
巴黎——八年前,“黄马甲”抗议运动曾让巴黎陷入瘫痪,数十万来自法国农村地区的人们走上街头,要求降低燃油价格、提高工资。
PARIS—The yellow-vest protest movement paralyzed Paris eight years ago, as hundreds of thousands of people from rural France took to the streets to demand lower fuel prices and higher wages.
如今,这一运动作为抗议联盟的一部分重新浮现,该联盟不断壮大,抗议公共教育投资不足、工资过低以及生活成本上涨。这给法国领导人带来了一项考验,他们正寻求回应这些诉求,并遏制多年来该国最严重的动荡之一。
Now, it is re-emerging as part of a widening coalition of groups protesting a lack of investment in public education, low wages and the rising cost of living. That is posing a test for French leaders as they seek to address their concerns and contain some of the worst unrest to sweep the country in years.
在上周末的示威和骚乱导致全国各地政府大楼和商店遭到大规模破坏后,“黄马甲”正号召在周六举行更多抗议活动。
The yellow vests are calling for more protests on Saturday after France was rocked last weekend by demonstrations and rioting that led to widespread destruction of government buildings and stores throughout the country.
“黄马甲”的加入,为近期的抗议活动增添了潜在的持久力,这些抗议最初是由学生发起,呼吁改善学校条件。该运动也有暴力史,给一个已经在努力平息街头骚乱的政府带来了新的挑战。
The addition of the yellow vests adds potential staying power to recent protests, which started with students calling for better conditions in schools. The movement also has a history of violence, posing a fresh challenge for a government already trying to calm the streets.
“大多数法国的伟大革命都始于年轻人,”41岁的“黄马甲”博主埃尔韦·科说,“大家都团结在一起了。”
“Most great revolutions in France started with young people,” said Hervé Caut, a 41-year-old yellow vest blogger. “Everyone has rallied together.”

“黄马甲”是一个以农村地区为主的运动,于2018年因埃马纽埃尔·马克龙总统提议增加燃油税而兴起。诉求随后扩大到包括提高工资,并演变为一场针对马克龙的普遍抗议,后者被批评为“富人的总统”。数月来,抗议者每周六走上街头,许多人身穿反光黄色安全背心——法国法律要求每辆车都必须配备——以象征他们上班依赖车辆和化石燃料。
The gilets jaunes, or yellow vests, is a predominantly rural movement that sprang up in 2018 in response to President Emmanuel Macron’s proposed fuel tax increase. It broadened to include other demands such as higher wages and became a general protest against Macron, who was criticized as a “president of the rich.”For months, protesters took to the streets every Saturday, with many of them donning reflective yellow safety jackets, which everyone in France is required to keep in their cars, to symbolize their reliance on vehicles and fossil fuels to get to work.

该群体没有官方领导人或正式结构,允许任何人宣布自己是成员。他们封锁高速公路和区域道路,导致交通陷入停滞。
The group had no official leaders or formal structure, allowing anyone to declare themselves a member. They blocked highways and regional roadways, bringing traffic to a standstill.
这场运动有时也演变为暴力事件,暴徒在香榭丽舍大道上横冲直撞,砸毁店铺橱窗并纵火焚烧汽车。一群抗议者利用一辆小型叉车冲破了设有总理发言人办公室的大楼大门。
The movement also became violent at times, with rioters rampaging down the Avenue des Champs-Élysées, smashing storefronts and setting cars ablaze. A group of the protesters used a small forklift to smash through the door of the building housing the office of the prime minister’s spokesman.
在马克龙取消燃油税上调并提高最低工资后,抗议活动最终失去了势头。他还在全国进行了一次“倾听之旅”,试图表明他关注法国农村工薪阶层的需求。
The protests eventually lost momentum after Macron called off the fuel-tax increase and boosted the minimum wage. He also went on a listening tour of the country in an effort to show he was attuned to the needs of France’s rural working class.
与2018年不同,当时马克龙是新当选的领导人,在议会拥有多数席位,且法国财政状况相对健康,如今政府安抚抗议者的选择有限。
Unlike in 2018, when Macron was a newly elected leader with a majority in parliament and France’s finances were relatively healthy, the government now has limited options to mollify protesters.


马克龙在周日的讲话中承认,燃油价格和生活成本是合理的关切,并指出其他欧洲首都也存在这些担忧。本周,爱丽舍宫表示,总统已从沙特阿拉伯和阿拉伯联合酋长国获得额外柴油供应,并正努力从巴林争取更多供应量。
Macron in a Sunday speech acknowledged that fuel prices and cost of living were legitimate concerns, and noted that they were shared in other European capitals. This week, the Élysée said the president had secured additional diesel supplies from Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates and was working to get volumes from Bahrain as well.
但马克龙现在是一位“跛脚鸭”总统,接替他的竞选活动正加剧国内的政治紧张局势。他的政党在议会中没有多数席位,其政府提出的预算案招致了总统大选主要候选人、极右翼领导人玛丽娜·勒庞和极左翼激进人物让-吕克·梅朗雄的批评。
But Macron is now a lame duck president, and the campaign to replace him is adding to the political tension in the country. His party has no majority in parliament, and his government’s proposed budget has attracted criticism from the presidential race’s leading candidates, far-right leader Marine Le Pen and far-left firebrand Jean-Luc Mélenchon.
“存在一种非常明显的普遍瘫痪,”雷恩政治学院政治学家克里斯蒂安·勒巴尔说。“你有一场抗议运动,像每场社会运动一样,缺乏耐心,想要立即得到回应。”与此同时,政府现在陷入了一场财政危机,这在一定程度上是由马克龙为平息2018年抗议而采取的措施助长的。在发达经济体中,法国的预算赤字仅次于美国。本周,法国10年期国债收益率自2002年以来首次突破5%。
“There’s a very obvious general paralysis,” said Christian Le Bart, a political scientist at the Sciences Po Rennes university. “You have a protest movement that, like every social movement, is impatient and wants responses immediately.”Meanwhile, the government is now in the grips of a fiscal crisis that was fueled in part by the steps Macron took to end the 2018 protests. France has a budget deficit that is surpassed only by the U.S. among other advanced economies. This week, 10-year French bond yields surpassed 5% for the first time since 2002.
削减燃油税——这约占司机在加油站支付金额的一半——或引入能源价格上限,将导致数十亿欧元的损失。而法国必须展期一笔巨额债务,这笔债务是在“黄马甲”危机时期发行的,当时的借贷利率要低得多。
Cutting fuel taxes, which make up about half of what drivers pay at the pump, or introducing a cap on energy prices would result in billions of euros lost. And France has to rollover a mountain of debt that it issued around the time of the yellow vest crisis, when borrowing rates were much lower.
“发行债务为新措施融资,就像在‘黄马甲’危机期间所做的那样,现在已不可能了,尤其是考虑到市场压力,”巴黎政治学院法国经济观察站的经济学家马蒂厄·普莱纳表示。
“Issuing debt to fund new measures, as it was done during the yellow vest crisis, isn’t possible anymore, especially considering market pressure,” said Mathieu Plane, an economist at the French Economic Observatory at Sciences Po in Paris.
在抗议活动上周末演变为大规模破坏后,法国当局正寻求重新控制局势。马克龙本周表示,他建议未来几天不要举行示威,地方当局已禁止周六在全法范围内举行示威。
French authorities are seeking to reassert control over the protests after they spiraled into widespread destruction last weekend. Macron said this week that he recommended that there be no demonstrations in the coming days, and local authorities have banned demonstrations from taking place on Saturday across France.
在巴黎,当局拒绝了部分“黄马甲”计划周六游行至繁华奢侈品购物区的方案。上周末,抢劫者冲击了城市其他区域的奢侈品店铺。法国内政部长洛朗·努涅兹表示,精锐部队将被部署到街头——通常在火车站和其他公共场所巡逻的士兵也将被部署。这些举措招致部分左翼政客批评,称法国有沦为威权国家的风险。
In Paris, authorities rejected a plan by some yellow vests to march to a busy luxury shopping area on Saturday. Looters stormed luxury shops in other parts of the city last weekend. French Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez said that elite units would be deployed to the streets—as would soldiers who usually patrol train stations and other public venues. The moves have prompted criticism from some left-wing politicians who said France risks turning into an authoritarian state.
学生和工会欢迎“黄马甲”加入,希望各色抗议者的汇聚能给政府施加最大压力。这些团体呼吁于11月5日举行全国大罢工。
Students and unions have welcomed the yellow vests in hopes that a coalescing of protesters of all stripes would put maximum pressure on the government. The groups are calling for a national strike on Nov. 5.
不断上涨的生活成本正在引发欧洲其他地区的抗议。在意大利,那不勒斯因卡车司机抗议燃油成本而实际上陷于瘫痪,政府宣布为货运、农业和渔业行业提供1.75亿欧元(约合1.96亿美元)的新援助。因住房成本引发的抗议在葡萄牙和西班牙愈演愈烈。
The rising cost of living is fueling protests elsewhere on the continent. In Italy, Naples is effectively paralyzed by truckers protesting over fuel costs, and the government announced 175 million euros—about $196 million—in new aid for the trucking, farming and fishing industries. Protests over housing costs have roiled Portugal and Spain.
一些年轻抗议者现在认为自己正在追随2018年“黄马甲”运动的脚步。在巴黎最近的示威活动中,一些人身穿背部印有“Gilet jaune saison 2”(即“黄马甲第二季”)字样的马甲。
Some young protesters now see themselves as walking in the footsteps of the 2018 yellow-vest movement. At the most recent demonstrations in Paris, some wore vests with the words “Gilet jaune saison 2,” or yellow vest season 2, emblazoned on the back.
南特尔大学的学生组织者科佩莉亚·莫罗表示,黄马甲和学生们都在谴责该国青年面临的黯淡前景。她说,她受到了西班牙抗议活动的启发,那里的学生和工人已联合起来。
Coppélia Moreau, a student organizer at Nanterre University, said yellow vests and students are united in denouncing bleak prospects for the country’s youth. She said she was inspired by protests in Spain, where students and workers have joined forces.
“我们今天在青年身上看到的愤怒,与拒绝一个没有未来的社会有关,”她说。
“The anger we see among youths today has to do with rejecting a society where there’s no future,” she said.