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阿纳多卢通讯社

以色列民调:选举前反对派领先内塔尼亚胡阵营18席Israeli opposition leads Netanyahu’s bloc by 18 seats ahead of elections: Poll

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根据一项周一公布的民调,以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡的反对派将在10月27日举行的选举中赢得议会120席中的67席,而其执政联盟仅能获得49席。

Parties opposed to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu would win 67 of the Knesset’s 120 seats compared with 49 for his ruling coalition, according to a poll published Monday ahead of elections scheduled for Oct. 27.

该民调由第12频道进行,显示反对内塔尼亚胡的犹太复国主义政党将获得54席,阿拉伯政党将获得13席。该频道所称的“第三阵营”预计将获得4席。组建政府需要至少61席的议会多数。

The Channel 12 survey projected 54 seats for Zionist parties opposed to Netanyahu and 13 for Arab parties. A grouping the channel described as the “third bloc” would secure four seats. A parliamentary majority of at least 61 seats is required to form a government.

该民调于10月12日进行,样本为509名18岁及以上的代表性人士,最大误差为4.4个百分点。

The poll was conducted on Oct. 12 among a representative sample of 509 people aged 18 and older, with a maximum margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

前参谋长加迪·艾森科特领导的以色列直行党(Yashar)在民调中领先,获得23席;内塔尼亚胡的利库德党紧随其后,获得20席,较该频道之前的调查下降了一席。

Former army chief of staff Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party led the poll with 23 seats, followed by Netanyahu’s Likud with 20, down one seat from the channel’s previous survey.

前总理纳夫塔利·贝内特领导的在一起党(Beyachad)保持13席;雅伊尔·戈兰领导的民主党党和阿维格多·利伯曼领导的以色列我们的家园党(Yisrael Beiteinu)各获九席。

Former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett’s Beyachad party retained 13 seats, while Yair Golan’s Democrats party and Avigdor Lieberman’s Yisrael Beiteinu party each received nine.

由尤瑟夫·贾巴林领导的联合名单预计将获得八席,与雅利耶·德利领导的超正统派沙斯党以及国家安全部长伊塔马尔·本-格维尔领导的犹太力量党的席位数相同。

The Joint List, led by Yousef Jabareen, was projected to win eight seats, the same number as Aryeh Deri’s ultra-Orthodox Shas party and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir’s Jewish Power party.

由亚科夫·阿舍领导的联合托拉犹太教党获得七席;由财政部长贝扎莱尔·斯莫特里希和政治家摩西·费格林领导的宗教犹太复国主义-泽图联盟获得六席。

United Torah Judaism, led by Yaakov Asher, received seven seats, while the Religious Zionism-Zehut alliance led by Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and politician Moshe Feiglin secured six.

曼苏尔·阿巴斯领导的联合阿拉伯名单获得五席,使阿拉伯名单的总代表人数达到13席。

Mansour Abbas’ United Arab List received five seats, bringing the combined representation of Arab lists to 13.

由约阿兹·亨德尔和亚伦·泽莱哈领导的联合储役-经济党获得四席。

The joint Reservists-Economic party led by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha received four seats.

在总理适任度方面,艾森科特以45%的支持率领先内塔尼亚胡的35%,其优势从之前民调的3个百分点扩大至10个百分点。

On suitability for prime minister, Eisenkot led Netanyahu by 45% to 35%, widening his advantage to 10 percentage points from three in the previous poll.

贝内特也略微领先于内塔尼亚胡,获得37%的支持率,而内塔尼亚胡为36%。

Bennett also edged ahead of Netanyahu, receiving 37% support compared with the prime minister’s 36%.

内塔尼亚胡在对利伯曼的比较中以35%领先于27%,尽管这一差距从之前民调的17个百分点缩小至8个百分点。

Netanyahu led Avigdor Lieberman by 35% to 27%, although the gap narrowed to eight percentage points from 17 in the previous survey.

第12频道表示,大约8%的受访者尚未决定投票给谁。自2022年12月下旬以来,内塔尼亚胡一直领导着当前政府,该联盟被广泛描述为以色列历史上最右翼的政府。

Channel 12 said around 8% of respondents had yet to decide whom they would vote for. Netanyahu has headed the current government since late December 2022, leading a coalition widely described as the most right-wing in Israel’s history.