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马斯克称特斯拉将在2030年实现年交付500万辆——数学计算显示并非如此Elon Musk says Tesla will sell 5 million cars by 2030 — math says otherwise

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一辆金属质感的特斯拉汽车,车门开启并向上扬起,背景为绿色。A metal Tesla car with its doors open, swinging upwards, on a green background.

在特斯拉周三的财报电话会议上,埃隆·马斯克作出了他标志性的天方夜谭式预测,这种预测通常会让他的粉丝陷入狂喜:到2030年实现500万辆汽车交付。

On Tesla's earnings call Wednesday, Elon Musk made one of his patented pie-in-the-sky predictions that typically sends his fans into paroxysms of ecstasy: 5 million vehicle deliveries by 2030.

“我们的目标是到2030年左右实现年交付500万辆汽车,”他说。”我认为我们有很好的机会实现这一目标。”

"We were aiming for 5 million vehicles a year by approximately 2030," he said. "And I think we've got a good shot of achieving that goal."

考虑到马斯克倾泻而出的各种超级形容词——公司的Terafab芯片工厂“将成为世界上最有价值的建筑”,拥有“将跻身全球前20名的经济价值”;”特斯拉最终将占据所有乘客里程的大多数……

You'd be forgiven for missing the statement amid the veritable firehose of Musk superlatives - the company's Terafab chip factory "will be the most valuable building in the world" with "an economic value that's going to be placed in the top 20 countries"; "Tesla will end up being a majority of all passenger miles …

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