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民调:以色列反对派在大选前以52比51领先内塔尼亚胡阵营Israeli opposition leads Netanyahu’s bloc 52-51 ahead of elections: Poll

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根据周日发布的一项民调,在10月27日大选前23天,以色列反对党将赢得52个席位,而总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡的联盟将获得51个席位。

Israel’s opposition parties would win 52 seats against 51 for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition, according to a poll published Sunday, 23 days before elections scheduled for Oct. 27.

以色列公共广播公司KAN发布的调查显示,双方阵营均未获得120席议会(克内塞特)中所需的61席多数。

The survey, published by Israeli public broadcaster KAN, showed neither camp securing the 61 seats needed for a majority in the 120-member Knesset.

加迪·艾森科特的“雅沙尔”党以23席保持领先,内塔尼亚胡的利库德集团以21席紧随其后。

Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party maintained its lead with 23 seats, followed by Netanyahu’s Likud with 21.

纳夫塔利·贝内特的“贝亚哈德”党将获得12席,而由亚伊尔·戈兰领导的民主党将获得8席。

Naftali Bennett’s Beyahad party would secure 12 seats, while the Democrats, led by Yair Golan, would take eight.

“犹太力量”党也将赢得8席,而由贝扎莱尔·斯莫特里奇领导的“宗教锡安主义-泽胡特”联合名单将获得6席。

Jewish Power would also win eight seats, while the joint Religious Zionism-Zehut slate led by Bezalel Smotrich would get six.

根据民调,数周来首次,奥费尔·温特的“阿姆查·以色列”党未能跨过选举门槛。

For the first time in weeks, Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael party failed to cross the electoral threshold, according to the poll.

在阿拉伯政党中,由于巴勒德党领导人萨米·阿布·谢哈德退出克内塞特竞选,联合名单上升至8席,而统一阿拉伯名单(即拉姆党)保持5席。

Among Arab parties, the Joint List rose to eight seats following Balad leader Sami Abu Shehadeh’s withdrawal from the Knesset race, while the United Arab List, known as Ra’am, retained five.

KAN表示,这一结果使得反对派所谓的“变革集团”在没有拉姆党的情况下无法组建61席联盟。

KAN said the result leaves the opposition’s so-called “change bloc” unable to form a 61-seat coalition without Ra’am.

该民调发布之际,以色列中央选举委员会周日裁定内塔尼亚胡利用士兵进行禁止的竞选活动,并命令其支付29,000谢克尔(约合9,000美元)的法律费用。

The poll came as Israel’s Central Elections Committee ruled Sunday that Netanyahu had used soldiers for prohibited election campaigning and ordered him to pay 29,000 shekels, approximately $9,000, in legal expenses.

克内塞特于7月17日通过解散议会决定后结束工作,为大选铺路。内塔尼亚胡自2022年底以来领导现政府。

The Knesset ended its work on July 17 after approving its dissolution ahead of the elections.

他面临腐败指控,以及国际刑事法院因加沙地带涉嫌战争罪发出的逮捕令。

Netanyahu has headed the current government since late December 2022. He faces corruption charges, as well as an International Criminal Court arrest warrant over alleged war crimes in Gaza.