
以色列前陆军参谋长加迪·艾森科特在周日发布的一项民调中以43%对38%领先总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡,被认为更适合担任总理职务,而内塔尼亚胡的联盟仍未达到组建政府所需的议会多数席位。
Former Israeli army Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot led Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu 43% to 38% in a poll published Sunday on who is better suited to serve as prime minister, while Netanyahu’s bloc remained short of the parliamentary majority needed to form a government.
该调查由以色列公共广播公司KAN发布,预测艾森科特领导的“正直党”(Yashar)将获得120席议会中的22席,而内塔尼亚胡的利库德集团为20席,较上周民调下降一个席位,选举定于10月27日举行。
The survey, released by the Israeli public broadcaster KAN, projected 22 seats for Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the 120-member Knesset compared with 20 for Netanyahu’s Likud, down one seat from the previous week’s poll, ahead of elections scheduled for Oct. 27.
内塔尼亚胡的联盟获得两个席位,达到53席,距离组建政府所需的61席多数仍差8席。
Netanyahu’s bloc gained two seats to reach 53, leaving it eight short of the 61-seat majority required to form a government.
艾森科特的联盟预计将获得50席,剩余17席将归属于民调中被划分为两大阵营之外的政党。
Eisenkot’s bloc was projected to secure 50 seats, with the remaining 17 going to parties classified by the poll as outside both camps.
阿拉伯名单预计将合计赢得13席,其中联合名单8席,阿拉伯联合名单(Ra’am)5席,该名单由曼苏尔·阿巴斯领导。
Arab lists were projected to win a combined 13 seats, including eight for the Joint List and five for the United Arab List, known as Ra’am, led by Mansour Abbas.
在内塔尼亚胡的联盟中,民调显示国家安全部长伊塔马尔·本-格维尔领导的犹太力量党获得9席,联合托拉犹太教党8席,沙斯党7席。宗教犹太复国主义–泽赫特联盟预计获得5席。
Within Netanyahu’s bloc, the poll gave nine seats to National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir’s Jewish Power party, eight to United Torah Judaism and seven to Shas. The Religious Zionism–Zehut alliance was projected to secure five seats.
由前准将奥弗尔·温特领导的“以色列人民”(Amcha Yisrael)预计将赢得4席,成功跨越选举门槛,而此前未能做到。
Amcha Yisrael, led by former brigadier general Ofer Winter, was projected to win four seats, clearing the electoral threshold after failing to do so in the previous poll.
调查还显示,相当比例的选民持不定态度,30%的受访者表示尚未决定支持哪个政党,21%表示正在考虑不参与投票。
The survey also indicated substantial voter uncertainty, with 30% of respondents saying they had yet to decide which party to support and 21% saying they were considering not voting.
与此同时,54%的受访者支持在选举前举行内塔尼亚胡与艾森科特的电视辩论,其中包括38%计划投票给利库德的受访者。
Meanwhile, 54% supported a televised debate between Netanyahu and Eisenkot before the election, including 38% of respondents who intended to vote for Likud.
结果表明,无论是内塔尼亚胡的联盟还是犹太反对派联盟,单独都无法获得足够席位来组建政府。
The results suggest that neither Netanyahu’s bloc nor the Jewish opposition bloc would secure enough seats to form a government on its own.