随着以色列将于10月27日举行大选,包括一名前总理和一名前军方首长在内的一众政治人物已将自己定位为挑战者,寻求取代本雅明·内塔尼亚胡。虽然以色列选民投票给的是政党而非单一候选人以进入拥有120个席位的议会(Knesset),但已有一些知名人物成为总理职位的领跑者。主要竞争者包括来自利库德集团的总理内塔尼亚胡;来自“Yashar”党的前以色列国防军(IDF)参谋长加迪·艾森科特;来自“犹太力量党”的国家安全部部长伊塔马尔·本-格维尔;来自“宗教锡安主义党”的贝扎莱尔·斯莫特里奇;以及前总理纳夫塔利·贝内特和亚伊尔·拉皮德,两人于4月宣布联合参选,名单稍后定名为“B'Yachad”(“在一起”党)。
As Israel heads to vote on October 27, a host of political figures, including an ex-prime minister and a former military chief, have positioned themselves as challengers seeking to replace Benjamin Netanyahu. While Israel votes for parties and not single candidates to enter the 120-seat Knesset, there are some prominent figures who have emerged as front-runners for the prime ministerial post. The key faces include Prime Minister Netanyahu from the Likud Party; former Israel Defense Forces (IDF) chief of staff Gadi Eisenkot from Yashar; Israel’s minister of national security Itamar Ben-Gvir of Otzma Yehudit; Bezalel Smotrich of the Religious Zionist Party; and former prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, who announced a joint ticket in April, later named B'Yachad.
来自“民主党”的亚伊尔·戈兰和来自“以色列我们的家园党”的阿维格多·利伯曼也在角逐之列。
Yair Golan from The Democrats, and Avigdor Lieberman from Yisrael Beiteunu are also in contention.
此次竞争是最重要的一次之一,因为这是四年来的首次大选,也是2023年10月哈马斯领导袭击以来的首次大选。以色列随后对加沙宣战,据加沙卫生部统计,迄今已造成超过7.4万巴勒斯坦人死亡。竞争者们指责内塔尼亚胡在导致2023年10月袭击的安全失误中负有责任,并批评他对加沙战争、与伊朗的冲突以及约旦河西岸定居者暴力事件的处理方式。
万斯在以色列大选前避而不谈对内塔尼亚胡的背书,称特朗普的支持“影响力最大”但首先,以色列是如何投票的?
The contest is one of the most significant ones, given that it is the first in four years and also the first since the October 2023 Hamas-led attack, following which Israel declared a war on Gaza that has killed over 74,000 Palestinians till now, according to Gaza’s health ministry. The contenders have alleged security failures leading to the October 2023 attack, and criticised Netanyahu’s handling of the wars with Gaza and Iran as well as West Bank settler violence.JD Vance sidesteps Netanyahu's endorsement ahead of Israel elections, says Trump's backing ‘most influential’But first, how does Israel vote?
以色列目前的选举门槛为3.25%,即一个政党必须获得至少3.25%的选票才能在议会中获得席位。多数席位门槛为120席中的61席,从未有任何政党单独赢得绝对多数,因此历届政府都依赖联合组阁。
The current electoral threshold in Israel is 3.25 per cent, meaning a political party must receive at least 3.25 per cent of the votes in order to gain a seat in the Knesset. The majority mark is 61 of the 120 seats, and no party has ever won this outright, meaning that all governments have relied on coalitions.
席位分配采用比例代表制。每个政党根据其在全国范围内的得票比例获得相应席位。
Seat-sharing is on a proportional basis. Each party gets seats in proportion to their share in the national vote.
例如,获得30%选票的政党将获得大约30%的议会席位;而那些未能获得3.25%选票的政党的选票将被直接舍弃。
For example, a party winning 30 per cent of the votes will get approximately 30 per cent of the seats. Meanwhile, the votes for parties which fail to secure 3.25 per cent of the votes are discarded.
以下是关于那些试图接替以色列现任总理内塔尼亚胡的候选人的相关信息,包括他们的政党及其所关注的关键议题:
Netanyahu's rival contendersHere’s what we know about the candidates seeking to replace Netanyahu, Israel’s longest serving premier, and their parties, along with the key issues they are fighting on.
加迪·艾森科特(Gadi Eisenkot,所属政党:Yashar)作为内塔尼亚胡的主要竞争对手,66岁的加迪·艾森科特是“Yashar”(希伯来语中意为“诚实”)政党的创始人。该政党成立于去年。
Gadi Eisenkot (Yashar)Known as Netanyahu’s biggest rival, Gadi Eisenkot, 66, is the chairman of Yashar (‘honest’ in Hebrew), a party he founded only last year. Military and political experience: Eisenkot is a former chief of staff of the Israeli military.
军事与政治背景:艾森科特曾担任以色列军队的参谋长。他1960年出生于提比利亚斯的一个传统家庭,后在埃拉特长大,1978年加入戈拉尼旅(Golani Brigade),从普通士兵逐步晋升为旅长。根据其政党网站的信息,他在以色列国防军(IDF)服役了41年,担任过多个重要职务,包括两位总理的军事秘书、第二次巴勒斯坦起义期间的朱迪亚-撒马利亚军区司令、作战指挥部负责人以及北方军区司令等。
Born in Tiberias in 1960 to a traditional family and then raised in Eilat, he enlisted in the Golani Brigade in 1978, where he served as a rifleman in Battalion 13 up to brigade commander. According to his party’s website, Eisenkot served 41 years in the IDF and held a series of key positions, including serving as military secretary to two PMs, being commander of the Judea and Samaria Division during the Second Intifada, as head of the operations directorate, as commander of the commander of Northern Command and finally as the deputy chief of staff.
2015年,他成为以色列国防军的第21任参谋长。在任期间,他推动了旨在提升以色列军队陆海空作战能力的“吉迪恩”(Gideon)计划。2022年首次当选为以色列议会成员,并在2023年10月7日的袭击事件后担任战争内阁的部长。
He became the IDF's 21st chief of staff in 2015. While in the IDF, he advanced the multi-year "Gideon" plan to improve the IDF's capabilities on land, in the air and sea. He was first elected to the Knesset in 2022, and served as a minister in the War Cabinet following the October 7, 2023 attack.
关键议题:艾森科特自称为温和派人士,一直公开批评内塔尼亚胡在加沙战争中的处理方式。他具有现实主义军事观点,两年前就曾表示以色列不太可能在对哈马斯的战争中取得“彻底胜利”,并主张采取以人质安全为优先目标的战略(据《卫报》报道)。
Key issues: Eisenkot is a self-styled moderate, and has been a vocal critic of Netanyahu’s approach on aspects of the Gaza war. He is also a military realist, insisting two years ago that Israel was unlikely to win “total victory” over Hamas, and calling for a strategy which prioritised the lives of hostages, The Guardian reported.
他的儿子加尔和两个侄子在加沙冲突中丧生。《以色列时报》报道,艾森科特反对“两国方案”,在2023年10月7日袭击发生后称其为“妄想”。在大选前夕,他坚持认为,他的盟友必须同意以色列是一个犹太和民主国家,兵役是普遍义务,哈马斯是必须被拆除的恐怖组织。
His son, Gal, and two of his nephews were killed in the Gaza conflict. Eisenkot has opposed the two-state solution, calling it “delusional” following the October 7, 2023 attack, Times of Israel reported. In the lead-up to the polls, he has maintained that his allies would need to agree that Israel is a Jewish and democratic state, that military service is universal and that Hamas is a terrorist organisation which must be dismantled.
纳夫塔利·贝内特和亚伊尔·拉皮德(“在一起”党)前总理纳夫塔利·贝内特(2021-2022年任职)和亚伊尔·拉皮德(2022年7月至12月任职)于今年4月宣布组成联合名单,后命名为“在一起”党(B'Yachad,意为“在一起”)。如果该党获胜,54岁的贝内特有望出任总理。
Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid (B'Yachad )Former prime ministers Naftali Bennett (2021-22) and Yair Lapid (July-December 2022) announced a joint ticket in April this year, which was later named B'Yachad (“Together”). Bennett, 54, is poised to be prime minister if the party wins.
贝内特、拉皮德的政治生涯:贝内特的政治生涯始于他现在寻求取代的领导人,他在2006年至2008年担任内塔尼亚胡的办公室主任。当时内塔尼亚胡在野。2012年,贝内特和内塔尼亚胡赢得了犹太家庭党的领导权,随后达成联盟协议,约定若非两人共同加入,否则均不加入联盟。2015年大选后,贝内特加入内塔尼亚胡领导的联合政府,担任教育部长。2019年获任命为国防部长。然而,他在2020年退出内塔尼亚胡政府,并于2021年成为与亚伊尔·拉皮德组建的联合政府的领导人。
Bennett, Lapid’s political career: Bennett’s political career began with the leader he is now seeking to replace, with him serving as Netanyahu’s chief of staff from 2006 to 2008. Netanyahu was then in the opposition. Bennett and Netanyahu won the Bayit Yehudi leadership in 2012, following which they held a coalition agreement that neither would join without the other. Bennett joined the Netanyahu-led coalition following the 2015 election, holding the post of education minister. He was appointed defence minister in 2019. However, he was out of Netanyahu’s government in 2020, and became the leader of a coalition government with Yair Lapid in 2021.
现年62岁的亚伊尔·拉皮德在新闻界工作后于2012年创立了“未来党”,该党将自己定位为世俗、中间派、自由派的锡安主义力量。据《耶路撒冷邮报》报道,该党关注以色列在职民众的诉求、中产阶级的经济负担,以及兵役更大程度的平等。在2013年的首次选举中,拉皮德的政党赢得19个席位,成为议会第二大党。拉皮德也在内塔尼亚胡政府中担任财政部长。在现任议会中,“未来党”同样是第二大党,拥有24个席位,拉皮德担任反对党领袖。
Yair Lapid, 62, formed the Yesh Atid in 2012 after a career in journalism, with the party positioning itself as a secular, centrist, liberal-Zionist force. It focused on the concerns of working Israelis, the economic burden on the middle class, and greater equality in military service, according to The Jerusalem Post. In its first election in 2013, Lapid’s party won 19 seats and became Knesset’s second-largest party. Lapid also became finance minister in Netanyahu’s government. In the present Knesset too, Yesh Atid is the second-largest party, holding 24 seats, and Lapid serves as opposition leader.
拉皮德曾在2021年与贝内特共同组建的政府中担任外交部长和副总理兼任总理,该政府于2022年解散。内塔尼亚胡警告未来的美国总统可能会对以色列抱有敌意,并着眼于与印度建立紧密关系政治立场和核心议题:据《耶路撒冷邮报》报道,该政党将贝内特的右翼政治背景与拉皮德的中右翼“拥有未来”党结合在了一起。
Lapid had served as the foreign minister and alternate prime minister in the government he formed with Bennett in 2021, which was dissolved in 2022. Netanyahu warns future US president could be hostile to Israel, eyes close ties with IndiaPolitical stance and key issues: The party combines Bennett’s right-wing political background with Lapid’s centrist Yesh Atid party, according to The Jerusalem Post.
因此,该党及其候选人融合了右翼的安全立场以及在宗教与国家问题上的自由派立场。该党主要围绕生活成本和以色列教育系统等关切展开竞选,从而提出了改革优先的方法。伊塔马尔·本-格维尔(犹太力量党)据《犹太新闻辛迪加》报道,伊塔马尔·本-格维尔领导的犹太力量党曾一度被主流政坛排斥为过于极端,并且自2022年以来还将内塔尼亚胡的政府进一步拉向右翼。
Therefore, the party and its candidates offer an amalgamation of a right-wing security stance along with liberal positions on issues of religion and state. The party is contesting majorly on concerns around cost-of-living and Israel’s education system, thus putting forward a reforms-first approach. Itamar Ben-Gvir (Otzma Yehudit)Itamar Ben-Gvir leads the Otzma Yehudit, which was once shunned as too extreme for mainstream politics, and has also pulled Netanyahu’s government further to the right since 2022, JNS reported.
政治生涯与制裁:现年50岁的本-格维尔职业是一名律师,自2022年以来一直担任国家安全部长,但在2025年曾有两各月的间断。他于2021年首次成为以色列议会议员,当时他的政党意外赢得了7个席位。本-格维尔被指控支持恐怖主义,并有煽动种族主义的刑事定罪记录,因支持加沙战争而已受到英国、法国等国的制裁。
Political career and sanctions: A lawyer by profession, the 50-year-old has served as the minister of national security since 2022, except for a two-month gap in 2025. He first became a Knesset member in 2021, when his party unexpectedly won seven seats. Gvir, who has been accused of supporting terrorism and has criminal convictions for incitement to racism, has been sanctioned in the UK, France and others for backing the Gaza war.
核心议题:犹太力量党主张巴勒斯坦人从加沙“自愿移民”,其集会也曾引发极端主义口号。据《中东之眼》报道,在政府任职期间,该党发起了司法改革和针对巴勒斯坦人的死刑议案,其初级部长们还讨论过对加沙使用核武器。该党一直围绕人身安全、犹太主权以及针对恐怖主义采取更严厉措施等议题进行竞选。
Key issues: Otzma Yehudit advocates the “voluntary emigration” of Palestinians from Gaza, with its rallies also drawing extremist chants. In government, it has sponsored judicial reforms and the death penalty for Palestinians, and its junior ministers have discussed nuking Gaza, according to Middle East Eye. The party has campaigned on issues like personal security, Jewish sovereignty and tougher measures against terrorism.
这将是该党自进入以色列议会以来首次独立参选。本-格维尔与内塔尼亚胡关系紧张:本-格维尔最近表示他想要组建一个没有内塔尼亚胡的政府,这标志着两位领导人过去二十年来紧张关系的顶峰。
This will be the party’s first time running independently since it entered the Knesset. Gvir’s tense relations with Netanyahu: Gvir recently said he wants to form a government without Netanyahu, a culmination to tense relations between the two leaders for the past two decades.
本-格维尔本月早些时候声称,内塔尼亚胡曾向欧洲官员承诺,如果他在下周的连任选举中获胜,将把他的极右翼“犹太力量党”排除在执政联盟之外。据《以色列时报》报道,本-格维尔在耶路撒冷举行的一场新闻发布会上表示,他“收到了关于来自”内塔尼亚胡办公室作出此类承诺“的信息”。比撒列·斯莫特里赫(宗教犹太复国主义者党)宗教犹太复国主义者党领袖比撒列·斯莫特里赫目前在内塔尼亚胡领导的以色列政府中担任财政部长。据美联社报道,他一直监督着用于定居点倡议的大规模国家支出。
Gvir earlier this month claimed Netanyahu had promised European officials that he would keep his far-right Otzma Yehudit party out of his coalition if he wins reelection next week. At a press conference in Jerusalem, Ben Gvir said he had “received information about messages” from Netanyahu’s office making such a pledge, Times of Israel reported. Bezalel Smotrich (Religious Zionist Party)Religious Zionist Party (RZP) leader Bezalel Smotrich is currently finance minister in the Netanyahu-led Israeli government. He has overseen massive state spending on settlement initiatives, the Associated Press reported.
关键议题:斯莫特里赫的政党支持激进的安全政策、扩大定居点以及巩固以色列对被占领约旦河西岸的控制。该党曾与更右翼的“身份党”合并,但目前正在艰难跨越选举门槛。阿拉伯选民可能掌握着内塔尼亚胡在以色列选举中未来的关键2022年,在与“犹太力量党”达成选举联盟期间,该党表现强劲。然而,尽管以色列总理提出了结盟提议,这两个政党现在都已切断与内塔尼亚胡的利库德集团的联系,转而作为竞争对手参选。
宗教犹太复国主义者党支持对超正统犹太社群实行兵役征召,但曾投票支持由超正统犹太人支持的法律,例如停止逮捕超正统犹太逃兵,同时在内塔尼亚胡的联合政府中与超正统犹太政党并肩而坐。
Key issues: Smotrich’s party supports an aggressive security policy, increasing settlements and solidifying Israeli control over the occupied West Bank. The party joined with farther-right Zehut (Identity) but is struggling to pass the threshold. Arab voters could hold key to Netanyahu's future in Israel election In 2022, it had a strong showing amid an electoral pact with Otzma Yehudit. However, both parties have now severed ties with Netanyahu’s Likud Party to run as competitors, despite the Israeli PM’s proposal for alliance.RZP backs military conscription for ultra-Orthodox communities, but has voted for Haredi-backed laws, such as stopping arrests of Haredi draft dodgers, while sitting alongside Haredi parties in Netanyahu’s coalition government.
支持基础:据《中东之眼》报道,46岁的斯莫特里赫是一名正统派拉比的儿子,其支持者比本-格维尔具有更浓厚的宗教背景。
Support base: 46-year-old Smotrich, the son of an Orthodox rabbi, draws support from a more religious base than Ben Gvir, according to Middle East Eye.
他曾寻求实施犹太教法(halacha),并表示自2022年以来,托拉经文一直是其担任财政部长战略的基础。他还要求进行司法改革、废除《奥斯陆协议》、解散巴勒斯坦权力机构,以及由以色列在加沙和约旦河西岸建立定居点,同时自称是一名“骄傲的恐同者”。
He has sought the implementation of Jewish law (halacha), and says Torah scripture has underpinned his strategy as finance minister since 2022. He also demands a judicial overhaul, the abolition of the Oslo Accords, the dismantlement of the Palestinian Authority, and the Israeli settlement of Gaza and the West Bank, while calling himself a “proud homophobe”.Yair Golan (The Democrats)Yair Golan is the leader of the Democrats, the party created through the unification of the two historic left-wing parties Labor and Meretz.
亚伊尔·戈兰(“民主党”)(Yair Golan (The Democrats))据《犹太纪元报》报道,“民主党”由以色列两个具有历史意义的左翼政党工党和梅雷兹党合并而成,亚伊尔·戈兰是该党领袖。在以色列当前的政治局势中,他的政党是唯一一个提供明确的犹太复国主义、自由主义和社会民主主义替代方案的政党。
In Israel's present political scenario, his is the only party which offers an explicitly Zionist, liberal and social-democratic alternative, The Jewish Chronicle reported.
据《犹太纪元报》报道,虽然这为戈兰树立了独特的身份,但也限制了他在过去三年中政治立场急剧向右转的国家(特别是在2023年10月袭击事件之后)的选举吸引力。
While this creates a separate identity for Golan, it also limits electoral appeal in a country which has moved sharply to the right in the past three years, particularly following the October, 2023 attack.
个人生活与政治生涯:戈兰现年64岁,1962年出生于里雄莱锡安,在以色列国防部服役近四十年。他加入以色列军队伞兵旅,一路晋升,先后指挥纳哈尔旅、犹太和萨马利亚师、后方司令部和北方司令部。戈兰最终被任命为副总参谋长,甚至一度有望领导以色列国防部。据《犹太纪元报》报道,他的军事生涯奠定了其作为重要安全人物的地位。
Personal life and political career: Golan, 64, was born in Rishon LeZion in 1962, and served in the IDF for nearly four decades. He joined the Paratroopers Brigade in the Israeli military, and rose up the ranks to command the Nahal Brigade, the Judea and Samaria Division, the Home Front Command and the Northern Command. Golan was eventually appointed chief of staff and was even in line to lead the IDF. His military career establishes him as a serious security figure, The Jewish Chronicle reported.
戈兰于2019年通过前总理埃胡德·巴拉克领导的联盟进入政坛,后来加入了梅雷兹党。然而,在2022年,梅雷兹党未能跨过选举门槛。2023年10月袭击事件发生后,这位退役将军独自驱车前往加沙附近的社区,搜寻并救援了诺瓦音乐节的幸存者,这使他一跃名声大噪。该音乐节是哈马斯袭击的目标之一。
Golan entered politics in 2019 through an alliance led by former PM Ehud Barak and later joined Meretz. However, in 2022, Meretz failed to cross the electoral threshold. He was catapulted to prominence following the October, 2023 attack, when the retired general drove independently into communities near Gaza and located and rescued survivors of Nova music festival. The festival was one of the sites targeted by Hamas.
随后,他在2024年5月以百分之九十五的得票率赢得了工党党魁之位,并将工党与梅雷兹党联合组建了民主党。关键议题上的政治立场:民主党在保持强硬安全姿态的同时,也支持重启外交。该党呼吁保护司法独立、实现公民平等、加大对公共服务的投入以及实行全民兵役或国民服役。戈兰本人曾主张以色列应保持军事熟练应对能力,同时寻求建立一个防止对巴勒斯坦人进行永久统治的框架。
He then won the Labor leadership with 95 per cent of the vote in May, 2024, and united Labor with Meretz to form the Democrats party. Political stance on key issues: The Democrats party balances strong security posture along with support for renewed diplomacy. It calls for protection of judicial independence, civil equality, greater investment in public services and universal military or national service. Golan has personally argued for Israel to remain militarily adept while also seeking a framework which prevents permanent rule over Palestinians.
这使他的立场比其他主要反对党更为偏左。虽然戈兰并非专门竞选总理,但据《犹太纪事报》报道,他的政党已表示愿意加入任何取代内塔尼亚胡的联合政府。戈兰似乎也对同阿拉伯政党进行政治合作持开放态度,并在阿拉伯社区开展了竞选活动。阿维格多·利伯曼(以色列家园党)据“中东之眼”网站报道,以色列家园党领袖、前部长阿维格多·利伯曼是一位来自苏联时期东欧的移民。
This places him to the left of other major opposition parties. While Golan is not running for prime minister specifically, his party has signalled willingness to join any coalition replacing Netanyahu. Golan has also seemed open to cooperate politically with Arab parties and has campaigned in Arab communities, according to The Jewish Chronicle. Avigdor Lieberman (Yisrael Beiteinu)Avigdor Lieberman, leader of the Yisrael Beitenu party and a former minister, is an emigre from Soviet-era eastern Europe..
现年五十八岁的利伯曼于1998年创立了该右翼政党,其支持者主要依靠以色列的一百五十万俄语人口。尽管该党在历次选举中表现最好时曾成为第三大党,但它仍然加入了以色列过去十届政府中的七届的联合执政。然而,《以色列时报》报道称,利伯曼此次已宣布他不会加入或支持少数派政府。他还排除与阿拉伯人占多数的政党或任何他认为是反犹太复国主义的派别坐在一起的可能性。
The 58-year-old's party, founded in 1998, is right-wing and relies on Israel’s 1.5 million Russian speakers for support, according to Middle East Eye. While the party has at its best become the third largest in elections, it has still been in coalition with seven of the last 10 governments in Israel. However, Lieberman has this time announced that he will not join or support a minority government. He has also ruled out sitting with Arab-majority parties or any other faction he considers non-Zionist, Times of Israel reported.
政治生涯:利伯曼于1993年至1996年担任利库德集团总干事。他在将当时新当选的党领袖内塔尼亚胡塑造为利库德集团的主导人物方面发挥了关键作用。1996年内塔尼亚胡出任总理后,任命利伯曼为总理办公室总干事。然而三年后,利伯曼脱离该党,创立了以色列家园党。
Political career: Lieberman served as director-general of the Likud movement from 1993 to 1996. He was pivotal in turning Netanyahu, then a newly elected party leader, into Likud’s dominant figure. Netanyahu appointed Lieberman director-general of the Prime Minister's office after becoming the prime minister in 1996. However, three years later, Lieberman broke away to establish Yisrael Beiteinu.
然而,他与利库德集团保持着密切联系,甚至在2013年与内塔尼亚胡以联席名单参选。
However, he has had close ties with Likud, even running on a joint ticket with Netanyahu in 2013.
关键议题与民调策略:利库德(注:此处原文如此,通常指利伯曼)是一名强硬的右翼人士,居住在约旦河西岸的诺克迪姆定居点。他在安全和巴勒斯坦问题上的观点几乎与包括本-格维尔和斯莫特里赫在内的极右翼部长们一致。据《以色列时报》报道,利伯曼曾表示,他计划吸引右翼的以色列国会议员离开利库德集团,以达到进入以色列议会的门槛,他并声称自己知道内塔尼亚胡党内有几位议员觉得这位以色列总理让他们沦为了极右翼政党的附庸。
Key issues and poll strategy: Liberman is a hardline right-winger and a resident of the West Bank settlement of Nokdim. His views on security and Palestine almost align with those of the far-right ministers, including Ben Gvir and Smotrich. Lieberman has said that he plans to lure right-wing Knesset members away from Likud to reach the threshold to enter Knesset, claiming he knows several MPs from Netanyahu's party who feel the Israeli PM has made them subservient to the ultra-Orthodox parties, according to Times of Israel.
他还声称获得了首次投票的年轻选民的支持,他表示这些选民将支持变革阵营,而不是执政联盟。
He has also claimed to have support from first-time young voters, who he says will support the change bloc over the ruling coalition.