字号·· | 护眼
路透社

麦肯锡:亚洲未来15年每年需投资1万亿美元以增强能源安全Asia needs $1 trillion investment annually for next 15 years to boost energy security, McKinsey says

点「原文对照」整页切到原文,或双击某段只看那段的原文。

2018年6月27日,中国新疆维吾尔自治区塔城油田,一名中国石油工人正在检查一台抽油机。

A PetroChina worker inspects a pump jack at an oil field in Tacheng, Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region, China June 27, 2018.

路透社记者 资料图片新加坡,10月22日电 - 据麦肯锡周四发布的一份报告,随着各国在伊朗战争扰乱霍尔木兹海峡石油和天然气输送后寻求加强能源安全,亚洲在未来15年内每年可能需要在能源领域投资高达1万亿美元。

REUTERS/Stringer SINGAPORE, Oct 22 - Asia may need to invest as much as $1 trillion annually in energy over the next 15 years, according to a McKinsey report released on Thursday, as countries seek to strengthen energy security after the Iran war disrupted oil and gas flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Here are the key findings:

以下是主要发现:麦肯锡将其对亚洲2040年能源需求的预测上调至3.7亿太焦耳,比一年前的预测高出15%预计到2040年,亚洲将推动全球净能源需求增长的约70%新的能源需求来源包括数据中心,而制冷和工业活动的需求也在上升预计煤炭将在亚洲能源结构中保留的时间比先前预期的更长,区域需求在未来十年内预计大体持平,因为中国消费下降被印度和东南亚的增长所抵消天然气需求预计在未来5至10年内放缓,因为各国优先发展煤炭和可再生能源用于发电。

McKinsey raised its forecast for Asia's energy demand to 370 million terajoules in 2040, 15% higher than its forecast from a year ago Asia is expected to drive about 70% of global net energy demand growth through 2040 New sources of energy demand include data centres while requirement from cooling and industrial activities is also rising Coal is expected to remain a part of Asia's energy mix for longer than previously anticipated, with regional demand seen staying broadly flat over the next decade as declining consumption in China is offset by growth in India and Southeast Asia Gas demand is set to slow down in the next 5-10 years as countries prioritise coal and renewables for power generation.

然而,从长期来看,工业部门可能推动天然气消费反弹可再生能源持续加速发展,特别是在印度和东南亚,预计到2040年太阳能和风能的年投资将达约3000亿美元对能源安全的关注可能使中国、菲律宾、泰国、越南和土库曼斯坦在政府支持下开发成本较高的上游资产生物燃料到2040年可替代约900亿至1000亿美元的燃料进口,创造长期减少进口依赖的潜力

However, gas consumption could rebound in the longer term driven by industrials Renewables continue to accelerate particularly in India and Southeast Asia, with about $300 billion in annual solar and wind investment expected through 2040 Focus on energy security could enable the development of higher-cost upstream assets with government support in China, Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam and Turkmenistan Biofuels could replace about $90 billion to $100 billion in fuel imports in 2040, creating the potential for a longer-term reduction in import dependence

阅读媒体原文 ↗