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特朗普的企业持股是送给下一任民主党总统的礼物Trump's corporate stakes are a gift to the next Democratic president

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那些倾向于赞赏特朗普总统交易手腕的人,应当考虑一下:在特朗普卸任之后,一位民主党总统可能会如何处置这些股份。(理查德·希思科特/盖蒂图片社)Those inclined to applaud President Trump's dealmaking should consider what a Democratic president might do with those stakes after Trump is no longer in office. (Richard Heathcote/Getty Images)

特朗普政府现已宣布或完成了对40家私营公司的持股交易。仅本周,商务部就又增加了四项拟议持股,使我们在卡托研究所“恢复自由企业”计划中维护的持续统计数字再次上升。那些倾向于为总统的交易能力喝彩的人,应当考虑一下:等特朗普卸任后,一位民主党总统可能会如何利用这些股份。

The Trump administration has now announced or completed deals to take ownership stakes in 40 private companies. Just this week, the Commerce Department added four more proposed stakes to the running count we maintain at the Cato Institute’s Restoring Free Enterprise initiative. Those inclined to applaud the president’s dealmaking should consider what a Democratic president might do with those stakes after Trump is no longer in office.

民主党当然正在考虑此事。《Semafor》报道称,拜登政府的前官员们正垂涎利用政府持股向枪支和石油公司施压的前景。曾在拜登政府期间为时任联邦贸易委员会主席莉娜·汗工作的道格·法拉尔预见,未来的总统将利用政府持股向人工智能公司“拧紧螺丝”,“尤其是一位想要严肃监管该行业的民主党人”。还记得拜登政府在新冠疫情期间霸凌社交媒体平台删除其不喜欢的内容吗?那可是在没有政府持股的情况下做到的。

Democrats are certainly thinking about it. Semafor reports that former Biden officials are licking their chops at the prospect of using government ownership to pressure gun and oil companies. Doug Farrar, who worked for then-Federal Trade Commission Chair Lina Khan during the Biden administration, sees a future president leveraging government ownership to turn the screws on AI companies, "especially a Democrat who wants to seriously regulate this industry." Remember when the Biden administration bullied social media platforms to remove content it didn’t like during the COVID pandemic? That was done without government ownership.

在特朗普第二任期开始两周后,他签署行政令寻求创建主权财富基金之际,我就曾对此发出警告,指出政府投资基金最终会成为民主党政府推行共和党反对政策的工具。白宫放弃了建立正式基金的想法,却在没有明确法律授权的情况下,拼凑出了一个临时的总统投资组合。

I warned about this two weeks into Trump’s second term after he signed an executive order seeking to create a sovereign wealth fund, noting that a government investment fund would eventually become a vehicle for Democratic administrations to pursue policies Republicans oppose. The White House ditched the idea for a formal fund and proceeded to cobble together an ad hoc presidential portfolio despite having no clear legal authority to do so.

如果是民主党政府这么做,共和党控制的国会几乎不可能允许其继续下去。然而,从不放过任何给民主党贴“社会主义者”和“共产主义者”标签机会的国会共和党人,却集体对特朗普政府的做法无动于衷。事实上,国会共和党人正积极试图赋予行政部门——因而也包括未来政府,而不仅仅是现政府——继续这样做的法律授权。

If a Democratic administration had done this, it would be practically impossible to imagine a Congress controlled by Republicans allowing it to continue. And yet congressional Republicans, who never miss a chance to tag Democrats as socialists and communists, have collectively done nothing to stop the Trump administration. In fact, congressional Republicans are actively trying to give the executive branch—and thus future administrations, not just the current administration—the legal authority to continue doing it.

特朗普政府的支持者引用政府的说法,称持股比空头支票更有利于纳税人,或者称这对于出于国家安全考虑加强供应链是必要的。暂且不论这并非政府的真实动机,这两种理由都无法为华盛顿成为一批公司的股东提供正当性。

The Trump administration’s supporters cite its claims that equity stakes are better for taxpayers than blank checks, or that they are necessary to bolster supply chains for national security. Setting aside that they aren’t the administration’s true motivation, neither justifies Washington becoming a shareholder in a portfolio of companies.

卡托研究所的一张图表详细列出了政府的股权组合。(卡托研究所)A Cato Institute chart details the government's equity portfolio. (CATO Institute)

诚然,如果政府已经在给一家公司发钱,拿股份作为回报听起来比直接白给要好。但其中的权衡取舍不容忽视。

Sure, if the government is already handing a company money, getting shares in return sounds better than a straight giveaway. But the trade-offs can’t be ignored.

当政府挑中一匹“赛马”,这匹马就会获得优势和特权,让竞争对手处于劣势。但危险远不止于现有竞争对手。初创企业,包括尚不存在的企业,要将产品和创意推向市场,本就面临陡峭的上坡路。政府持股让这条坡更陡了,威胁到对美国经济成功至关重要的创业精神。

When the government picks a racehorse, that horse is given advantages and privileges that leave the competing horses at a disadvantage. But the danger goes well beyond current competitors. Upstart firms, including those that don’t yet exist, already face a steep hill to climb in bringing their products and ideas to market. Government ownership steepens that hill, threatening to stifle the entrepreneurial spirit critical to America’s economic success.

政府账面上的股份价值不等同于国库收入。变现收益需要卖出股份,并扣除纳税人投入的资金。正如我的同事斯科特·林西科姆所解释的,英特尔股价上涨部分反映了市场对政府偏袒的预期,包括施压其他公司使用英特尔产品。这表明,政府可能正在将私人投资从商业前景更好的企业那里转移走。

The value of the shares on the government’s books isn’t the same as revenue in the Treasury. Realizing the gains requires selling the shares and subtracting what taxpayers put in. And as my colleague Scott Lincicome explains, Intel’s stock gains partly reflect expectations of government favoritism, including pressure on other companies to use Intel products. That points to the possibility that the government is diverting private investment from businesses with better commercial prospects.

即使政府今天能出售其持有的全部英特尔股份,也只能净得约280亿美元——这还不到特朗普总统任内、共和党控制国会的刚刚结束的财政年度中,华盛顿累积的2万亿美元赤字的1.5%。无论如何,政府所持有的股份都应予以剥离。但如果政府想要有成效地筹集资金,不妨重新审视卡托研究所的建议,出售闲置联邦大楼,并将美铁等政府企业私有化。

Even if the administration could sell its entire Intel stake today, it would net roughly $28 billion—less than 1.5% of the $2 trillion deficit Washington ran up in the fiscal year just ended under President Trump and a Republican-controlled Congress. The stakes the administration has acquired should be divested, regardless. But if the administration wants to raise funds productively, it could revisit Cato’s recommendations to sell excess federal buildings and privatize government businesses like Amtrak.

国家安全理由听起来也合情合理,直到你意识到联邦政府已有许多途径可基于此类理由支持企业,而无需成为其所有者。我们的“恢复自由企业”倡议列举了基于市场和政府层面的替代方案,以取代股权持有,这些方案有助于强化关键供应链。放宽许可要求、取消生产投入品关税,将使私营企业更容易投资和扩大供给。政府也可通过采购合同或储备关键材料来满足特定国防需求。

The national security rationale also sounds reasonable until you realize the federal government already has plenty of ways to support companies on such grounds without becoming an owner. Our Restoring Free Enterprise initiative lays out both market-based and government alternatives to equity stakes that would help bolster critical supply chains. Easing permitting requirements and removing tariffs on production inputs would make it easier for private companies to invest and expand supply. And the government can address specific defense needs through purchase contracts or stockpiles of critical materials.

援引“国家安全”在华盛顿由来已久,向来是政客为其原本难以推行的行动寻找借口的传统手段。今年4月,政府曾寻求一项救助方案,本可基于站不住脚的国家安全理由获得精神航空90%股份,直到该航空公司的一群债券持有人对条款提出异议才作罢。

Invoking "national security" also has a long-standing tradition in Washington as an excuse for politicians to justify actions they might not otherwise get away with. Back in April, the administration pursued a bailout that could have given the government 90% of Spirit Airlines on dubious national security grounds, until a group of the airline’s bondholders balked at the terms.

上周,《政治报》报道称,美国联邦航空管理局正探讨在一家开发空管管理软件的公司中获取所有权股份。无论是否涉及国家安全,政府成为其本应客观评估的公司的投资者,客观上都是个坏主意。

Last week, Politico reported that the Federal Aviation Administration is exploring an ownership stake in a company that develops software for managing air traffic control. National security or not, having the government become an investor in a company it is supposed to evaluate objectively is an objectively bad idea.

支持者还会指出政府承诺将保持被动股东身份,并辩称对联邦政府控制企业董事会的担忧被夸大了。这是对华盛顿运作方式极其天真的看法。特朗普政府已经在利用合同和监管权力,偏袒其持股的公司。

Defenders will also point to promises that the government will remain a passive shareholder and argue that concerns about federal control over the corporate boardroom are overblown. That’s a painfully naïve view of how Washington works. The Trump administration is already using contracts and regulatory authority to favor companies it owns.

特朗普的支持者今天可能会为这种偏袒喝彩,但如果加文·纽森或亚历山德拉·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯当上总统也这么做,他们还会喝彩吗?

While Trump’s supporters may applaud that favoritism today, will they still applaud when a President Gavin Newsom or President Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez does it?

这就是为什么共和党人应该利用他们仍拥有的时间,终结这项持股实验,而不是等到一位民主党总统上台让他们后悔莫及。

That is why Republicans should use the time they still have to end this ownership experiment instead of waiting until a Democratic president makes them wish they had.

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