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特斯拉与SpaceX:马斯克旗下两家公司在考虑合并之际的对比Tesla vs SpaceX: how the two Musk companies compare as they weigh merger

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特斯拉/SpaceX 分享卡片share card for tesla/spaceX

Levine, Prinz Magtulis, Abhirup Roy, Anhata Rooprai, Sumanta Sen, Akash Sriram埃隆·马斯克周二表示,将其旗下两家公司SpaceX和特斯拉合并将是“一个好主意”,并称两家公司已成立特别委员会讨论合并事宜。

Levine, Prinz Magtulis, Abhirup Roy, Anhata Rooprai, Sumanta Sen, Akash Sriram Elon Musk said on Tuesday that a merger of his two companies, SpaceX and Tesla, would be “a good idea” and that they had formed special committees to discuss a union.

美国市值前十上市公司 合并前 合并后 英伟达 苹果 字节跳动 微软 3.5万亿美元 亚马逊 SpaceX与特斯拉 预计合并后 2.0万亿美元 SpaceX Meta Platforms 博通 伯克希尔·哈撒韦 特斯拉 礼来 柱状图按市值对美国前十大上市公司进行排名。SpaceX(2.0万亿美元)位居第六,特斯拉(1.5万亿美元)位居第九。合并后,以3.5万亿美元的市值将位居第五,落后于英伟达、苹果、字节跳动和微软,领先于亚马逊。

Top 10 public companies in the U.S., by market capitalization Before a merger After a merger Nvidia Apple Alphabet Microsoft $3.5 trillion Amazon SpaceX & Tesla Projected if merger proceeds $2.0 trillion SpaceX Meta Platforms Broadcom Berkshire Hathaway Tesla Eli Lilly Bar charts rank the 10 largest US public companies by market value. SpaceX ($2.0 trillion) is sixth and Tesla ($1.5 trillion) ninth. Combined, at $3.5 trillion, they would rank fifth, behind Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet and Microsoft, ahead of Amazon.

来源:LSEG特斯拉是一家成熟的汽车制造商,正试图围绕人工智能和机器人技术重塑自我。其业务较为稳健,但成本正在上升,且预计将进行大量投资,以证明其Robotaxi和机器人业务押注将获得回报。

Source: LSEG Tesla is an established carmaker trying to reinvent itself around AI and robotics. It has the steadier business, but costs are rising and heavy investments are expected to prove its robotaxis and robotics bets will pay off.

SpaceX增长更快,并在第三季度实现了作为上市公司的首次盈利,这得益于人工智能和星链业务。它正在大量支出以维持这种增长,这使其依赖于新的融资。以下是这两家由埃隆·马斯克领导的公司的关键财务指标。

SpaceX is growing faster and has posted its first profit as a public company in the third quarter, driven by AI and Starlink. It is spending heavily to keep that growth going, which leaves it dependent on fresh funding. Below are key financial metrics for the two Elon Musk-led companies.

受马斯克关于SpaceX与特斯拉合并将是“一个好主意”的言论影响,特斯拉股价周三上涨3.4%,收于386.47美元。这使其市值达到约1.53万亿美元。

Tesla shares rose 3.4% on Wednesday to close at $386.47. That gave it a market value of about $1.53 trillion. The move followed Musk’s comment that a merger of SpaceX and Tesla would be “a good idea”. SpaceX listed in June with an issue price of $135 a share, raising $86 billion, the largest public offering ever.

SpaceX于6月上市,发行价为每股135美元,募资860亿美元,创下有史以来最大规模首次公开募股(IPO)纪录。受合并言论及其作为上市公司首次盈利的推动,其股价周三飙升7.8%至159.31美元。这使其市值升至约2.16万亿美元。

Its shares jumped 7.8% on Wednesday to $159.31 on the merger comment and its first profit as a public company. That lifted its market value to about $2.16 trillion.

得益于高油价带动电动汽车销售复苏,以及其全自动驾驶(FSD)软件订阅量增长,特斯拉2026年前九个月营收增至786.7亿美元,高于上年同期的699.3亿美元。

Tesla’s revenue for the first nine months of 2026 rose to $78.67 billion from $69.93 billion a year earlier, as its EV sales recovered amid high gasoline prices and subscriptions to its Full Self-Driving software grew.

SpaceX 2026 年前九个月的营收几乎翻倍,从 137 亿美元增至 270.8 亿美元,主要得益于其 Starlink 和 AI 业务的持续增长。

SpaceX’s revenue for the first nine months of 2026 nearly doubled to $27.08 billion from $13.7 billion, driven by continued growth in its Starlink and AI businesses.

投资者愿意为特斯拉未来 12 个月预估的每 1 美元销售额支付约 12.50 美元。相比之下,SpaceX 的这一比率约为 14.50 美元。

Investors are paying about $12.50 for every $1 of Tesla’s sales estimated over the next 12 months. That compares with about $14.50 for SpaceX.

特斯拉 2026 年前九个月实现 43 亿美元利润,得益于其电动汽车销售复苏、高利润率的 FSD 软件订阅增长,以及电动汽车充电和保险业务。

Tesla posted a $4.3 billion profit for the first nine months of 2026, helped by a recovery in its EV sales and growth in its high-margin FSD software subscriptions, as well as EV charging and insurance.

同期 SpaceX 亏损 4.13 亿美元,因其继续在 AI 基础设施上大量投入。不过,得益于新的高利润率数据中心业务,其亏损较 2025 年前九个月有所收窄。第三季度,公司实现 44 亿美元利润,这是其作为上市公司首次实现单季盈利。

SpaceX had a loss of $413 million during the same period, as it continued to spend heavily on AI infrastructure. Its losses nevertheless narrowed from the first ninth months of 2025 thanks to its new, high-margin data center business. In the third quarter, the company swung to a profit of $4.4 billion for the first time as a public company.

截至 9 月 30 日,特斯拉债务为 95 亿美元。其中约 60 亿美元为中国贷款,用于日常运营。特斯拉还安排了 300 亿美元的新授信额度,但尚未动用任何资金,并表示今年不打算使用。

Tesla’s debt stood at $9.5 billion as of September 30. About $6 billion of that is a loan in China that funds day-to-day operations. Tesla has also arranged $30 billion in new credit lines, but it hasn’t used any of that money and says it doesn’t plan to this year.

截至 9 月底,SpaceX 债务为 388 亿美元。其中 250 亿美元为其于 6 月发行的高级无担保票据,到期时间在 2031 年至 2056 年之间。周日,马斯克表示 SpaceX 已完成 400 亿美元的债务融资,用于采购图形处理单元。

SpaceX’s debt was $38.8 billion at the end of September. Of that, $25 billion was senior unsecured notes it sold in June. They mature between 2031 and 2056. On Sunday, Musk said SpaceX had closed $40 billion in debt financing for graphics processing units.

特斯拉将 2026 年资本支出预期从 250 亿美元以上下调至约 200 亿美元。2026 年前九个月资本支出为 130.1 亿美元。其中第三季度为 47 亿美元,远低于分析师预期的 75 亿美元。

Tesla cut its 2026 capital spending forecast to about $20 billion from more than $25 billion. Capex in the first nine months of 2026 stood at $13.01 billion. That included $4.7 billion in the third quarter, well below analysts’ expectations of $7.5 billion.

同期 SpaceX 支出 481 亿美元。其中第三季度为 196 亿美元,主要用于 AI 算力、星舰基础设施和卫星生产。预计第四季度资本支出将进一步加速,达到 350 亿至 400 亿美元之间。

SpaceX spent $48.1 billion over the same nine months. That included $19.6 billion in the third quarter, mainly on AI compute, Starship infrastructure and satellite production. It expects capital spending to accelerate further to between $35 billion and $40 billion in the fourth quarter.

特斯拉在2026年前九个月产生的现金比支出多18.8亿美元,得益于资本支出远低于预期。

Tesla generated $1.88 billion more cash than it spent in the first nine months of 2026, helped by capital spending that came in well below expectations.

同期,SpaceX的现金支出远超收入,烧掉了349.7亿美元现金。分析师预计其自由现金流在第四季度仍将为负值。

SpaceX is still spending far more than it brings in. It burned $34.97 billion in cash during the same nine-month period. Analysts expect its free cash flow to remain negative in the fourth quarter.

分析师表示,与特斯拉合并可以通过让两家公司共享服务和联合借贷,缓解SpaceX自由现金流面临的一些压力。

A combination with Tesla could ease some of the pressure on SpaceX’s free cash flow by allowing the companies to share services and borrow jointly, say analysts.

特斯拉9月底持有454亿美元现金和投资,比2026年初增加了约14亿美元。前九个月,特斯拉还投资了20亿美元购买SpaceX股票,形成了两家公司间的财务关联。

Tesla ended September with $45.4 billion in cash and investments - about $1.4 billion more than what it had at the beginning of 2026. It also invested $2 billion in SpaceX stock during the first nine months, a financial tie between the two companies.

SpaceX在6月股市首秀募集857亿美元后,9月底持有513亿美元现金。

SpaceX’s ended September with $51.3 billion in cash, after its stock market debut in June brought in $85.7 billion.

尽管尚无交易达成,但若特斯拉与SpaceX合并,按两家公司合并市值计算,将远超过去十年最大的并购案。

While there is no deal yet, a Tesla-SpaceX combination would dwarf the biggest mergers of the past decade in terms of the companies’ combined market value.

过去十年最大并购案 交易价值 特斯拉 - SpaceX 动视暴雪 - 微软 时代华纳 - 美国电话电报公司 VMware - 博通 二十一世纪福克斯 - 华特迪士尼 雷神公司 - 联合技术公司 艾尔建 - 艾伯维 施贵宝 - 百时美施贵宝 百时美施贵宝 - 赛尔基因 武田药品 - 夏尔 信诺 - 益普索 华纳兄弟探索 - 派拉蒙 并购宣布当日的市值合计 过去十年最大并购案按宣布当日合并市值排名的柱状图。特斯拉和SpaceX将位居榜首,领先于微软和动视暴雪。其余案例规模均小得多。

Largest mergers and acquisitions of the last decade Deal value Tesla - SpaceX Activision Blizzard - Microsoft Time Warner - AT&T VMware - Broadcom 21st Century Fox - Walt Disney Raytheon - United Technologies Allergan - Abbvie Celgene Corp. - Bristol-Myers Squibb Shire - Takeda Pharmaceutical Express Scripts - Cigna Warner Brothers Discovery - Paramount Market capitalization on the day merger was announced Bar chart of the biggest mergers of the last decade by combined market value on announcement day. Tesla and SpaceX would top the list, ahead of Microsoft and Activision Blizzard. The rest were far smaller.

注:未计入同一所有者旗下公司之间的并购或内部重组。估值很可能成为下一个争夺焦点。特斯拉股东将把一家独立公司的股份——马斯克在该公司持有约20%的投票权——置换为马斯克控制的SpaceX股份。分析人士表示,合并将使他控制合并后的实体。

Note: Mergers and acquisitions among companies with the same owners or internal reorganisations have not been considered Valuation is likely to be the next battleground. Tesla shareholders would be swapping stakes in an independent company, where Musk holds about 20% of the voting power, for shares in SpaceX that Musk controls. Analysts have said a merger would give him control of the combined entity.

来源:LSEG;公司财务报表 编辑:Rebecca Pazos、Julia Wolfe、Soyoung Kim 和 Sonali Paul

Sources LSEG; Company financial statements Edited by Rebecca Pazos, Julia Wolfe, Soyoung Kim and Sonali Paul

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