
在距离选举日还有最后一周之际,数场竞选的民调结果似乎不分上下。
Several appear neck-and-neck in the last week before Election Day.
随着美国人在11月3日前往投票站投票,将有35个参议院席位展开争夺。其中关键的少数席位对于决定民主党还是共和党将在明年控制参议院至关重要。
Thirty-five Senate seats are up for grabs when Americans head to the polls on Nov. 3. A key handful of them will be critical in determining whether Democrats or Republicans control the chamber next year.
共和党目前以53个席位控制参议院。民主党和两名无党派人士组成拥有47个席位的参议院少数派。
Republicans currently control the Senate with 53 seats. Democrats and two independents make up the Senate minority with 47 seats.
为了夺回参议院的控制权,民主党必须在即将到来的选举中净增4个席位。共和党最多可以承受失去3个席位,并且凭借副总统万斯投出的打破僵局的一票,依然被视为参议院多数党。
In order for Democrats to take the chamber back, they’ll have to net four seats in the upcoming election. Republicans can afford to lose up to three and still be considered the Senate majority with the tie-breaking vote of Vice President JD Vance.
今年早些时候受到密切关注的一些竞选,随着选举临近已从聚光灯下淡出。共和党人似乎已经放弃了在佐治亚州罢免现任参议员乔恩·奥索夫的努力,并撤回了在北卡罗来纳州的竞选资金。在那里,前民主党州长罗伊·库珀现在似乎有望击败前共和党全国委员会主席迈克尔·沃特利,以填补即将退休的共和党参议员汤姆·蒂利斯的席位。
Some of the races that were closely watched earlier this year have slid from the spotlight as the election grew near. Republicans seem to have abandoned efforts to unseat incumbent Sen. Jon Ossoff in Georgia and have pulled out of spending in North Carolina, where former Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper now seems poised to best former Republican National Committee Chair Michael Whatley to fill retiring GOP Sen. Thom Tillis' seat.
随着两党为竞选的最后阶段做准备,以下是一些受到最密切关注的参议院竞选。密歇根州:与一名进步派新人的激烈较量美国广播公司新闻网评级:倾向民主党共和党提名人迈克·罗杰斯对参议院竞选并不陌生——这位前众议员在2024年的参议员竞选中以不到2万票的微弱劣势败给了现任参议员埃利萨·斯洛特金。
As both parties prepare for the final leg of the campaign, here are some of the most closely watched Senate races. Michigan: A bitter fight against a progressive newcomer ABC News rating: Lean Democrat Republican nominee Mike Rogers is no stranger to Senate races -- the former congressmen lost his 2024 bid to now-Sen. Elissa Slotkin by less than 20,000 votes.

罗杰斯这次的竞争对手是进步派的阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德,他是一名曾击败温和派候选人的前卫生高管,赢得了民主党初选。
Rogers is squaring off this time against progressive Abdul El-Sayed, a former health executive who bested a moderate candidate in the Democratic primary.
共和党人不遗余力地将埃尔-赛义德描绘成“激进分子”,因为他支持全民医保(Medicare for all)及其在移民问题上的立场。他们还就他的信仰和族裔对其进行攻击。罗杰斯虚假地将他与恐怖组织联系起来,总统唐纳德·特朗普甚至称他为“凶残、暴力的圣战分子”,并敦促选民拒绝他,以“保护我们的宗教、我们的价值观和我们的传统”。出生于密歇根州罗切斯特希尔斯、父母为埃及移民的埃尔-赛义德否认了与恐怖主义的联系,并称这些定性是伊斯兰恐惧症。
Republicans have gone to great lengths to frame El-Sayed as “radical" over his support for Medicare for all and his positions on immigration. They've also attacked him for his faith and ethnicity. Rogers has falsely linked him to terrorist groups and President Donald Trump has gone as far as calling him a "vicious, violent jihadist" while urging voters to reject him to "preserve our religion, our values, and our heritage." El-Sayed, who was born to Egyptian immigrant parents in Rochester Hills, Michigan, has denied ties to terrorism and called those characterizations Islamophobic.
埃尔-赛义德上周对美国广播公司新闻直播(ABC News Live)主播林西·戴维斯表示:“他们以为可以指着我的名字和信仰来转移我们的注意力,让我们忽视我们买不起汽油、买不起杂货这一事实。”罗杰斯在另一场采访中对戴维斯表示,他认为自己正在向传统上支持民主党、但对埃尔-赛义德保持警惕的犹太黑人选民中取得进展。
El-Sayed told ABC News Live anchor Linsey Davis last week, "They think they can point to my name and my faith and distract us from the fact that we can't afford our gas and we can't afford our groceries." Rogers told Davis in a separate interview the he thought he was making inroads with traditionally Democratic Jewish and Black voters who are wary of El-Sayed.

在过去的三场选举中,密歇根州有两次投票支持了特朗普,然而自1994年以来,民主党赢得了历次参议院竞选。
Michigan has voted for Trump in two of the last three elections, yet Democrats have prevailed in every Senate race since 1994.
得克萨斯州:一场初选爆冷让民主党看到竞争希望 美国广播公司新闻(ABC News)评级:胜负难料 得克萨斯州已经33年没有由民主党人代表出席参议院了,但民主党人表示今年可能就是改变这一局面的一年。
Texas: A primary upset puts Dems in the hunt ABC News rating: Tossup Texans have not been represented by a Democrat in the Senate for 33 years, but Democrats say this could be the year that changes.
在特朗普的最后关头背书下,得克萨斯州总检察长肯·帕克斯顿在竞争激烈且耗资巨大的共和党初选决胜轮中击败了长期连任的参议员约翰·科宁。帕克斯顿是一名强硬派兼总统盟友,许多共和党人认为,在决选中的胜算,他比科宁要难得多。
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton beat long-time incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in a costly GOP primary runoff thanks to Trump's late endorsement. Paxton, a hardliner and ally of the president, is seen by many Republicans as a harder sell in the general election than Cornyn would have been.
帕克斯顿在公众视野中曾经历过数起丑闻。他于2023年因涉嫌滥用职权、受贿和腐败而被弹劾,但被州参议院宣告无罪。他在2015年被指控犯有证券欺诈罪,但在审判前几周与检察官达成了一项审前协议,根据该协议,他同意完成社区服务、参加法律职业道德课程,并支付30万美元的赔偿金,以此换取无需承认有罪。
Paxton has had several scandals in his time in the public eye. He was impeached in 2023 on allegations of abuse of office, bribery and corruption but was acquitted by the state Senate. He was indicted on securities fraud charges in 2015 but reached a pretrial agreement with prosecutors just weeks before trial in which he agreed to community service, legal ethics courses and pay $300,000 in restitution in return for not having to admit guilt.
就在他因2015年州政府对其提起的证券欺诈指控预定出庭受审的几周前,帕克斯顿与检察官达成了一项审前协议以结案。帕克斯顿同意完成一系列行动,包括做社区服务、参加法律职业道德课程,以及支付近30万美元的赔偿金。由于无需承认有罪,帕克斯顿发表了一份声明称:“本案绝不会有定罪,我也绝不认罪。”民主党人詹姆士·塔拉里科曾任州众议员,也是一名长老会神学院学生。共和党人一直试图将这位37岁的进步派人士刻画为极左和激进分子。
Just weeks before he is scheduled to go to trial on securities fraud charges stemming from theH state indictment filed against him in 2015, Paxton reaches a pretrial agreement with prosecutors to resolve the case. Paxton agrees to complete a series of actions, including doing community service, taking legal ethics courses, and paying nearly $300,000 in restitution. Not required to admit guilt, Paxton releases a statement, saying, "There will never be a conviction in this case nor am I guilty." Democrat James Talarico is a former state representative and Presbyterian seminarian. Republicans have tried to paint the 37-year-old progressive as far-left and radical.
民主党人希望,帕克斯顿不受欢迎的形象,加上对负担能力的更广泛担忧,可能足以结束他们长达三十年的参议院干旱期。
Democrats hope Paxton’s lack of favorability coupled with larger concerns about affordability could be enough to end their three-decade Senate drought.
共和党人不敢冒任何风险,向这场竞选注入了数百万美元,甚至选择在达拉斯举行他们的首次中期会议。
Republicans are taking no chances, pouring millions into this race and even opted to hold their inaugural midterm convention in Dallas.

这场竞选是历史上最昂贵的参议院竞选:外部团体已出资超过2.5亿美元来助选帕克斯顿。据AdImpact的数据,该州已在广告上花费了超过5亿美元。
The race is the most expensive Senate race in history: Outside groups have contributed more than a quarter-billion dollars to elect Paxton. Over $500 million has been spent on ads in the state, according to AdImpact.
阿拉斯加州:4名候选人,2个丹·沙利文。在另一场令人意外的势均力敌的竞选中,现任共和党籍参议员丹·沙利文将对阵前民主党籍众议员玛丽·佩尔托拉以及另一名同名候选人。
Alaska: 4 candidates, 2 Dan Sullivans Incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan will square off against former Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola and another candidate with the same name in another surprisingly close race.
阿拉斯加州的排序选择投票制将初选中得票率前四名的候选人送入大选。佩尔托拉因成为唯一晋级的民主党人而占得优势。
Alaska’s ranked-choice voting sends the top four vote-getters in primaries to the general election. Peltola is advantaged by being the only Democrat to advance.
除了佩尔托拉之外,参议员沙利文在选票上还面临另一位同名为丹·沙利文的独立候选人,以及共和党人杰拉尔德·海克斯。由于第四名得票者退选,海克斯进入了最终的四人名单。
In addition to Peltola, Sen. Sullivan faces another opponent on the ballot also named Dan Sullivan, an independent, and Republican Gerald Heikes, who made the final four when the fourth-place finisher dropped out.
包括特朗普在内的共和党人特意提醒选民,务必核实自己投出的是否是“真正的丹·沙利文”。10月23日,特朗普指示司法部进行预防性起诉,以阻止在现任议员以微弱劣势落败的情况下对选举结果进行认证。2024年,特朗普在阿拉斯加州以13个百分点的优势获胜。
Republicans, including Trump, have made a point of reminding voters to check that they’re casting their ballot for the “real Dan Sullivan,” and on Oct. 23 he directed the Justice Department to preemptively sue to block certification of the results if the incumbent narrowly loses. Trump won Alaska by 13 points in 2024.

俄亥俄州:受任命的参议员对阵前参议员 俄亥俄州参议院竞选迎来了两位争夺重返参议院机会的候选人:现任共和党籍参议员约翰·哈斯特德,以及在2024年连任竞选中败给伯尼·莫雷诺的前参议员谢罗德·布朗。
Ohio: An appointee senator vs. a former one The Ohio Senate race features two candidates fighting for their chance to return to the Senate: incumbent Republican John Husted and former Sen. Sherrod Brown, who lost his 2024 re-election bid to Bernie Moreno.
哈斯特德于2025年被俄亥俄州共和党籍州长迈克·德万因任命,以填补因JD·万斯出任副总统而空出的参议院席位。这场竞选将决定谁能完成万斯剩余的任期直至2029年。
Husted was appointed by Ohio GOP Gov. Mike DeWine in 2025 to fill the Senate seat left vacant by Vice President JD Vance. This race will determine who finishes out the remainder of Vance’s term until 2029.
这是哈斯特德首次参加全州范围的选举。尽管在最近几次选举中,俄亥俄州正日益向共和党倾斜,但在家乡对负担能力和数据中心的担忧不断增加的背景下,哈斯特德仍面临着一场艰难的竞选。
This is Husted’s first time on the statewide ballot. Though Ohio has been moving increasingly toward Republicans in recent elections, Husted faces a tough race amid growing concerns about affordability and data centers in his home state.
布朗在2024年的连任竞选中以大约4个百分点的差距败给了新人莫雷诺,不过他在该州的表现优于民主党总统候选人卡玛拉·哈里斯。这位经历三届任期的参议员正在向关注生活成本问题的工人阶级选民拉票。
Brown lost his re-election bid against newcomer Moreno by about four points in 2024, though he outperformed Democratic nominee Kamala Harris in the state. The three-term senator is making a pitch to working-class voters concerned about cost-of-living issues.

堪萨斯州:向共和党对参议院席位的垄断发起挑战 堪萨斯州的参议院竞选原本预计不会激起竞争——特朗普2024年曾以16个百分点的优势在该州胜出,且共和党人已经把持堪萨斯州的两个参议院席位近一个世纪。然而,就连现任共和党籍参议员罗杰·马歇尔也承认,本届选举“竞争相当激烈”。
Kansas: Challenging the GOP's lock on Senate seat The Kansas Senate race was not expected to be competitive -- Trump won the state by 16 points in 2024 and Republicans have held both Senate seats in Kansas for nearly a century. Yet even incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall has conceded that it's “quite a close race” this cycle.
马歇尔是一名医生,在当选参议员前曾在众议院任职,2020年当选参议员。他在国会任职期间,基本上支持特朗普的政策。他的对手亚当·汉密尔顿试图强调马歇尔与那些给选民带来经济挑战的不得人心政策的关联。
Marshall, a medical doctor who served in the House before being elected to the Senate in 2020, has largely supported Trump’s policies during his time in Congress. His opponent, Adam Hamilton, has sought to emphasize Marshall’s ties to the unpopular policies that have created economic challenges for voters.
汉密尔顿是全美最大联合卫理公会教区的牧师。他试图将自己包装为一名“独立思考”的民主党人,但马歇尔称汉密尔顿“太‘觉醒’了”,不足以代表堪萨斯州人民。缅因州:一场为期100天的竞选能否推翻一位政治常青树?
Hamilton is reverend of the largest United Methodist congregation in the nation. He’s tried to brand himself as an “independent-minded” Democrat but Marshall has said Hamilton is “too woke” to represent the people of Kansas. Maine: Can a 100-day-long campaign unseat an institution?

资深缅因州共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯屡次打破常规,即便在被普遍看衰时也成功连任。她是一名温和派共和党人,比党内大多数人更愿意在某些问题上与总统决裂。
Longtime Maine Republican Sen. Susan Collins has repeatedly defied the odds, and kept her seat even after being counted out. She’s a moderate Republican who has been more willing than most in her party to break with the president on some issues.
但民主党人认为,前缅因州参议院议长兼多数党领袖特洛伊·杰克逊可能终结柯林斯近30年的参议员生涯。
But Democrats think Troy Jackson, a former Maine Senate president and majority leader, could put an end to Collins’ nearly-30-year Senate career.
杰克逊是在原提名人格雷厄姆·普拉特纳因性侵指控退选后,才临时加入竞选的。
Jackson was a late entry into the race after Graham Platner, the original nominee, dropped out following sexual assault allegations.
身为参议院拨款委员会主席的柯林斯,拥有极高知名度和长期服务缅因州的履历,她试图突出自己敢于投反对党票的意愿。
Collins, the chair of the powerful Senate Appropriations Committee, has name recognition and a long record of serving Maine on her side and has tried to highlight her willingness to vote against her party.
杰克逊则试图证明柯林斯在关键时刻未能履职——杰克逊指责她为最高法院推翻“罗诉韦德案”判决“铺平了道路”,因为她投下了大法官布雷特·卡瓦诺的确认关键一票。
Jackson has tried to show Collins failed to when it counted -- notably, Jackson has accused her of "paving the way" for the Supreme Court to overturn Roe v. Wade by casting the deciding vote for Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

爱荷华州:一场出人意料的激烈竞争 特朗普在爱荷华州造势,支持共和党众议员阿什利·辛森竞选,以接替即将退休的共和党参议员乔尼·恩斯特。在本轮选举周期初期,鲜有人预料这场竞选会具有竞争力。
Iowa: A surprisingly competitive race Trump has been rallying in Iowa to support Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson’s bid to replace retiring GOP Sen. Joni Ernst in a race that few would be competitive at the beginning of the cycle.
爱荷华州国会代表团中没有民主党人,特朗普在2024年以13个百分点的巨大优势赢得该州。爱荷华州自2008年以来未曾选出过民主党参议员。
There are no Democrats in Iowa's congressional delegation and Trump won the state by a commanding 13 points in 2024. Iowa has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 2008.
但由伊朗战争引发的成本上升给艾奥瓦州的农民造成了沉重打击。许多人认为温和派民主党候选人乔什·蒂雷克(Josh Turek)是一位能够与欣森(Hinson)一较高下的强有力候选人,他是一名州众议员,也是残奥会轮椅篮球项目的两金得主。
But rising costs caused by the Iran war have hit Iowa farmers hard. Many see moderate Democratic nominee Josh Turek, a state representative and two-time Paralympics gold medalist in wheelchair basketball, as a formidable candidate against Hinson.