。

When Hinson kicked off her campaign last year, she touted Trump’s endorsement and said she was running to be Trump’s “top ally” in the Senate. Almost a year later, Hinson instead says she wants to be “Iowa’s best bipartisan fighter.”The message has crystallized since the summer, with more examples of Hinson vocalizing positions at odds with the president. Recent polling from late September and early October suggests it could work as she carves out about 1 in 10 voters who disapprove of the president even as she continues to secure overwhelming support from those who approve of Trump.

八月,她说,特朗普试图通过增加从国外进口牛肉来降低价格的计划是“一个坏主意”,将伤害爱荷华州农民。

In August, she said Trump’s plan to increase beef imports from foreign countries in an attempt to lower prices was “a bad idea” that would hurt Iowa farmers.

上个月,欣森在众议院的两位爱荷华州同僚与白宫决裂,投票反对特朗普在未经国会批准的情况下继续对伊朗作战的能力。

Last month, two of Hinson’s Iowa colleagues in the House broke with the White House and voted against Trump’s ability to continue the war with Iran without congressional approval.

欣森没有这样做,但她后来表示,这场战争对美国人来说代价过高,并呼吁特朗普将冲突带向“成功且立即的结束”。

Hinson didn’t, but she said later the war has gotten too costly for Americans and called for Trump to bring the conflict to a “successful and immediate end.”

更近期,欣森批评特朗普为了柴油燃料而放宽对俄罗斯制裁的决定。她周二在竞选活动后对记者说,美国需要确保“独裁者不得赢得战争”。“我认为总统和我共享降低劳动家庭及使用柴油人群成本的目标,”她对记者说,“我再次认为,我们不需要与俄罗斯达成任何协议。”欣森表示,她尚未就此问题与总统交谈。“也许我会有机会在集会上和他聊一聊,”她补充道。

More recently, Hinson criticized Trump’s decision to ease sanctions on Russia in exchange for diesel fuel . She said Tuesday that the U.S. needs to make sure “dictators aren’t allowed to win wars.”“I think the president and I share the goal of lowering costs for working families and for people who are using diesel,” she told reporters after a campaign event. “I, again, just don’t think we need to be making any deals with Russia.”Hinson said she hadn’t talked with the president about the issue. “Maybe I’ll have a chance to come have a conversation with him at the rally,” she added.

欣森并非唯一一个鼓吹两党合作的人。特雷克也是如此。事实上,据美联社对AdImpact数据的分析,他是唯一一位在正式选举电视广告中明确提及特朗普的艾奥瓦州联邦职位候选人。

Hinson isn’t the only one pitching bipartisanship. So is Turek. In fact, he’s the only Iowa candidate seeking federal office who explicitly mentions Trump in general election television s, according to an Associated Press analysis of AdImpact data.

在其中一则广告中,特雷克坐在方向盘后,直接对着镜头谈论35号州际公路,这条公路“将艾奥瓦州与南部边境以及两党都未能修复的破碎移民体系连接起来”。他说:“在美国参议院,我将与任何人合作来解决这个问题,包括特朗普总统,以保障边境安全,阻止毒品流入艾奥瓦州。”特雷克曾抨击总统的政策——包括关税和伊朗战争——是导致高成本的推手,而这些高成本正在伤害艾奥瓦州民众,但他在移民及其他特定议题上与总统合作的信息,使他有别于其他民主党人。共和党人说他只是在假装温和派以赢得选举。

In one, Turek is behind the wheel speaking directly to a camera about Interstate 35, which “connects Iowa to the southern border and the broken immigration system that both parties have failed to fix.”He says: “In the U.S. Senate, I’ll work with anyone to fix it, including President Trump, to secure the border, stop the flow of drugs into Iowa.”Turek has pushed back on the president’s policies, including tariffs and the war in Iran, as the catalysts of high costs that are hurting Iowans, but his message on working with the president on immigration and other select issues stands out from other Democrats . Republicans say he’s just pretending to be a moderate to get elected.

进步组织“进步艾奥瓦”的执行主任梅齐·斯蒂尔韦尔表示,特雷克在移民问题上的信息针对的是一个对该议题尤为看重的选民群体,但并没有盖过他在其他方面对艾奥瓦州民众面临的高成本问题的严谨关注。

Mazie Stilwell, executive director of the progressive organization Progress Iowa, said Turek’s message on immigration targets a bloc of voters on an issue that’s particularly important to them but doesn’t overshadow his otherwise disciplined focus on the high costs facing Iowans.

她还说,特朗普周四访问该州,“极好地提醒了人们,他和他的政府对我们的小日子、对努力维持生计的普通艾奥瓦州民众来说,一直是一场灾难。”艾奥瓦州对竞争激烈的参议院选战并不陌生,尽管特朗普在上次总统选举中以两位数的优势赢下了该州。

Trump’s visit to the state Thursday, she added, is “a terrific reminder of the disaster that he has been and his administration has been for our bottom line, for everyday Iowans who are trying to make ends meet.”Iowa is no stranger to competitive Senate races even though Trump won the state by double digits in the last presidential election.

AdImpact显示,本轮选举周期中广播和有线电视的广告支出已超过2亿美元。但按今天的美元计算,2020年参议院选举的广告总支出还要更高。

Ad spending on broadcast and cable television has already surpassed $200 million this cycle, AdImpact shows. But in today’s dollars, the total ad spending in the 2020 Senate race was even higher.

共和党在辛森身上的支出略高于民主党在图雷克身上的支出。2020年的情况则相反,当时民主党在试图击败参议员乔尼·恩斯特的失败努力中,支出比共和党多近3000万美元。

Republicans have spent slightly more for Hinson than Democrats for Turek. That was the opposite in 2020, when Democrats spent nearly $30 million more than the GOP did in their unsuccessful effort to unseat Sen. Joni Ernst.

爱荷华州共和党活动家凯利·科赫担心,自满情绪会抑制保守派的投票率,即使是那些忠于总统的人也是如此。

Iowa Republican activist Kelley Koch has been concerned that complacency will dampen turnout from conservatives, even those who are loyal to the president.

“他们说:‘凯利,你们为什么对中期选举这么兴奋,特朗普会搞定一切的,’”科赫说。

“They say, ‘Why are you all hyped up about the midterms, Kelley, Trump will take care of everything,’” Koch said.

这是她正在努力扭转的一种假设,她预计特朗普到访带来的“特朗普效应”将有助于保住共和党在众议院和参议院的多数席位。虽然科赫支持辛森,但她不喜欢辛森谈论对抗特朗普。

It’s an assumption she’s working to counteract, and she expects “the Trump effect” from his visits will help protect Republican majorities in the House and Senate. And while Koch supports Hinson, she doesn’t like it when she talks about pushing back on Trump.

“此时此刻,”科赫说,“我们最好团结在我们的总统周围。”美联社记者亚伦·凯斯勒在华盛顿对此文亦有贡献。

“Right now,” Koch said, “we had better unite around our president.”Associated Press reporter Aaron Kessler in Washington contributed.

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