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Anthropic、SpaceX与Meta大举融资Anthropic, SpaceX and Meta Cash Grabs

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如果感觉空气变得沉闷,那是因为人工智能行业的头部企业正竭力把屋里的氧气吸干。周一,Anthropic、SpaceX 和 Meta Platforms 全都公布了各自为 AI 野心融资的计划,总额合计可能接近 2500 亿美元,趁着融资窗口还开着赶紧搞定。这不会让较弱的 AI 玩家、尤其是举步维艰的新型云服务商(neoclouds)更容易通过融资这口“鲜空气”喘口气。

If it feels like it’s getting stuffy, that’s because the AI industry’s biggest names are doing their best to suck all the air out of the room. On Monday, Anthropic, SpaceX and Meta Platforms all unveiled their respective plans for raising gobs of cash to fund their AI ambitions, which could collectively add up to almost a quarter of a trillion dollars, while the getting is still good. This isn’t going to make it any easier for the weaker AI players, especially struggling neoclouds, to find fresh air to breathe in the form of capital.

当天最抢眼的头条,自然是 Anthropic 为首次公开募股(IPO)提交的 S-1 注册声明。关于该文件中最值得关注的细节,可阅读同事们的深度拆解。Anthropic 在文件中未披露拟募资规模,但路透社此前报道称,该数字最高可达 1000 亿美元。

The biggest headline grabber of the day, of course, was Anthropic’s S-1 filing for its initial public offering. You can read a comprehensive breakdown of the most interesting details in that filing by my colleagues here. Anthropic didn’t say in its paperwork how much it plans to raise, though Reuters has previously reported that figure could be as much as $100 billion.

周一,Meta 宣布其目标是筹集类似规模的资金,通过股票发行最多可达 950 亿美元。这并不令人意外:Meta 已在近期的第三季度财报中透露,融资计划即将启动。上周的一份文件显示,Meta 计划迅速推进融资,部分原因是近期和未来来自 Alphabet、SpaceX、Anthropic 和 OpenAI 等公司的交易管道拥挤。文件称,Meta 董事会的一个委员会“认识到时机对于在竞争对手饱和各种融资渠道之前获得资金至关重要”。

On Monday, Meta announced it has its sights set on a similar figure, as much as $95 billion through stock offerings. This wasn’t a surprise: Meta had telegraphed that a fundraising was in the offing as part of its recent third-quarter earnings report. In a filing last week, Meta made it clear it planned to move expeditiously to do the fundraising in part due to a congested pipeline of recent and future deals from the likes of Alphabet, SpaceX, Anthropic and OpenAI. A committee of Meta’s board, the filing said, “recognized that timing is important to secure capital before competitors saturate various funding options.”

但这三家公司中,或许最引人注目的融资举措是 SpaceX 与由 Apollo Global Management(阿波罗全球管理公司)管理的一个实体达成的 400 亿美元融资协议,SpaceX 将通过该协议为其数据中心租赁图形处理单元。SpaceX 表示,这是历史上最大规模的 GPU 融资。我的同事 Alex Eichenstein 了解到,该笔资金将通过一个特殊目的载体进行,该载体将不在 SpaceX 的资产负债表上,这种安排可能有助于 SpaceX 避免对其信用评级产生任何负面影响。

But perhaps the most intriguing fundraising effort of the three companies was SpaceX’s $40 billion financing agreement with an entity managed by Apollo Global Management, through which the company will lease graphics processing units for its data centers. It’s the largest GPU financing in history, SpaceX said. My colleague Alex Eichenstein hears that the funding will happen through a special purpose vehicle that will be off SpaceX’s balance sheet, an arrangement that could help SpaceX avoid any negative impact on its credit rating.

这笔交易之所以引人注目,是因为SpaceX首席执行官埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)周末在X平台发帖,一边透露这笔400亿美元融资,一边借机对他认为即将面临清算的竞争对手幸灾乐祸。马斯克表示,近几周债务市场已对除AI数据中心外没有其他收入的公司关闭大门。“这意味着200多家新云服务商将面临孔雀鱼级别的死亡和整合,”他写道。

What makes the deal so interesting is that SpaceX CEO Elon Musk over the weekend, in a post on X teasing the $40 billion financing, used it as an opportunity to gloat over the reckoning he sees coming for his rivals. Musk said debt markets in recent weeks have closed to companies that don’t have revenue other than from AI data centers. “That means the 200+ neoclouds are going to see guppy-level death and consolidation,” he wrote.

“有些能挺过去,但不会太多。”马斯克的论点当然服务于自身利益:如果他能帮助推动那些本已摇摇欲坠的新云服务商走向深渊,未来可能会为SpaceX和其他大品牌腾出更多资本。马斯克的风险在于,投资者的厌恶情绪可能在某个时刻从新云服务商蔓延到像他自己的大型AI公司。如果AI客户开始对技术缺乏回报失去耐心,这种情况就可能发生。

“Some will make it through, but not many.”Musk’s argument is a self-serving one, of course: If he can help nudge already shaky neoclouds into the abyss, that could leave more capital for SpaceX and other big brands to tap in the future. The risk for Musk is that at some point investor disfavor spreads from neoclouds to bigger AI companies like his own. That could happen if AI customers start to lose patience with a lack of payoff from the technology.

周末,阿波罗全球管理公司(Apollo)首席经济学家——正是这家公司在安排SpaceX这笔创纪录的GPU融资——发表了一篇令人警醒的文章,指出企业客户正在加强对AI投资的审视。“尽管进行了大规模投资,且人工智能备受炒作,但这项技术除科技行业外,尚未为美国企业带来任何财务回报,”这位经济学家托尔斯滕·斯洛克(Torsten Slok)写道。

Over the weekend, the chief economist for Apollo—the same firm arranging SpaceX’s record-breaking GPU financing—published a sobering essay that pointed to business customers’ growing scrutiny of AI investments. “Despite massive investments and widespread hype around artificial intelligence, the technology has delivered zero financial payoff to corporate America outside of tech,” the economist, Torsten Slok, wrote.

微软周一宣布新一轮自愿离职计划,附带一个惊人的数字:6万名员工符合申请资格,占其22.3万全球员工总数的四分之一以上。不过,实际接受公司提议的微软员工人数可能会低得多,部分原因是当前科技行业就业市场紧俏。

Microsoft’s announcement on Monday of a new round of voluntary buyouts for employees had an eye-popping number attached to it: 60,000 employees, more than a quarter of its global workforce of 223,000, will be eligible for the offer. The actual number of Microsoft employees who take the company up on the offer is likely to be significantly lower, though, in part because the job market for tech industry employees is tight now.

我的同事 Aaron Holmes 了解到,微软预计接受此次买断提议的员工比例将低于今年早些时候类似提议的接受比例。在那一轮提议中,微软向约 9,000 名员工提供了买断选择,其中约三分之一接受了。这表明微软认为,接受最新买断提议的员工将少于 20,000 人——这当然是一个大数字,但并不代表公司员工队伍会出现大幅缩减。

My colleague Aaron Holmes is hearing that Microsoft is expecting a smaller percentage of employees to take the buyout than took advantage of a similar offer earlier this year. During that earlier round, about a third of the 9,000 employees Microsoft extended the buyout offer to actually accepted it. That suggests Microsoft believes fewer than 20,000 employees will take the latest buyout offer—a big number, to be sure, but one that doesn’t represent a dramatic thinning of the company’s ranks.

请收看今日的 TITV 节目,Akash Pasricha 将与 Tomasz Tunguz 和 CJ Gustafson 一起深度解读 Anthropic 的 IPO 募股说明书。

Check out today’s episode of TITV, in which Akash Pasricha unpacks the Anthropic IPO prospectus with Tomasz Tunguz and CJ Gustafson.

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