秘鲁政府正寻求在未来几年提高财政赤字上限，使官员拥有更多支出空间，以保护经济免受恶劣天气和全球燃油价格上涨的冲击。
Peru’s government is seeking to raise its fiscal deficit ceilings in coming years, giving officials more spending room to protect the economy from severe weather and higher global fuel prices.
据财政部长埃尔默·库巴周四的演示文稿显示，政府计划通过修改秘鲁的财政规则，允许赤字在明年升至国内生产总值的2.4%——高于此前的1.4%——并在任期结束前收敛至1%，从而为2027年腾出多达180亿索尔（约合52亿美元）的额外支出空间。
The government plans to make room for as much as 18 billion soles ($5.2 billion) in additional spending for 2027 by changing Peru’s fiscal rules and allowing the deficit to rise to 2.4% of gross domestic product next year — above 1.4% previously — before converging toward 1% by the end of the term, according to a presentation from Finance Minister Elmer Cuba on Thursday.
作为这180亿索尔的一部分，政府将拨付130亿索尔用于基础设施建设，25亿索尔用于向弱势家庭发放现金补贴，以及5亿索尔用于燃油补贴，总统凯科·富吉莫里在同一场新闻发布会上表示。
As part of the 18 billion soles, the government will allocate 13 billion soles for infrastructure, 2.5 billion soles for cash transfers to vulnerable households and 500 million soles to fuel subsidies, President Keiko Fujimori said at the same press conference.
库巴称，该方案旨在使2027年的经济增速超过2026年，尽管面临上述冲击。该提案仍需国会批准。
Cuba said the package is designed so that economic growth in 2027 exceeds expansion in 2026, despite the shocks. The proposal will need congressional approval.
秘鲁采取这些措施旨在保护其良好的商业环境，使其免受强厄尔尼诺天气现象、全球燃油价格上涨以及全球市场利率上升的威胁。国内信心指数处于高位，而国家风险低于近几年水平。
Peru’s measures are aimed at safeguarding its favorable business climate from the threats of a strong El Niño weather phenomenon, rising global fuel prices and higher interest rates in global markets. Domestic confidence levels are running high while country risk is lower than in recent years.
政府还计划通过释放国家银行冻结的资金、扩大对小企业的信贷担保来支持受影响的企业。库巴提到渔业是可能受益的行业之一。
The government also plans to support affected businesses by freeing funds held at Banco de la Nación and expanding credit guarantees for small companies. Cuba cited fishing as one sector that could benefit.
秘鲁是采矿强国，也是拉丁美洲最稳定的经济体之一，拥有低公共债务和强势货币。2025年，这个安第斯国家首次在三年内达成财政赤字目标，部分得益于创纪录的矿产价格。
Peru is a mining powerhouse and one of Latin America’s most stable economies, with low public debt and a strong currency. In 2025, the Andean nation met its fiscal deficit goal for the first time in three years, helped partly by record mining prices.
秘鲁滚动12个月的财政赤字在9月降至国内生产总值的0.9%，因大宗商品价格高企提升了税收收入。但该国官方财政监督机构财政委员会警告称，上届国会批准的法律将显著增加支出，带来日益增长的财政风险。
Peru’s rolling 12-month deficit fell to 0.9% of GDP in September as high commodity prices boosted tax revenue. But the Fiscal Council, the nation’s official budget watchdog, has warned of growing fiscal risks from laws approved by the previous Congress that are set to significantly increase spending.
这些措施包括提高军警养老金，以及为部分临时工提供新的劳动福利。财政部长8月表示，政府将向宪法法院挑战其中一些法律，并警告称，否则未来五年内赤字可能升至国内生产总值的约3%，公共债务可能接近国内生产总值的35%。
Those measures include higher pensions for the military and police, as well as new labor benefits for some temporary workers. The finance minister said in August the government would challenge some of those laws before the Constitutional Court, warning that otherwise they could lift the deficit to about 3% of GDP over the next five years while public debt could approach 35% of GDP.
央行预计，今年经济将增长3.2%，不过古巴瞄准的增长率接近3.5%，得益于强劲的私人投资，以及高铜价和高金价。
The central bank expects the economy to grow 3.2% this year, though Cuba is targeting growth closer to 3.5%, helped by strong private investment, as well as high copper and gold prices.