这是一场多伦多市长竞选活动的尾声，而这场竞选可以说从三年前补选结束时就已开始。
It’s the end of a Toronto mayoral campaign that arguably started when the byelection ended three years ago.
周一，选民将选出未来一年的市长和市议员，民调显示布拉德·布拉德福德或邹至蕙将领导这座城市。
On Monday voters will select their mayor and council for the next year, with polls suggesting either Brad Bradford or Olivia Chow will lead the city.
多伦多各地投票站于上午10点开放，晚上8点关闭。学校董事会受托人也在选票之列。
Voting opens at 10 a.m. across Toronto and will close at 8 p.m. School board trustees are also on the ballot.
挑战者的初选 2023年前市长庄德利辞职时，邹至蕙和布拉德福德都参选接替他。
The challenger’s primary When former mayor John Tory resigned in 2023, both Chow and Bradford ran to replace him.
在那次选举中，邹至蕙获得37%的选票，而布拉德福德仅获得1%。
In that election, Chow pulled 37 per cent of the vote, while Bradford came away with one per cent.
布拉德福德并未因此气馁，于2025年10月宣布将再次参选，在邹至蕙担任市长三年多后提供一种反对派的声音。
Not to be deterred, Bradford announced in October 2025 he would run again, offering an opposition voice to Chow’s three-plus years as mayor.
政治策略师、布拉德福德的支持者鲍勃·理查森表示，提前宣布参选的决定是提升其支持率的关键。“这样做非常明智，我认为坚持这一点也很明智，”他说。他的提前表态也可能阻止了其他候选人。
Political strategist and Bradford supporter Bob Richardson said the decision to announce early was key to raising his support. “It was very smart to do that and I think it was smart to be steadfast about it,” he said. His early declaration may also have deterred other candidates.
整个春季，多位潜在挑战者——包括省长道格·福特的侄子迈克尔和前财政部长罗德·菲利普斯——都排除了参选的可能性。在考虑了自己参选之后，庄德利也宣布不会再次竞选。
Through the spring a number of potential challengers — including Premier Doug Ford’s nephew, Michael, and former finance minister Rod Phillips — all ruled themselves out of running. After mulling a campaign of his own, Tory also announced he wouldn’t launch a bid to return.
理查森说，这使得布拉德福德“有效地将自己定位为温和中间派的旗手”。安全和可负担性主导选战 邹至蕙直到5月才确认将竞选连任，并于9月正式启动竞选活动。到她启动时，布拉德福德已稳固地确立为她在这场日益聚焦于安全和可负担性的竞选中的主要对手。
That, Richardson said, allowed Bradford to "effectively set himself up as the standard bearer for the moderate centrist crowd.”Safety, affordability dominate Chow didn’t confirm she would run for re-election until May, officially launching her campaign in September. By the time she did, Bradford was well-established as her main rival in a race that focused increasingly on safety and affordability.
公共安全尤其占据首要位置，因为两个相互矛盾的问题浮现出来。从统计数据看，多伦多比邹至蕙上任时更安全，但民调显示居民认为安全状况实际上正在恶化。“两者都是真的，”多伦多警察协会主席克莱顿·坎贝尔说。
Public safety, in particular, took a front seat as two contradictory issues emerged. Statistically, Toronto is safer than it was when Chow took office, but polling shows residents think safety is actually worsening. “Both are true,” Clayton Campbell, the president of the Toronto Police Association, said.
以下是邹至蕙和布拉德·布拉德福德计划如何雇用更多警察。尽管数据向好，多伦多人仍感到不安全。以下是这个问题如何影响该市选情。他的组织没有支持任何一位候选人，但对邹至蕙的公共安全计划大加赞赏，同时质疑布拉德福德提案的逻辑。
Here’s how Olivia Chow and Brad Bradford plan to hire more cops Torontonians don't feel safe, despite positive data. Here's how the issue is shaping the city's election race His organization hasn’t endorsed either candidate, but heaped praise on Chow’s public safety plan, while questioning the logic of Bradford’s proposals.
“在过去三年里，你会看到这些犯罪开始朝着正确的方向发展，”他补充道。“但统计数据说明一回事，人们[仍然]可能感到不安全。”政治策略师、邹至蕙的支持者艾琳·莫里森认为，布拉德福德的竞选团队也夸大了问题。
“Over the last three years, you're seeing those crimes start to head in the right direction,” he added. “But statistics say one thing, people can [still] feel unsafe.”Erin Morrison, a political strategist and Chow supporter, suggested the Bradford campaign has also exaggerated the problem.
“他说得好像在这座城市的任何街区、任何选区，你都不能开门走到人行道上而不被枪击一样，”她说。
“He talks as if you can't open your door and walk out onto your sidewalk in any neighborhood in this city, in any ward of this city without being shot at,” she said.
如果你想深入了解公共安全问题，我们已经报道了人们的感受与统计数据之间的脱节。
If you want to dig into the public safety question, we’ve covered the disconnect between how people feel and what the statistics say.
CBC多伦多的奥利维亚·皮尔西也审视了两位候选人的警务计划。
CBC Toronto’s Olivia Piercey has also examined both candidates’ police plans.
新承诺陆续推出。随着选举日临近，布拉德福德推出了一系列引人注目的可负担性政策。
New promises roll out Bradford rolled out a number of high-profile policies on affordability as election day approached.
这位挑战者誓言要削减土地转让税，承诺冻结房产税一年（邹至蕙的竞选团队认为这一承诺具有误导性），并更换多伦多地铁的部分轨道。他还承诺不会削减服务，同时将对市政府的财政进行逐项审计。
The challenger vowed to cut the land transfer tax, pledged a one-year property tax freeze (the Chow campaign argues that promise is misleading) and to replace sections of track on the Toronto subway. He also promised he would not cut services, while doing a line-by-line audit of finances at city hall.
多伦多都会大学政治学荣休教授迈尔·谢米亚蒂茨基表示，布拉德福德在竞选中走了一条人们熟知的路径——这条路径承诺起来可能比兑现起来更容易。
Myer Siemiatycki, professor emeritus in politics at Toronto Metropolitan University, said Bradford followed a well-trodden path through the campaign — one that may be easier to promise than to deliver.
“我认为布拉德福德议员把重点放在了在许多方面都是屡试不爽的当选公式上：承诺更低的税收和更好的服务，”他说。“现在，如何让这两者协调一致才是真正的挑战。”分析：布拉德福德的减税承诺引发了对多伦多财政基础的质疑。分析：邹至蕙提出扩大学校供餐计划，批评者质疑她将如何为此买单。邹至蕙曾表示，她将对TTC实行票价上限，乘客只需支付每周前10次乘车的费用。她还承诺提供免费学校午餐、帮助独立杂货店，并为租户提供支持。
“I think Coun. Bradford has focused on what in many ways are the tried and true formula for getting yourself elected: promise lower lower taxes and better service,” he said. “Now, how you square that is a real challenge.”Analysis Bradford's tax cut pledge raises questions about Toronto's fiscal footing Analysis Olivia Chow pitches school food program expansion, critics question how she'll pay for it Chow has said she will introduce a fare cap on the TTC, with customers only paying for their first 10 rides of the week. She’s also pledged to introduce free school lunches and help independent grocery stores, along with support for renters.
莫里森表示，现任议员以自身政绩作为竞选基础是正确的，再辅以贴近民生的政治承诺。
Morrison said the incumbent is right to have run on her record, complimented by retail politics promises.
“她面临的挑战是，还要把自己塑造成一个务实、对纳税人的钱持谨慎态度的人，”她解释道。
“She's been challenged to present herself also as somebody who's pragmatic, who's cautious with taxpayer dollars,” she explained.
“当你看到学校供餐之类的项目时……她是把它作为一个省钱项目来谈的，说它每年能让多伦多家庭口袋里多出900加元。”民调差距缩小，提前投票率高。在竞选的最后几周，民调差距缩小了。
“When you look at programs like school food … she's talking about it in terms of a money-saving program that puts $900 in the pockets of Toronto families every year.”Tightening polls, high advance voter turnout In the final weeks of the race, polls narrowed.
Liaison Strategies在2月份进行的一项民调（在庄德利退出竞选之前）显示，布拉德福德为18%，邹至蕙为40%。该民调公司上周三发布的一项研究显示，布拉德福德为49%，邹至蕙为47%。
A Liaison Strategies poll in February (before Tory ruled himself out of the race) had Bradford at 18 per cent and Chow at 40. A study from the polling firm released last Wednesday, put Bradford at 49 per cent, Chow at 47.
Liaison的这项研究采用交互式语音应答方式进行。它在10月18日至19日期间调查了1000名城市居民，误差幅度为3.1个百分点，置信度为95%。你可以在这里阅读有关该民调的内容。
The Liaison study was conducted using interactive voice response. It surveyed 1,000 city residents between Oct. 18 and 19, with a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. You can read about that poll here.
“毫无疑问，（布拉德福德）取得了进展，”理查森说。“他在必须取得进展的城市区域取得了进展——在怡陶碧谷，在北约克。”莫里森不同意这一说法，认为邹至蕙的竞选活动在关键时刻成功地传达了她的信息。
“There's no question [Bradford’s] made progress,” Richardson said. “He's made progress in the parts of the city where he has to — in Etobicoke, in North York.”Morrison disagrees, arguing the Chow campaign is succeeding in getting her message across at a pivotal time.
“在一场好的竞选中，你会在最后10天左右找到回归核心信息的方式——而这正是我从周竞选团队身上看到的，”她说。
“In a good campaign, you find your way back to your message in the closing 10 days or so — and that's what I'm seeing from the Chow campaign,” she said.
西米亚特基认为，这场竞选以扣人心弦的结局收场一直是不可避免的。
Siemiatycki thinks a nail-biting end to the race was always inevitable.
“我不确定这是失误与强势表现的对决，”他说。“我认为这更多是时机的此消彼长。” 如果您尚未投票，可以查阅加广（CBC）的承诺追踪器，了解布拉德福德和周在一系列关键议题上的立场。请记住，还有50多位其他候选人也在竞选市长，您可以在此查看完整名单。
“I'm not sure that it's been blunder versus a strong performance playing out here,” he said. “I think it's more sort of the ebb and flow of timing.”If you haven’t voted yet, you can consult the CBC’s promise tracker to see where Bradford and Chow stand on a range of key issues. Remember, there are 50-plus other candidates also running for mayor, you can see the full list here.
加广多伦多新闻将从晚上7点开始直播选举特别节目。观看方式详见此处。
CBC News Toronto will carry an election special live from 7 p.m. Information on how to watch can be found here.