
新加坡:周日(10月25日)人民行动党(PAP)中央执行委员会选举的结果显示,党员代表在政府领导层与党领导层之间划清了界限,且总理黄循财在更新换代方面可能面临一些挑战,尽管这仍是该党议程的重中之重。
SINGAPORE: The outcome of the People’s Action Party (PAP) central executive committee election on Sunday (Oct 25) showed that the cadres drew a distinction between government leadership and party leadership, and that Prime Minister Lawrence Wong might have faced some challenges in renewal, although that remains high on the party’s agenda.
分析人士指出,一些首任议员已出任内阁职位,但此次未能进入行动党领导层,反映出党员代表将政府与政党分开看待,并基于其他考量对两者作出不同评估。
Analysts pointed to how some first-term MPs have taken on Cabinet positions but didn’t make it into the PAP leadership this time, reflecting how the cadres view the government separately from the party and assess them differently based on other considerations.
周日的投票中,该党最高决策机构的名单保持不变,12名当选委员和2名增选委员均为回任面孔。资深成员如资深部长李显龙和尚达曼,以及外交部长维文继续留任。
Sunday’s ballot saw an unchanged slate in the party’s top decision-making body, with the 12 elected and two co-opted all returning faces. Older members such as senior ministers Lee Hsien Loong and K Shanmugam, and Foreign Affairs Minister Vivian Balakrishnan remained.
前副总理颜金勇于2024年当选为中执委,因于2025年退出政坛而辞职。其空缺随后由前议员费沙·依布拉欣填补,后者又由扎基·莫哈末接替。这位代理掌管回教事务的部长是周日这份14人名单的一员。
Former Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat, who was elected to the CEC in 2024, stepped down following his retirement from politics in 2025. His place was subsequently filled by ex-MP Faishal Ibrahim, who was in turn replaced by Mr Zaqy Mohamad. The acting minister-in-charge of Muslim affairs was part of Sunday’s slate of 14.
观察人士补充说,交通部长萧敬腾和代理人力部长刘燕玲虽获提名但最终未当选,仍可能作为党长期更新换代的一部分被增选入委会。
While Transport Minister Jeffrey Siow and Acting Manpower Minister Jasmin Lau were nominated but ultimately not voted in, they could still be co-opted into the committee as part of the party’s longer-term renewal, added the observers.
这两名首任国会议员均在最初19名提名人短名单之列,该名单不包括同为首任部长、掌管文化、社区及青年部的梁智强。
Both first-term Members of Parliament were part of the initial shortlist of 19 nominees, which did not include fellow first-term minister David Neo, who is in charge of the Ministry of Culture, Community and Youth.
“仅仅因为某人在黄循财的核心团队中,并不意味着在党员代表眼中此人也是核心,”政治观察家、社会与国际事务顾问穆斯塔法·伊祖丁对CNA表示。
“Just because one is in Lawrence Wong’s core team does not automatically mean that this person is also core in the eyes of party cadres,” political observer Mustafa Izzuddin, a social and international affairs consultant, told CNA.
观察人士还指出,周日的结果是党内忠诚分子发出的一个信号,表明他们倾向于延续而非变革,希望由经验丰富的领导人掌舵,带领新加坡渡过全球和地区的动荡。
Observers also noted that Sunday’s outcome is a signal from the party faithful that the preference is for continuity over change, with experienced leaders at the helm as Singapore rides global and regional turbulence.
新加坡管理大学法律副教授陈明裕(Eugene Tan)表示:“面对从人工智能到地缘政治等多方面的挑战,党内干部——作为风向标——正在表明,变革的必要性必须与该党展示稳定、力量和经验的需求相平衡,而这些是资深领导人所具备的。”
“With the multi-faceted challenges facing the country ranging from AI to geopolitics, the party cadres — as the barometer — are indicating that the imperative for change must be balanced against the need for the party to demonstrate stability, strength, and experience which the older leaders possess,” said Singapore Management University associate law professor Eugene Tan.
政策研究院(IPS)兼任首席研究员陈恩泽(Tan Ern Ser)博士表示,选举结果表明,干部希望首届部长们进一步证明自己。
Dr Tan Ern Ser, an adjunct principal research fellow at the Institute of Policy Studies (IPS), said the election result suggests that cadres want the first-termers to prove themselves further.
他说:“我认为这表明,党内干部依然强烈支持那些拥有更长从政记录的人,而他们可能认为,新部长们需要更多时间来赢得他们的信任和支持。”
“I reckon it suggests that party cadres still strongly support those who have a longer track record, while they probably believe that the new ministers need more time to gain their trust and support,” he said.
需要更多时间赢得信任 政治观察人士表示,萧先生和刘女士未能当选中委会委员,是因为他们还很新,尚未赢得党内干部的全力支持。
MORE TIME TO GAIN TRUST Mr Siow and Ms Lau did not get voted into the CEC as they are still new and have not earned the full support of the party’s cadres, said political observers.
陈明裕副教授说:“他们加入政党是在2025年5月大选前夕,对党来说还非常新,所以他们不如资深同僚受欢迎,这不足为奇。”
“They are still very new to the party as they joined the party just before the May 2025 GE, so no surprises that they are still not as popular as their more established colleagues,” said Assoc Prof Tan.
独立政治观察员陈嘉佑(Felix Tan)称,这表明干部成员希望看到他们“再接受考验一段时间”。
Independent political observer Felix Tan called it an indication that cadre members would prefer to see them “tested for a little longer”.
他说:“他们仍是相对新的面孔,可能倾向于给他们更多时间来积累政治经验、建立更强的从政记录,并在现有职位上证明自己,然后再承担党内更高级的责任。”
“They are still relatively new faces, and there may be a preference to allow them more time to build their political experience, establish a stronger track record and demonstrate themselves in their current roles before taking on more senior responsibilities within the party,” he said.
陈恩泽博士表示,这也部分源于他们被视为在短时间内被“破格提拔”为部长这一事实。观察人士指出,这两人仍有可能在某个时候进入党中委会。
It also partly has to do with the fact that they were seen as fast-tracked to becoming ministers in a short time, said Dr Tan Ern Ser. Observers noted that the duo are nevertheless likely to enter the party CEC at some point.
“问题不在于会不会,而在于何时,”政治顾问公司 Terra Corporate Affairs 董事总经理 Malminderjit Singh 先生表示,并补充说,党员干部可能也希望萧美琴和刘燕玲先在各自的部长职务上积累更多经验。
“It is not a question of if, but when,” said Mr Malminderjit Singh, managing director of political consultancy Terra Corporate Affairs, adding that the cadres may also want Mr Siow and Ms Lau to spend more time growing in their ministerial portfolios first.
穆斯塔法博士表示,即使他们这次未能获增选进入中委会,也可能在 2028 年的下一次投票中入选。
Dr Mustafa said that even if they do not get co-opted into the CEC this time round, they could be inducted in the next vote in 2028.
观察人士称,下一次投票将意义重大,因为那将着眼于下届大选——必须在 2030 年前举行——来组建团队。
The next vote would be significant as it would be building up the team with an eye on the next general election, which has to be held by 2030, said observers.
政府与政党的区别 周日的投票也凸显了政府领导层与党内领导层的区别。
GOVERNMENT VERSUS PARTY Sunday’s vote also drew the distinction between leadership in government and at the party level.
“这是一个被划定的界限,且越发需要被清晰划定。在一党优势体制下,政党、政府与国家之间的界限需要划分得更加清楚,”陈明耀副教授表示。
“This is a distinction that is drawn and one that increasingly needs to be drawn. In a one-party dominant system, the distinction between party, government and state needs to be even more clearly drawn,” said Assoc Prof Eugene Tan.
他说,中委会选举结果显示,行动党党员认识到政党有别于政府,且从事基层政治和赢得选举的经验,与政策制定的才干同样重要。
He said the CEC election results suggest that the PAP ranks recognise that the party is distinct from the government, and that experience in retail politics and winning elections matter just as much as policy-making nous.
“党的领导层与国家的政治领导层有所区别,这其中有其益处。毕竟,政党必须先在大选中取得令人信服的胜利,才能组建一个拥护度高的政府,”他补充道。
“There is virtue in the party leadership being somewhat different from the nation’s political leadership. After all, the party must first win a General Election convincingly in order to form a popular government,” he added.
穆斯塔法博士表示,投票结果也向其他政治职位持有者发出了信号,即他们需要做更多工作以争取党员干部的支持。
The ballot outcome also signalled to other political office holders that they need to do a lot more to gain the support of the party cadres, said Dr Mustafa.
陈嘉庚博士表示,中委会选举结果在某些方面与总理强调的领导层更新和引入新声音“不免显得有些尴尬”。
Dr Felix Tan said the CEC election outcome in some ways sits “somewhat awkwardly” with the prime minister’s emphasis on leadership renewal and bringing new voices into the fold.
“我不确定基本保留同一份中委会名单,究竟能在多大程度上带来人们所谈论的那些‘更新’的视角,”他说。
“I am not sure how far retaining essentially the same CEC line-up will necessarily bring about the ‘fresher’ perspectives that have been talked about,” he said.
辛格指出,虽然第四代领导层掌管现任政府,但其中确实有较年轻的成员,能够带来新视角。
Mr Singh noted that the 4G team, while at the helm of the current government, does have younger members who can bring in new perspectives.
他补充说,事实上,内阁成员如教育部长李智升和扎基·莫哈末“年龄与第五代领导层相差不远”。他举例说,李智升仅比萧启庆大两岁。
In fact, Cabinet members such as Education Minister Desmond Lee and Mr Zaqy Mohamad are “not very far in age from the 5G”, he added. Mr Lee, for instance, is just two years older than Mr Siow, he said.
更新步伐 费利克斯·陈博士承认,在不确定时期,体制延续性有其价值,但他表示,周日的结果也暗示了黄循财在更新党领导团队方面面临的制约。
PACE OF RENEWAL While he acknowledged that there is value in institutional continuity in a time of uncertainty, Dr Felix Tan said Sunday’s result also hints at the constraints that Mr Wong faces in renewing the party’s leadership team.
他说:“毕竟,除非我们认为这并非真正的民主决定,最终结果取决于总理,否则他能对这一过程施加多大影响,必定是有限度的。”
“After all, unless we are suggesting that this is not really a democratic decision and that the outcome ultimately rests with the prime minister, there must be limits to how much influence he can exercise over the process,” he said.
慕斯达法博士表示,这份名单旨在维持党内运作的一致性,“确保在黄循财领导下,人民行动党仍是新加坡选民执政的首选主导政党”。
Dr Mustafa said the line-up aimed at maintaining operational consistency within the party ranks to “ensure that the PAP remains the dominant party of choice among the Singaporean electorate to govern the country under the leadership of Lawrence Wong”.
他补充说,这也可能归因于倾向于建立一个“强大的内部核心”领导层,以应对严峻的全球挑战。
It could also be attributed to favouring a “strong internal core” of leaders to tackle acute global challenges, he added.
观察人士指出,不确定性和挑战包括目前与印度尼西亚的能源危机、即将到来的美国中期选举——这可能进一步使地区和全球局势复杂化,以及中东持续的战争,几无平息迹象。
Observers said uncertainties and challenges include the current energy crisis with Indonesia, the upcoming US mid-term elections, which could further complicate the regional and global landscape, and the ongoing war in the Middle East, which shows little sign of abating.
因此,人民行动党选择延续并倾向谨慎行事,并不令人意外,费利克斯·陈博士说。
As such, it comes as no surprise that the PAP would choose continuity and err on the side of caution, said Dr Felix Tan.
他说:“更重要的问题是,这种延续仅仅是进一步更新前的过渡性安排,还是预示着比最初预期更谨慎的变革步伐。”
“The more important question is whether this continuity is simply a holding position before further renewal takes place, or whether it signals a more cautious pace of change than initially expected,” he said.
观察人士指出,中委会名单尚未最终敲定,因为还可以增选四名成员。
Observers noted that the CEC line-up is still not finalised, as there can still be four more members co-opted.
其他增选成员,以及委员会内的具体职务任命——如主席、秘书长、财政和组织秘书——将在未来几周内公布。
Other co-opted members, as well as specific appointments within the committee – such as chairman, secretary-general, treasurer and organising secretaries – will be announced in the weeks ahead.
此前公布的时间各不相同。2024年用了10天,2022年用了20天,2020年用了11天。增选成员不必从周日入围的19个名字中产生。
The timing for this has varied in the past. It took 10 days in 2024, 20 days in 2022, and 11 days in 2020. The co-opted members need not be from the 19 names shortlisted on Sunday.
“较新的成员可能是贾斯敏和杰弗里等较年轻的部长。我预计他们会被增选,”辛格说,并补充称,中委会的关键职务任命也可能出现更新。
“The newer members could be younger ministers like Jasmin and Jeffrey. I expect them to be co-opted,” said Mr Singh, adding that there could also be a renewal in the key appointments within the CEC.
陈副教授表示,一名或多名“5G”领导人可能被增选并获委任为组织秘书。
Assoc Prof Tan said that one or more of the 5G leaders could be co-opted and appointed as organising secretaries.
他补充说,总理公署部长黄志明也有望凭借工会领袖身份,以及人民行动党与全国职工总会的共生关系而获增选。
Minister in the Prime Minister’s Office Ng Chee Meng is also expected to be co-opted by virtue of his being the labour chief and of the symbiotic relationship between the PAP and the National Trades Union Congress, he added.