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国际能源署署长预计能源危机将持续到2027年IEA chief expects energy crisis to persist into 2027

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国际能源署执行干事法提赫·比罗尔周五表示,他预计能源危机将持续到2027年,并警告称,随着各国政府寻求替代能源并加强供应链安全,世界仍将应对该危机带来的后果。

International Energy Agency Executive Director Fatih Birol said Friday he expects the energy crisis to continue into 2027, warning that the world will still be dealing with its consequences as governments seek alternative energy sources and strengthen supply security.

比罗尔在伊斯坦布尔举行的迈向COP31投资峰会上通过远程方式发表讲话时表示,全球的发展态势和各国的能源政策几乎没有让人预计明年会恢复正常的理由。

Addressing the Investment Summit Towards COP31 in Istanbul remotely, Birol said developments worldwide and countries' energy policies offered little reason to expect normalization next year.

他说:“我对2027年恢复正常并不乐观。即使我试图以乐观的眼光看待事物,我也找不到能说服自己的论据。”他还补充说:“这场危机将以这样或那样的形式在2027年继续。只要没有出现新的伤口,世界仍将试图抚平这些伤口。”

"I am not optimistic about normalization in 2027," he said. "Even when I try to look at things optimistically, I cannot find an argument that convinces me." "This crisis will continue in one form or another in 2027. The world will still be trying to heal its wounds, provided no new wounds emerge," he added.

比罗尔表示,霍尔木兹海峡的危机正在影响经济、农业和能源,促使各国政府、公司和投资者重新审视其短期和长期战略。

Birol said the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz was affecting the economy, agriculture, and energy, prompting governments, companies, and investors to reconsider their short- and long-term strategies.

他将其与1973年和1979年的石油危机进行了类比,并表示这些危机刺激了核能的发展和汽车燃油效率的提高。

He drew parallels with the oil crises of 1973 and 1979, which he said spurred nuclear energy development and improvements in vehicle efficiency.

COP31全力推动电气化 比罗尔将COP31形容为土耳其的“黄金机遇”和世界的一大机遇,并辩称当前的危机有助于为取得具体成果积累支持。

Electrification push at COP31 Birol described COP31 as a "golden opportunity" for Türkiye and a major opportunity for the world, arguing that the current crisis could help build support for concrete outcomes.

他概述了一项拟议承诺,即到2035年将电力占全球能源的比例从23%提高到35%,并鼓励各国在安塔利亚峰会上签署该承诺。

He outlined a proposed commitment to increase electricity's share of global energy from 23% to 35% by 2035, with countries encouraged to sign on at the Antalya summit.

他说,加强电气化不仅能增强能源安全,还能减少排放,在国际分歧严重的时期提供了一个共同目标。

Greater electrification would strengthen energy security while reducing emissions, he said, offering a common objective at a time of deep international divisions.

他补充说,通过这一承诺还将向投资者和资本市场发出明确的信号。

Adoption would also send an unequivocal signal to investors and capital markets, he added.

比罗尔表示,参与度以及就电气化达成协议将是衡量COP31成功的两个关键指标,并对出席的政府数量及其代表级别表达了乐观态度。

Birol said participation levels and an agreement on electrification would be two key measures of COP31's success, expressing optimism about both the number of governments attending and their level of representation.

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