参议院多数党领袖约翰·图恩（共和党-南达科他州）和少数党领袖查克·舒默（民主党-纽约州）正在经历他们的中期选举噩梦——面对他们不想要的提名人，以及不再受他们控制的前同事。
Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) and Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) are living out their midterm nightmares — with nominees they didn't want and former colleagues they no longer control. Why it matters:
为何重要：舒默和图恩共同面临五场参议院竞选，他们的党内建制派原本认为换别人出战获胜几率更大。
Together, Schumer and Thune are stuck with five Senate races in which their party establishments thought they had a better chance of winning with someone else.
- 德克萨斯州：图恩阻止德州总检察长肯·帕克斯顿赢得共和党参议员提名的努力失败了。如今共和党花费超过3.29亿美元试图击败州众议员詹姆斯·塔拉里科——但这依然是一场势均力敌的较量。
• Texas: Thune's efforts to stop Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton from winning the party's Senate nomination failed. Now Republicans are spending more than $329 million to defeat state Rep. James Talarico— and it's still a nail-biter.
- 佐治亚州：共和党领袖未能说服州长布赖恩·肯普参选。最终提名人、联邦众议员迈克·柯林斯在筹款方面难以跟上筹款机器、参议员乔恩·奥索夫（民主党）的步伐。共和党资金正在撤退。
• Georgia: GOP leaders couldn't convince Gov. Brian Kemp to run. The eventual nominee, Rep. Mike Collins, has struggled to keep pace with fundraising juggernaut Sen. Jon Ossoff (D). GOP money is in retreat.
- 缅因州：舒默背书州长珍妮特·米尔斯，但格雷厄姆·普拉特纳的倒台让民主党不得不启用备选特洛伊·杰克逊对阵参议员苏珊·柯林斯。
• Maine: Schumer endorsed Gov. Janet Mills, but Graham Platner's implosion left Democrats with backup Troy Jackson against Sen. Susan Collins.
- 密歇根州：阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德击败联邦众议员海利·史蒂文斯，一举成名全国。但他仅以一分优势获胜，尽管初选民调曾显示他领先两位数。他现在在针对共和党提名人、前联邦众议员迈克·罗杰斯的民调中处于误差范围内。
• Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed defeated Rep. Haley Stevens and made a name for himself nationally. But he won by just one point even though primary polls showed him up by double digits. He's now polling within the margin of error against the GOP nominee, former Rep. Mike Rogers.
- 明尼苏达州：佩吉·弗拉纳根以进步派身份参选，表示不会支持舒默担任领袖，并击败了建制派支持的联邦众议员安吉·克雷格。但《库克政治报告》将她对阵前NFL边线记者米歇尔·塔福亚的竞选形势调整为向共和党倾斜，而其他竞选则调整为向民主党倾斜。
• Minnesota: Peggy Flanagan ran as a progressive, said she would not support Schumer as leader and bested establishment-backed Rep. Angie Craig. But Cook Political Report moved her race against former NFL sideline reporter Michele Tafoya toward Republicans even as it shifted other races toward Democrats. To make matters worse,
更糟的是，图恩和舒默的前同事正在为对立阵营的候选人助选，制造新麻烦。
Thune's and Schumer's former colleagues are creating fresh headaches by boosting candidates across the aisle.
- 前参议员乔·曼钦在2024年转为独立人士（此前他作为民主党参议员当选），正在为参议员苏珊·柯林斯（共和党-缅因州）助选，据Semafor报道。
• Former Sen. Joe Manchin, who flipped to independent in 2024 after being elected as a Senate Democrat, is campaigning for Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine), as Semafor reported.
- 前参议员克尔斯滕·西尼马（Kyrsten Sinema）在卸任前也曾从民主党人转为独立人士，她正在其家乡众议院选区助推共和党人杰伊·菲利（Jay Feely）。据《Axios》独家报道，她甚至在共和党初选中为他投了票。
• Former Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, who also flipped from Democrat to independent before leaving office, is boosting Republican Jay Feely in her home House district. She even voted for him in the GOP primary, as Axios scooped.
- 前参议员杰夫·弗莱克（Jeff Flake，共和党-亚利桑那州）今夏背书参议员乔恩·奥索夫（Jon Ossoff，民主党-佐治亚州）竞选连任。
• Former Sen. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.) endorsed Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-Ga.) in his reelection this summer. The other side
另一方在两个红州，舒默争取到了可以说是他能得到的最佳候选人。
In two red states, Schumer landed arguably the best candidates he could get.
- 民主党籍前州长罗伊·库珀（Roy Cooper）几乎已将北卡罗来纳州锁定，而民主党籍前参议员谢罗德·布朗（Sherrod Brown）在俄亥俄州让参议员乔恩·休斯特德（Jon Husted）感到过于胶着、难以安枕。
• Democratic former Gov. Roy Cooper has all but put North Carolina to bed, and former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown is keeping it too close for Sen. Jon Husted's comfort in Ohio.