美国和以色列对伊朗的战争自2月以来一直在持续，从未特别受欢迎。但两项新民调显示，随着选民为11月3日的中期选举做准备，他们正在考虑这场战争——美国人表示，结束战争是当务之急。
The US and Israel’s war on Iran, ongoing since February, has never been particularly popular. But two new polls show that as voters prepare for the November 3 midterm elections, they’re thinking about it—and Americans say it’s priority for it to be over.
美联社-诺克民调中心（AP-NORC）本周早些时候发布的一项民调显示，约七成选民认为政府应将结束战争作为优先事项。他们另一个主要关切是成本：八成受访者表示，降低生活成本应是即将到来的下届国会会期的最高优先事项之一。这些担忧交织在一起：穆迪（Moody's）本周估计，飙升的燃油价格、机票价格和抵押贷款利率已让每个美国家庭平均损失2000美元。美联社-诺克民调的结果紧随福克斯新闻（Fox News）9月发布的一项民调之后，后者发现六成美国人反对对伊朗采取军事行动。
An AP-NORC poll released earlier this week shows about seven in ten voters believe the government should prioritize ending the war. Their other primary concern is costs: eight in ten say lowering the cost of living should be one of the highest priorities for the next session of Congress coming up. Those concerns are intertwined: surging fuel prices, airfares, and mortgage rates have cost each American household an average of $2,000, Moody’s estimated this week. The AP-NORC result follows a Fox News poll released in September that found six in ten Americans oppose military action against Iran.
特朗普似乎不在乎。在北卡罗来纳州格林维尔最近的一次竞选集会上，总统声称：“我们的汽油价格比奥巴马时期低，也比昏睡的乔·拜登时期低。”奥巴马第二任期内，一加仑汽油的平均价格为2.95美元。拜登时期为3.47美元。而就在现在，同样一加仑汽油的价格约为4.30美元。
Trump doesn’t seem to care. At a recent campaign rally in Greenville, North Carolina, the president claimed that “our gas prices are lower than under Obama, and they’re lower than Sleepy Joe Biden.”The average price of a gallon of gas was $2.95 during Obama’s second term. It was $3.47 under Biden. Right now, that same gallon costs about $4.30.
特朗普接着说：“伊朗杀害了许多许多美国人，长期以来在世界各地杀害了许多人，他们是中东的霸凌者。他们曾是世界霸凌者之一。他们不再是霸凌者了。”根据联合国人道主义事务协调厅的数据，伊朗的死亡人数已达到至少3400人；3.3万人受伤。
“Iran’s killed many, many Americans, many, many people throughout the world for a long time, they were the bully of the Middle East. They were one of the bullies of the world. They’re not a bully anymore,” Trump went on to say. The death toll in Iran has reached at least 3,400, according to the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs; 33,000 people have been injured.
特朗普断言，伊朗“是世界上最坏的国家——而我们的汽油价格，付出这点代算不了什么。”福克斯新闻的民调发现，超过70%的美国人认为特朗普没有结束战争的计划。但特朗普已经在幻想他的下一场战争：这一次，他想攻击古巴。
Iran, Trump asserted, is “the worst country in the world—and our gas prices, it’s a small thing to pay.”More than 70 percent of Americans, the Fox News poll found, don’t think Trump has a plan to end the war. But Trump’s already fantasizing about his next war: this time, he wants to attack Cuba.
“别担心，我们回程时顺道解决古巴问题，”特朗普10月23日在佛罗里达州迈尔斯堡的集会上说。正在进行的美国对古巴禁运——2026年1月升级——已导致电网瘫痪，基本药物无法获得，并让古巴人民陷入饥饿。该禁运被描述为围困战行为，但特朗普昨天威胁派军舰前往古巴，构成了新一级别的侵略。
“Don’t worry, we’ll take care of Cuba on our way back from Iran,” Trump said at an October 23 rally in Fort Myers, Florida. The ongoing US embargo on Cuba—which intensified in January of 2026—has caused the electrical grid to collapse, made basic medications inaccessible, and imposed starvation on the Cuban people. That embargo has been described as an act of siege warfare, but Trump’s threats yesterday to bring warships to Cuba constitute a new level of aggression.
“我们会稍作停留，”他说。“我们要从伊朗回来，那些漂亮的军舰。我们会经过古巴。我们会让其中一艘停在离海岸约50码的地方。他们会举起双手，然后我们要派马尔科·鲁比奥进去收尾。”
We’ll do a little stopover,” he said. “We’re going to come back from Iran, those beautiful ships. We’ll pass Cuba. We’ll have one of them stop about 50 yards off the coast. They’ll raise up their hands, and then we’re going to send Marco Rubio in to finish up the job.”